Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Tuesday 14 Apr London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
21
Extreme Fear
Global Voltage
$2.6T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDC
-820.7M
DAI
-29.9M
USDT
+238.5M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Solana
-897.1M
Ethereum
+227M
Base
+28.7M
Tron
+12.1M
BSC
-9.9M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $74,328 +4.69% 8.0%
ETH $2,361 +7.55% 12.1%
SOL $85.65 +4.38% 7.0%
BNB $613.25 +2.46% 2.2%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $4.2B +62.6%
Ethereum $3.5B +73.5%
Arbitrum $3.4B +74.0%
BSC $3.2B +66.4%
Monad $2.9B +73.4%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
PEPE 10:00 London -0.38% 17%
PEPE 19:00 NY +0.28% 47%
PEPE 8:00 London -0.255% 20%
LINK 10:00 London -0.253% 23%
AVAX 21:00 Late +0.233% 63%
AVAX 10:00 London -0.229% 27%
DOGE 10:00 London -0.222% 33%
SUI 23:00 Late -0.222% 37%
Day-of-Week: Today is Tuesday
BTC +1.08% win 50%
ETH +1.95% win 50%
SOL +1.03% win 50%
BNB -0.08% win 25%
XRP +0.56% win 50%
DOGE 0% win 25%
AVAX -0.51% win 25%
LINK +1.32% win 50%
SUI +0.1% win 25%
PEPE -0.86% win 25%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-04-08 81% match 24h: -0.9% 48h: -0.2%
BTC 2026-04-10 81% match 24h: +1.77% 48h: +0.26%
BTC 2026-04-06 81% match 24h: -0.71% 48h: +3.63%
ETH 2026-04-06 83% match 24h: -1.45% 48h: +5.57%
ETH 2026-04-11 83% match 24h: -0.65% 48h: -2.06%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$-291.1M
7d: $504.2M
ETH ETF Flow
$64.9M
7d: $108.8M
🐋 Whale Movements (1 txns >$1M)
BTC In: $0 | Out: $0 ACCUMULATION
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $1.3M 2% longs CASCADE
ETH $222.4K 6% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
SOL 0.6679% CROWDED LONG 731% APR
ETH 0.3616% CROWDED LONG 396% APR
BTC -0.0321% CROWDED SHORT 35% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.69
Max Pain$72,000 (-3.18%)
IV Skew 25d58.17
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.49
Max Pain$2,200 (-7.85%)
IV Skew 25d15.44
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD (30 day)
Overall Accuracy
49.1%
56/114 signals correct
Best Performing
Intraday Pattern
88.9% accuracy
Worst Performing
Whale Flow
20% accuracy
Streak
5 correct
in a row
Signal Type Total Correct Accuracy
Intraday Pattern 9 8 88.9%
Etf Flow 28 13 56.5%
Historical Match 15 6 50%
Funding Extreme 47 19 48.7%
Options Signal 30 9 34.6%
Whale Flow 5 1 20%
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 126 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
41%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 21 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
BTC Funding extreme — Bullish Signal
🎯 HIGH
ACTION Long BTC
ENTRY $74,328
TARGET $78,045 (+5.0%)
STOP $72,842 (-2.0%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded short -0.0321%). Liquidation cascade (98% shorts wiped). Options P/C ratio 0.69 (bullish).
████████░░ 81/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeOptions P/C ratio 0.69Whale outflow dominantLiquidation risk: short-squeeze dominant
EDGE TRACK RECORD
Hit Rate: 17/31 (55%)
7d: 70%
30d: 47%
Avg Return: +2.66%
Best: arbitrage
arbitrage: 3/3 (100%) · asymmetric: 4/7 (57%) · pattern: 1/4 (25%) · smart-money: 9/17 (53%)
RECENT: ✅ ETH +7.5% (46/100) · ✅ BTC +4.7% (44/100) · 📉 BTC -1.0% (51/100) · 📉 BTC -1.3% (69/100) · 📉 ETH -0.5% (54/100)
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.01 bps $10.7M $10.1M 1.05 ✅ balanced
ETH 0.04 bps $16.9M $19.5M 0.87 ✅ balanced
SOL 1.17 bps $37.1M $43.4M 0.85 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.16 bps $6.6M $5.7M 1.15 🟢 buy-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 21.78 @ $74,291 ($1.6M) Ask: 11.83 @ $74,299 ($879.2K)
ETH Bid: 263 @ $2,360 ($619.9K) Ask: 509 @ $2,365 ($1.2M)
SOL Bid: 15516 @ $85.11 ($1.3M) Ask: 29323 @ $87 ($2.6M)
BNB Bid: 456 @ $609.47 ($277.7K) Ask: 452 @ $616 ($278.6K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BNB — ratio 1.15 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $74,328
⚠️ Short Squeeze Risk
OI: $7B │ 40% Long / 60% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$73,659
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.9970000000000008% of OI ($281.1M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$74,997
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.003% of OI ($422.2M)
ETH $2,361
Balanced
OI: $5.5B │ 48% Long / 52% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$2,340
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.765% of OI ($262.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$2,382
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.235% of OI ($288.7M)
SOL $85.65
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $812.2M │ 63% Long / 37% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$84.88
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.3100000000000005% of OI ($51.2M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$86.42
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.6900000000000004% of OI ($30M)
BNB $613.25
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $322.9M │ 69% Long / 31% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$607.73
