Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Thursday 13 Aug London 07:15
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
29
Fear
Global Voltage
$2.3T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
DAI
-5.3M
USDC
-47.3M
USDT
+378.1K
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Solana
-185.2M
Tron
+128.2M
Ethereum
+127M
Base
+73.3M
BSC
+4.7M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $63,836 +0.20% -1.3%
ETH $1,894 +0.34% -0.8%
SOL $76.46 +0.30% 3.3%
BNB $613.47 +0.40% 3.3%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $3B +7.3%
BSC $2.7B +5.8%
Ethereum $2.4B +3.5%
Solana $2.4B -0.5%
Arbitrum $2.3B +6.3%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
PEPE 14:00 NY -0.336% 23%
PEPE 22:00 Late -0.265% 23%
AVAX 1:00 Asia +0.25% 53%
PEPE 7:00 Asia -0.24% 17%
AVAX 15:00 NY +0.21% 60%
PEPE 21:00 Late -0.187% 20%
XRP 15:00 NY +0.177% 67%
SUI 22:00 Late -0.165% 47%
Day-of-Week: Today is Thursday
BTC -0.23% win 25%
ETH +0.78% win 75%
SOL -0.63% win 25%
BNB +0.14% win 75%
XRP -0.61% win 50%
DOGE -0.6% win 0%
AVAX +0.25% win 75%
LINK -0.02% win 50%
SUI -0.13% win 25%
PEPE -0.9% win 0%
Historical Setup Matches
XRP 2026-08-07 100% match 24h: +0.58% 48h: +0.83%
XRP 2026-07-30 100% match 24h: +0.26% 48h: -1.38%
XRP 2026-08-05 100% match 24h: -1.69% 48h: -3.62%
DOGE 2026-07-27 100% match 24h: -3.75% 48h: -2.57%
DOGE 2026-07-16 100% match 24h: -2.54% 48h: -1.7%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$-61.2M
7d: $482.5M
ETH ETF Flow
$7.4M
7d: $247.4M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $1.4K 64% longs CASCADE
ETH $7K 68% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BTC 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
ETH 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
SOL -0.5085% CROWDED SHORT 557% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.55
Max Pain$65,000 (+1.87%)
IV Skew 25d-2.92
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.53
Max Pain$1,950 (+2.76%)
IV Skew 25d19.39
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 101 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
69%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol → Vol Stable F&G: 29 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
🧘
No clear confluence detected — all signal scores below threshold. Standing aside is the edge today.
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $25.2M $19.7M 1.28 🟢 buy-heavy
ETH 0.05 bps $35.3M $34.3M 1.03 ✅ balanced
SOL 1.31 bps $37.1M $37.8M 0.98 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.16 bps $5.6M $6.1M 0.91 ✅ balanced
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 56.24 @ $63,782 ($3.6M) Ask: 32.51 @ $63,833 ($2.1M)
ETH Bid: 673 @ $1,889 ($1.3M) Ask: 501 @ $1,898 ($950K)
SOL Bid: 22202 @ $75 ($1.7M) Ask: 13823 @ $77.65 ($1.1M)
BNB Bid: 695 @ $608.99 ($423.2K) Ask: 707 @ $618.08 ($437.2K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BTC — ratio 1.28 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $63,836
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $7.1B │ 64% Long / 36% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$63,261
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.392% of OI ($451.3M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$64,410
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.608% of OI ($254.7M)
ETH $1,894
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $4.5B │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,877
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.06% of OI ($316.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,911
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.94% of OI ($131.9M)
SOL $76.46
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $651M │ 69% Long / 31% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$75.77
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.8999999999999995% of OI ($44.9M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$77.15
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.1% of OI ($20.2M)
BNB $613.47
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $376.8M │ 66% Long / 34% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$607.95
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.605999999999999% of OI ($24.9M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$618.99
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.3939999999999997% of OI ($12.8M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $63,835.88 $63,813.4 -0.0352% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $1,894.17 $1,893.583 -0.0310% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $76.46 $76.431 -0.0384% ➡️ Neutral
BNB $613.47 $613.6 +0.0212% ➡️ Neutral
Overall: Mixed signals
The Move
VC & News: • Crypto-friendly bank Erebor in talks for $1.5 billion fundraise at $9.5 billion valuation: FT — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/11/crypto-friendly-bank-erebor-in-talks-to-raise-usd1-5-billion-at-usd9-5-billion-valuation-ft • JPYC raises $38 million Series B led by major Japanese logistics firm AZ-COM Maruwa (9090) — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/06/jpyc-raises-usd38-million-series-b-led-by-major-japanese-logistics-firm-az-com-maruwa • Crypto Long & Short: How trapped collateral turns ordinary volatility into forced selling — https://www.coindesk.com/coindesk-indices/2026/08/12/crypto-long-and-short • XRP, ETH price news: Ripple-linked token leads drop as traders eye $70,000 bitcoin — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/08/11/xrp-ether-lead-crypto-losses-as-traders-eye-usd70-000-bitcoin-next • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
