Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Friday 12 Jun London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
Global Voltage
$2.3T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
DAI
-21.3M
USDC
-57.6M
USDT
-26.4M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
BSC
+809.2M
Ethereum
-659M
Solana
+113.6M
Base
+73.6M
Tron
-14.4M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $63,304 +0.83% -0.9%
ETH $1,663 +0.35% -6.1%
SOL $66.69 +2.32% -3.2%
BNB $600.99 +0.81% -0.6%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $2.7B -20.1%
Ethereum $2.2B -15.0%
Solana $2.2B -11.0%
Arbitrum $2.1B -16.3%
BSC $2.1B -19.4%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
SUI 12:00 London +0.408% 73%
ETH 13:00 London -0.371% 27%
SUI 1:00 Asia -0.329% 37%
SOL 13:00 London -0.317% 33%
BTC 13:00 London -0.308% 23%
LINK 13:00 London -0.303% 43%
PEPE 21:00 Late -0.297% 20%
DOGE 13:00 London -0.291% 37%
Day-of-Week: Today is Friday
BTC 0% win 50%
ETH -1.31% win 25%
SOL -0.48% win 75%
BNB +0.6% win 75%
XRP +0.24% win 50%
DOGE -0.63% win 50%
AVAX -1.05% win 75%
LINK -0.39% win 75%
SUI -3.39% win 0%
PEPE -1.39% win 75%
Historical Setup Matches
XRP 2026-05-15 100% match 24h: -3.59% 48h: -3.49%
XRP 2026-05-30 100% match 24h: -0.54% 48h: -2.92%
XRP 2026-05-29 100% match 24h: +1.97% 48h: +1.42%
DOGE 2026-05-30 100% match 24h: -0.69% 48h: -2.05%
DOGE 2026-05-15 100% match 24h: -4.13% 48h: -4.07%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$-19M
7d: $-1.1B
ETH ETF Flow
$-15.9M
7d: $-48.4M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $77K 27% longs CASCADE
ETH $38.8K 1% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
SOL -1.1768% CROWDED SHORT 1289% APR
ETH -0.5856% CROWDED SHORT 641% APR
BTC -0.5005% CROWDED SHORT 548% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.62
Max Pain$70,000 (+8.6%)
IV Skew 25d15.61
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.53
Max Pain$2,000 (+20.51%)
IV Skew 25d0.41
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 144 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
65%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol → Vol Stable F&G: 12 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
BTC Funding extreme — Bullish Signal
🎯 HIGH
ACTION Long BTC
ENTRY $63,304
TARGET $65,837 (+4.0%)
STOP $61,722 (-2.5%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded short -0.5005%). Liquidation cascade (73% shorts wiped). Options P/C ratio 0.62 (bullish).
██████░░░░ 64/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeOptions P/C ratio 0.62Fear & Greed extreme fear
ETH Funding extreme — Bullish Signal
🎯 HIGH
ACTION Long ETH
ENTRY $1,663
TARGET $1,729 (+4.0%)
STOP $1,621 (-2.5%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded short -0.5856%). Liquidation cascade (99% shorts wiped). Options P/C ratio 0.53 (bullish).
██████░░░░ 64/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeOptions P/C ratio 0.53Fear & Greed extreme fear
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $10.6M $9.7M 1.09 ✅ balanced
ETH 0.06 bps $29.3M $26.2M 1.12 ✅ balanced
SOL 1.5 bps $38.2M $37.1M 1.03 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.17 bps $6.3M $5.2M 1.22 🟢 buy-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 12.93 @ $63,238 ($817.7K) Ask: 7.69 @ $63,300 ($487K)
ETH Bid: 749 @ $1,660 ($1.2M) Ask: 563 @ $1,666 ($937.8K)
SOL Bid: 22705 @ $66 ($1.5M) Ask: 19414 @ $67.23 ($1.3M)
BNB Bid: 535 @ $596.82 ($319.4K) Ask: 634 @ $605.94 ($384.3K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BNB — ratio 1.22 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $63,304
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $6.2B │ 61% Long / 39% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$62,735
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.118% of OI ($381.3M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$63,874
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.882% of OI ($242M)
ETH $1,663
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $3.8B │ 67% Long / 33% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,648
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.679% of OI ($256.2M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,678
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.321% of OI ($127.4M)
SOL $66.69
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $655.3M │ 74% Long / 26% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$66.09
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.388% of OI ($48.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$67.29
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.612% of OI ($17.1M)
BNB $600.99
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $330.6M │ 72% Long / 28% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$595.58
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.16% of OI ($23.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$606.4
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.84% of OI ($9.4M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $63,304.35 $63,262.681 -0.0658% 📉 Backwardation
ETH $1,662.77 $1,661.84 -0.0559% 📉 Backwardation
SOL $66.69 $66.64 -0.0750% 📉 Backwardation
BNB $600.99 $601.22 +0.0383% ➡️ Neutral
Overall: Shorts dominant — bearish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Markets | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/markets • Crypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concerns — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/06/09/crypto-tax-bills-a-work-in-progress-as-u-s-house-lawmakers-pose-concerns • Latest Crypto Video News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/videos • U.S. House tax committee weighs crypto bills, including relief for small transactions — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/06/05/u-s-house-tax-committee-weighs-crypto-bills-including-relief-for-small-transactions
Smart Money Flows
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
$
Markets | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/markets
$
Crypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concerns — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/06/09/crypto-tax-bills-a-work-in-progress-as-u-s-house-lawmakers-pose-concerns
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 212.7% APY ($3M TVL) ZEC-USDC on orca-dex: 143.4% APY ($2M TVL) XAG-USDC on gmtrade: 131.8% APY ($3M TVL) SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 115.7% APY ($3M TVL) XAU-USDC on gmtrade: 84.2% APY ($7M TVL)
Stable Farms
CARDS-USDCraydium-amm 212.7% APY
ZEC-USDCorca-dex 143.4% APY
XAG-USDCgmtrade 131.8% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 110 articles from 8 sources
🚀 Protocol 2 sources 10h ago
Coinbase for Agents will let users of the crypto exchange manage their holdings “without the constant manual oversight” and can autonomously perform a range of tasks.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
📊 Market 2 sources 13h ago
XRP is forming head-and-shoulders and bear flag setups on its shorter-timeframe chart, both indicating a dip below $1 in the coming days.
