Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Tuesday 13 Oct London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
57
Greed
Global Voltage
$2.8T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDC
-293.6M
USDT
-55.1M
DAI
-524.7K
Chain Stablecoin Flows
BSC
+527.3M
Ethereum
+316.3M
Solana
-105M
Tron
-68.1M
Base
+34M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $83,626 -0.28% -2.5%
ETH $2,529 -1.14% -6.7%
SOL $108.47 -3.47% -10.2%
BNB $745.36 -0.93% -5.2%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $4.6B +65.2%
BSC $3.9B +63.7%
Robinhood Chain $3.7B +71.3%
Ethereum $3.7B +77.9%
Arbitrum $3.6B +78.2%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
SUI 14:00 NY -0.564% 43%
AVAX 11:00 London +0.493% 53%
SUI 21:00 Late -0.487% 23%
SUI 11:00 London +0.423% 63%
PEPE 21:00 Late -0.399% 30%
LINK 14:00 NY -0.388% 47%
SUI 16:00 NY +0.351% 57%
SUI 0:00 Asia +0.349% 50%
Day-of-Week: Today is Tuesday
BTC +0.9% win 50%
ETH +0.59% win 50%
SOL +0.66% win 50%
BNB -0.02% win 50%
XRP +1.7% win 75%
DOGE +2.18% win 50%
AVAX +2.93% win 75%
LINK +2.78% win 50%
SUI -0.99% win 25%
PEPE +6.34% win 50%
Historical Setup Matches
ETH 2026-10-09 76% match 24h: -0.36% 48h: -0.15%
ETH 2026-10-08 76% match 24h: -2.49% 48h: -2.84%
ETH 2026-09-16 76% match 24h: +1.98% 48h: +3.88%
SOL 2026-10-09 74% match 24h: -0.68% 48h: -1.17%
SOL 2026-10-10 74% match 24h: -0.49% 48h: +2.42%
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $2.4M 95% longs CASCADE
ETH $2M 99% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BNB 1.9365% CROWDED LONG 2120% APR
BTC 0.7030% CROWDED LONG 770% APR
SOL 0.6239% CROWDED LONG 683% APR
ETH -0.3130% CROWDED SHORT 343% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.59
Max Pain$79,000 (-7.63%)
IV Skew 25d14.76
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.52
Max Pain$2,400 (-7.97%)
IV Skew 25d13.75
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD (30 day)
Overall Accuracy
42.9%
6/14 signals correct
Best Performing
Funding Extreme
55.6% accuracy
Worst Performing
Options Signal
20% accuracy
Streak
0 correct
in a row
Signal Type Total Correct Accuracy
Funding Extreme 15 5 55.6%
Options Signal 8 1 20%
Etf Flow 2 0 0%
Historical Match 3 0 0%
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 122 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
39%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 57 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
🧘
No clear confluence detected — all signal scores below threshold. Standing aside is the edge today.
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.01 bps $20.5M $12.7M 1.62 🟢 buy-heavy
ETH 0.04 bps $26.9M $31M 0.87 ✅ balanced
SOL 0.92 bps $43.5M $44M 0.99 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.13 bps $5.3M $5.4M 0.98 ✅ balanced
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 11.97 @ $83,550 ($1M) Ask: 5.89 @ $83,590 ($492.3K)
ETH Bid: 629 @ $2,523 ($1.6M) Ask: 1614 @ $2,528 ($4.1M)
SOL Bid: 18884 @ $108.02 ($2M) Ask: 22167 @ $109.76 ($2.4M)
BNB Bid: 1027 @ $743 ($762.9K) Ask: 1001 @ $748.1 ($748.5K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BTC — ratio 1.62 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $83,626
Balanced
OI: $7.8B │ 58% Long / 42% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$82,874
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.795% of OI ($452.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$84,379
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.205% of OI ($328.5M)
ETH $2,529
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $5.8B │ 74% Long / 26% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$2,506
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.362% of OI ($429.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$2,552
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.638% of OI ($154M)
SOL $108.47
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $925.2M │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$107.49
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.104000000000001% of OI ($65.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$109.45
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.8960000000000004% of OI ($26.8M)
BNB $745.36
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $416.8M │ 70% Long / 30% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$738.65
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.967% of OI ($29M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$752.07
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.0330000000000004% of OI ($12.6M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $83,626.28 $83,580 -0.0553% 📉 Backwardation
ETH $2,528.97 $2,527.85 -0.0443% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $108.47 $108.41 -0.0553% 📉 Backwardation
BNB $745.36 $745.552 +0.0258% ➡️ Neutral
Overall: Shorts dominant — bearish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • Latest Crypto News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/latest-crypto-news • Gate challenges fintech giants with multi-asset spending and round-the-clock conversions — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/10/07/gate-bets-all-in-one-money-app-is-crypto-s-biggest-consumer-trend-this-year-and-next • Securitize (SECZ) launches tokenized U.S. stocks on Solana, plans NYSE and OKXICE trading — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/10/08/securitize-brings-apple-nvidia-and-tesla-to-solana-with-nyse-trading-in-the-works • Bitcoin (BTC) price steadies near Sunday’s high as smaller tokens do the heavy lifting — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/10/12/altcoins-rally-on-thin-trading-as-bitcoin-holds-near-usd84-000 • Ripple’s RLUSD gains institutional backing as Standard Chartered debuts Dubai custody — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/10/12/standard-chartered-offers-rlusd-custody-in-dubai-and-plans-lmax-collateral-link
Smart Money Flows
$
Latest Crypto News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/latest-crypto-news
$
Gate challenges fintech giants with multi-asset spending and round-the-clock conversions — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/10/07/gate-bets-all-in-one-money-app-is-crypto-s-biggest-consumer-trend-this-year-and-next
$
Securitize (SECZ) launches tokenized U.S. stocks on Solana, plans NYSE and OKXICE trading — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/10/08/securitize-brings-apple-nvidia-and-tesla-to-solana-with-nyse-trading-in-the-works
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): NEAR-USDC on orca-dex: 399.0% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-STONK on orca-dex: 275.8% APY ($2M TVL) SOL-PUMP on orca-dex: 260.1% APY ($2M TVL) NEAR-ZEC on raydium-amm: 184.0% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-ZEC on orca-dex: 172.9% APY ($3M TVL)
Stable Farms
NEAR-USDCorca-dex 399.0% APY
SOL-STONKorca-dex 275.8% APY
SOL-PUMPorca-dex 260.1% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 102 articles from 8 sources
📊 Market 2 sources 18h ago
Ripple previously gave LMAX $150 million in financing to integrate RLUSD into its institutional infrastructure.