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.92% of OI ($22.3M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$618.77
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.08% of OI ($9.9M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $74,328.27 $74,297.183 -0.0418% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $2,361.07 $2,360.386 -0.0290% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $85.65 $85.63 -0.0233% ➡️ Neutral
BNB $613.25 $613.65 +0.0652% 📈 Contango
Overall: Longs dominant — bullish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com • SEC close to putting out 'reg crypto' for fundraising questions, Chair Atkins says — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/04/07/sec-close-to-putting-out-reg-crypto-for-fundraising-questions-chair-atkins-says • Bitcoin (BTC) News Today | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/tag/bitcoin • Bithumb moves to seize assets over mistaken $8 million bitcoin dispute — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/04/09/bithumb-moves-to-seize-assets-over-mistaken-usd8-million-bitcoin-dispute • How North Korea's 6-month long secret espionage program has crypto community rethinking security — https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/04/07/how-north-korea-s-6-month-long-secret-espionage-program-has-crypto-community-rethinking-security
Smart Money Flows
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com
$
SEC close to putting out 'reg crypto' for fundraising questions, Chair Atkins says — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/04/07/sec-close-to-putting-out-reg-crypto-for-fundraising-questions-chair-atkins-says
$
Bitcoin (BTC) News Today | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/tag/bitcoin
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 602.6% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-FARTCOIN on orca-dex: 142.7% APY ($2M TVL) WSOL-BAN on raydium-amm: 124.1% APY ($3M TVL) SOL-PUMP on orca-dex: 106.6% APY ($1M TVL) WSOL-CHILLGUY on raydium-amm: 94.5% APY ($1M TVL)
Stable Farms
CARDS-USDCraydium-amm 602.6% APY
SOL-FARTCOINorca-dex 142.7% APY
WSOL-BANraydium-amm 124.1% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 123 articles from 8 sources
📊 Market 3 sources 17h ago
The worlds largest Bitcoin mining pool operator expands into the privacy-focused Zcash token with rapid network adoption.
CoinTelegraphCoinDeskDecrypt
🔐 Security 2 sources 12h ago
Bitcoin Magazine Crypto Exchange Kraken Faces Extortion Attempt After Insider Access Incidents Involving Support Staff Crypto exchange Kraken disclosed two insider-related support access incidents involving limited client data and said it is facing an extortion attempt after attackers claimed to po
Bitcoin MagazineAmbCrypto
💰 Funding 2 sources 18h ago
Michael Saylor’s Strategy acquired 13,927 Bitcoin for $1 billion last week, funding the purchase through STRC share sales, lifting the company’s holdings to 780,897 BTC.
CoinTelegraphCoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Japanese Yen Surges as Oil Price Plunge Eases Critical Stagflation Fears in Japan The Japanese Yen strengthened significantly against major currencies this week as a sharp decline in global oil prices provided crucial relief for Japans economy, which had been grappling with mounting st
BitcoinWorld
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
The head of product's viral one-liner lands weeks before Elon Musk's fiat payments app goes live with a 6% yield and a Visa card
CoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Gold Price Holds Firm as Soaring Hopes for Iran Diplomacy and Lingering Fed Doubts Weigh on USD Global financial markets witnessed a notable shift on Tuesday, as the gold price held onto modest gains, demonstrating resilience against a backdrop of evolving geopolitical and monetary pol
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Bithumbs Strategic Move: Major Korean Exchange to List Zama (ZAMA) in Pivotal Privacy Coin Expansion In a significant development for the Asian cryptocurrency landscape, leading South Korean digital asset exchange Bithumb has confirmed it will list the privacy-enhancing cryptocurrency
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source just now
Can whale demand and rising OI send JTO higher?
AmbCrypto
💰 Funding 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Bitcoin ETF Outflows Stun Market: $291 Million Flees After Brief Inflow Rally In a significant reversal for the digital asset investment landscape, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessed a collective net outflow of approximately $291 million on April 13, 2025, abruptly ending a two-day strea
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source just now
RAVE has surged several thousand percent in seven days, driving frenzied trading activity and large liquidations, second only to industry leaders bitcoin and ether.
CoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
The BOJ's dovish shift keeps the yen carry trade alive, the same trade whose unwind crashed bitcoin 24% in two days in August 2024.