CoinTelegraphCoinpedia
📊 Market 2 sources 13h ago
Bernstein says the 2026 FIFA World Cup could inject billions into prediction markets, with Coinbase and Robinhood positioned to capture a wave of new users.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
💰 Funding 1 source just now
The SPCX perpetual on Hyperliquid has bounced from this week’s lows, while Bloomberg says other shadow markets now imply a first-day gain of more than 35%.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source just now
Trading activity exploded and institutional demand strengthened across the board.
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post Michael Saylor, I Never Said the Company (Strategy) Wouldnt Sell Its Bitcoin appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Bitcoin advocate and Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor has responded to the Bitcoin community over Strategy’s recent sale of 32 BTC. Saylor said he never claimed that Strat
Coinpedia
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
The post Elon Musk Net Worth Is he the Worlds First Trillionaire? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News The upcoming SpaceX IPO could make Elon Musk the worlds first trillionaire, according to estimates based on his ownership stakes. Musks holding in SpaceX is valued at roughly $866 billion, and
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source just now
LG Electronics has built a blockchain-based advertising platform with the help of Arbitrum.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source just now
This time of the year is usually unkind to ETH and SOL. Now, it's hard to ignore!
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Who Controls Bitcoin, and Can Anyone Shut It Down? Who Controls Bitcoin, and Can Anyone Shut It Down? Who controls Bitcoin and whether anyone can shut it down are the two questions that cut to the heart of why Bitcoin is different from any other financial system. The answer to both is
BitcoinWorld
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Gold Extends Losses as Stronger US Yields Weigh – ING Gold prices continued their downward trajectory on Tuesday, extending recent losses as a rise in US Treasury yields diminished the appeal of the non-yielding precious metal. Analysts at ING highlighted the ongoing pressure from the
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Indian Rupee Slides as Oil Prices Surge on Fears of US-Iran Ceasefire Collapse The Indian rupee weakened sharply against the US dollar on Monday, extending its recent losing streak as crude oil prices climbed on mounting concerns that ceasefire talks between the United States and Iran
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 27,011 | Graduated: 266 (0.98%)
├ Volume: $247.7M | Traders: 404.4K
└ Market Share: 17.5%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 182.1K created → 1.5K graduated (0.85%)
└ 30d: 762K created → 6.4K graduated (0.84%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 28,692 | Graduated: 1,437
├ Total Volume: $1.4B | Traders: ~521.5K
├ Active Launchpads: 53
└ Overall Grad Rate: 5.01%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $1.2B (81.8%) — 1.4K mints
2. pump.fun — $247.7M (17.5%) — 27K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $4M (0.3%) — 56 mints
4. moonshot — $2.1M (0.2%) — 41 mints
5. bags.fun — $1.1M (0.1%) — 45 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
Gaejuki Token Alleged Launch Culture 🔥 $75.7K (6 tokens)
Top: Gaejuki $69.6K · Gaejuki $6.5K · Gaejuki $445.8
Alleged Gaejuki Meme Coin Launch Culture 🔥 $68.6K (6 tokens)
Top: Gaejuki $69.7K · Gaejuki $-343.2 · Gaejuki $-9.4
Alleged Jotchua Token Launch Culture 🔥 $68.5K (6 tokens)
Top: Gaejuki $69.6K · Gaejuki $-343.2 · Gaejuki $-9.4
Alleged Gaejuki Token Launch Culture 🔥 $68.3K (6 tokens)
Top: Gaejuki $69.4K · Gaejuki $-343.2 · Gaejuki $-9.4
MATCHDAY Culture 🔥 $55K (6 tokens)
Top: MATCH $54.6K · MATCH $96.6 · MATCH $163.7
Alexandra-Mihaela Boboc Shares Liv's Stargrace Link Culture 🔥 $48.5K (6 tokens)
Top: STARGRACE $16.1K · STARGRACE $20K · STARGRACE $1.4K
PLAY ON GOAL Themes 🔥 $42.8K (6 tokens)
Top: GOAL $40.8K · GOAL $765.8 · GOAL $20.9
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 HYPE ⚪ Unknown
#3 JOTCHUA ⚪ Unknown
#4 CARDS ⚪ Unknown
#5 KINS ⚪ Unknown
#6 TROLL ⚪ Unknown
#7 USD1 ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $2.7B -20.1%
Ethereum $2.2B -15.0%
Solana $2.2B -11.0%
Prediction Markets
📈 Stocks/Commodities
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
YES 1% NO 99%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
YES 94% NO 6%
🏛️ Politics
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
YES 62% NO 38%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 0% NO 100%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 77% NO 23%
CROWD VIEW
Stocks: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split) · Politics: Bearish (1 bullish / 4 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-06-12 06:16:01 UTC · Errors: 1