CoinDeskAmbCrypto
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 21h ago
Jeonbuk Bank reportedly began offering Bitcoin-backed loans to corporate customers, with a third-party custodian holding the cryptocurrency used as collateral.
CoinTelegraphBitcoin Magazine
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
A bitcoin whale that received coins days before the Covid crash and sat through it has moved millions on-chain.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source just now
Blur’s planned website closure revived criticism of the royalty policies and token rewards that helped it overtake OpenSea during the NFT boom, but hurt creators.
CoinTelegraph
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
About $800 million in leveraged positions were wiped out over 24 hours, 86% of them bullish. Chip-stock contracts on crypto exchanges took a chunk of the damage.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source just now
Binance will discontinue its mining pool and related services on Nov. 10, urging miners to move to alternative pools before the shutdown.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
Chinese authorities are attempting to clean the P2P wealth management pipeline.
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
Blur will close its website on Nov. 12 after monthly trading fell from about $1.43 billion at its 2023 peak to under $7 million, ten days after sister project Blast announced its own shutdown.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld Strategy Buys 250 BTC for $21.5M as Streak Hits Four Weeks Strategy spent $21.5 million on 250 bitcoin between October 5 and October 11 at an average price of $86,194, bringing its total holdings to 848,250 BTC — a… This post Strategy Buys 250 BTC for $21.5M as Streak Hits Four Weeks f
BitcoinWorld
🌐 Macro 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld BitMine Buys 12,532 ETH as Tom Lee Signals Stacking Is Over BitMine Immersion Technologies bought 12,532 ETH in the week to October 11, 2026, taking its treasury to 6,028,946 ETH — 4.9% of Ethereums 122.1 million token supply —… This post BitMine Buys 12,532 ETH as Tom Lee Signals Stac
BitcoinWorld
🌐 Macro 1 source 1h ago
Bitcoin climbed back above $83,000 after an early dip, decoupling from a sharp slide in Korean chip stocks and weakness in Nasdaq futures ahead of Thursday’s US CPI report.
CoinDesk
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 41,674 | Graduated: 1,178 (2.83%)
├ Volume: $555.8M | Traders: 742.2K
└ Market Share: 91.5%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 303.2K created → 8.5K graduated (2.8%)
└ 30d: 1.2M created → 35.5K graduated (3.08%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 43,568 | Graduated: 1,256
├ Total Volume: $607.6M | Traders: ~835.7K
├ Active Launchpads: 65
└ Overall Grad Rate: 2.88%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. pump.fun — $555.8M (91.5%) — 41.7K mints
2. stonkfun — $26.5M (4.4%) — 866 mints
3. met-dbc — $17.1M (2.8%) — 784 mints
4. letsbonk.fun — $4M (0.7%) — 53 mints
5. metadao — $874.1K (0.1%) — 0 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
NVIDIA Stock High and AI Video Themes 🔥 $300.1K (6 tokens)
Top: NVIDIA $51.8K · NVIDIA $71.9K · NVIDIA $71.6K
Digital Oil Trust Fund Themes 🔥 $257.1K (1 tokens)
Top: D O T F $257.1K
Google Gemini Themes 🔥 $255.2K (6 tokens)
Top: Gemini $31.8K · Gemini $47.6K · Gemini $18.3K
Trump Discloses Nvidia Stock Trades Culture 🔥 $246.5K (6 tokens)
Top: NVIDIA $61.8K · NVIDIA $50.6K · NVIDIA $47K
Washywash: XAI FOMO Bot Culture 🔥 $244.5K (6 tokens)
Top: FOMO $-7.5K · FOMO $51.2K · FOMO $71.3K
fomo Themes 🔥 $230.6K (6 tokens)
Top: FOMO $16.2K · FOMO $59.8K · FOMO $65.7K
Esoteric Shares FOMO Meme Culture 🔥 $220.2K (6 tokens)
Top: FOMO $54.9K · FOMO $-7.5K · FOMO $51.2K
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 SPCX ⚪ Unknown
#3 STRC ⚪ Unknown
#4 W ⚪ Unknown
#5 PUMP ⚪ Unknown
#6 ANTHROPIC ⚪ Unknown
#7 XRPN ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $4.6B +65.2%
BSC $3.9B +63.7%
Robinhood Chain $3.7B +71.3%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
YES 1% NO 99%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES 10% NO 90%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YES 1% NO 99%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 96% NO 4%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 5 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-10-13 06:16:26 UTC · Errors: 1