CoinDesk
💰 Funding 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Ethereum Spot ETF Inflows Surge: $9.5M Momentum Signals Robust Investor Confidence In a significant development for digital asset markets, U.S.-listed Ethereum spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) attracted approximately $9.5 million in net new capital on April 13, 2025. This notable infl
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 24,590 | Graduated: 261 (1.06%)
├ Volume: $271.4M | Traders: 483.8K
└ Market Share: 83.9%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 202.2K created → 2K graduated (0.98%)
└ 30d: 721.8K created → 10K graduated (1.38%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 27,321 | Graduated: 1,415
├ Total Volume: $323.3M | Traders: ~552.3K
├ Active Launchpads: 57
└ Overall Grad Rate: 5.18%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. pump.fun — $271.4M (83.9%) — 24.6K mints
2. met-dbc — $22.3M (6.9%) — 1.3K mints
3. printr — $18.6M (5.8%) — 739 mints
4. letsbonk.fun — $7.1M (2.2%) — 424 mints
5. bags.fun — $1.2M (0.4%) — 129 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
Nostalgia and Pop Culture
Memes leveraging nostalgic characters and popular media franchises are trending as they create instant emotional connections and viral potential.
Eco and Green Themes
Meme coins promoting sustainability and eco-friendliness are gaining traction amid increasing environmental awareness among crypto communities.
AI and Tech Buzzwords
Incorporating AI and advanced tech themes into memes capitalizes on current hype around innovative technologies, driving interest and engagement.
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
Trump Comments on Iran Themes 🔥 $88.8K (6 tokens)
Top: AOW $82.8K · AOW $7.5 · TACO $148.8
World Peace Announcement Culture 🔥 $82.9K (6 tokens)
Top: AOW $82.8K · Peace $9.1 · AOW $7.5
Return to $UNC Szn Culture 🔥 $67.4K (6 tokens)
Top: unc $66.3K · unc $0.4 · unc $1.1K
NO RACIST Themes 🔥 $60.8K (5 tokens)
Top: NO RACIST $62K · NO RACIST $-0 · NO RACIST $0
Upcoming Announcement by Sam Culture 🔥 $54.8K (6 tokens)
Top: PUNCH $40.4K · PUNCH $479.4 · PUNCH $302
SBTI Test Sparks Interest Culture 🔥 $54.6K (6 tokens)
Top: SBTI $49.1K · SBTI $3.3K · SBTI $3.2
BNB JUST POSTED Hidden Content Giants 🔥 $48.6K (6 tokens)
Top: SBTI $49.1K · SBTI $0.5 · SBTI $-532.9
Source: Binance Web3
🧪 MEME RUSH (Recently Migrated)
├ Recently Migrated: 50
├ Dev Dumped: 15/50 (30%)
├ Wash Trading Flagged: 0
└ Avg Sniper Holdings: 6.8%
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $4.2B +62.6%
Ethereum $3.5B +73.5%
Arbitrum $3.4B +74.0%
Prediction Markets
📈 Stocks/Commodities
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
YES 5% NO 95%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
YES 16% NO 84%
🏛️ Politics
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
YES 2% NO 98%
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
YES 1% NO 99%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
YES 95% NO 5%
CROWD VIEW
Stocks: Bearish (0 bullish / 2 bearish / 0 split) · Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 5 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Bearish (1 bullish / 2 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📈 Improving
Win Rate
51%
105W / 101L
7D Rate
80%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
—
Best: 17
14D Rate
58%
Avg Resolution
2.6d
Total Calls
266
60 active
LONG
55%
69W / 57L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
40%
27W / 41L · Avg +0.4%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $17.4K
Total: +74.39%
Win Rate: 67.15%
Max DD: 11.21%
Sharpe-like: 0.25
Trades: 274
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
BTC 55 55% +1.1%
SOL 55 55% +2.4%
ETH 53 58% +2.7%
BNB 43 33% -0.8%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
58%
Apr 26
38 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (60)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
SOL SHORT $84.5 T: $79.5 -1.4% ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.45 — ⏳ 2026-04-01
RECENT CALLS (206 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
SOL SHORT $82.3 $85.65 -4.1% ❌ 2026-04-09
BNB SHORT $601 $613.25 -2.0% ❌ 2026-04-09
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-08
ETH LONG $2,220 $2,361 +6.4% ✅ 2026-04-08
BTC LONG $66,450 $69,309 +4.3% ✅ 2026-04-05
ETH SHORT $2,035 $2,137 -5.0% ❌ 2026-04-05
SOL SHORT $79.5 $82.03 -3.2% ❌ 2026-04-05
BNB SHORT $589 $603.57 -2.5% ❌ 2026-04-05
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-04-14 06:16:01 UTC · Errors: 1