Smart Money Flows
$
Crypto-friendly bank Erebor in talks for $1.5 billion fundraise at $9.5 billion valuation: FT — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/11/crypto-friendly-bank-erebor-in-talks-to-raise-usd1-5-billion-at-usd9-5-billion-valuation-ft
$
JPYC raises $38 million Series B led by major Japanese logistics firm AZ-COM Maruwa (9090) — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/06/jpyc-raises-usd38-million-series-b-led-by-major-japanese-logistics-firm-az-com-maruwa
$
Crypto Long & Short: How trapped collateral turns ordinary volatility into forced selling — https://www.coindesk.com/coindesk-indices/2026/08/12/crypto-long-and-short
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 235.3% APY ($2M TVL) BTC-USDC on gmtrade: 191.0% APY ($2M TVL) ETH-USDC on gmtrade: 178.0% APY ($1M TVL) WSOL-AVA on raydium-amm: 122.4% APY ($1M TVL) XAU-USDC on gmtrade: 114.2% APY ($2M TVL)
Stable Farms
SOL-USDCgmtrade 235.3% APY
BTC-USDCgmtrade 191.0% APY
ETH-USDCgmtrade 178.0% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 207 articles from 8 sources
💰 Funding 4 sources 12h ago
The cash-and-equity deal for the options-income specialist folds in NEOSs roughly $1 billion Bitcoin covered-call fund, giving Goldman instant scale in a crypto ETF niche it had only just entered on paper.
CoinTelegraphCoinDeskDecryptBitcoin Magazine
🚀 Protocol 3 sources 16h ago
Kalshi launched access to its sports and crypto perpetual data feed through DoubleZero’s dedicated fiber network to bolster institutional data access.
CoinTelegraphCoinDeskDecrypt
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 7h ago
The post Blockchain Association Backs Custodia Bank to Challenge Fed Account Denial Power appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Crypto lobbying group the Blockchain Association has filed an amicus brief supporting the crypto custodian Custodia Bank in its Supreme Court petition where it fights th
CoinpediaBitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 17h ago
The Boston asset managers FETH would stake up to 100% of its ETH and distribute the rewards to holders as quarterly cash, pending SEC approval.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 18h ago
The Bank of Russia’s proposed gate caps non-qualified residents at ₽300,000 per broker while qualified investors retain broader access. The post Russia picks Bitcoin, Ethereum and USDT for public trading as retail faces $58,000 cap appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CoinDeskCryptoSlate
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 19h ago
The BOE-led Digital Pound Lab will test trade-finance interoperability, in which exporters receive stablecoins while importers settle in a potential digital pound.
CoinTelegraphCoinDesk
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
Spot and perpetual flows have been in favor of the bulls so far.
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Indian Rupee Opens Marginally Lower as US Dollar Holds Firm The Indian rupee opened marginally lower against the US dollar on [Date], tracking the greenbacks firmness in global markets. The local currency started at [opening rate] per dollar, compared to its previous close of [previous
BitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld AUD/USD Faces Resistance at 0.7100 as USD Strength Persists The Australian dollar is struggling to extend its recovery beyond the 0.7100 level against the US dollar, as persistent US dollar strength and a divergence in monetary policy between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the
BitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Monero, Ripple, Bitcoin Price Predictions: Asian Market Wrap for August 13 On August 13, cryptocurrency traders in Asian markets are closely watching Monero, Ripple, and Bitcoin as price movements suggest a mixed session with potential breakout opportunities. This daily wrap provides t
BitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Delio CEO Sentenced to 15 Years in Landmark South Korean Crypto Fraud Case A South Korean court has sentenced Delio CEO Jeong Sang-ho to 15 years in prison, marking the first major ruling in a cryptocurrency fraud case involving approximately 250 billion won (around $180 million). The
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 35,464 | Graduated: 1,115 (3.14%)
├ Volume: $507.9M | Traders: 451.3K
└ Market Share: 14.6%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 227.6K created → 7.2K graduated (3.16%)
└ 30d: 817K created → 27.8K graduated (3.41%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 37,782 | Graduated: 3,048
├ Total Volume: $3.5B | Traders: ~590K
├ Active Launchpads: 53
└ Overall Grad Rate: 8.07%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $3B (85.3%) — 2K mints
2. pump.fun — $507.9M (14.6%) — 35.5K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $2.1M (0.1%) — 58 mints
4. metadao — $1.6M (0.0%) — 0 mints
5. moonshot — $1.4M (0.0%) — 24 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
Question Mark Giants 🔥 $194.9K (6 tokens)
Top: unity $5.6K · PUMPFUN $3.6K · PUMP $6.2K
Kiro Proposes 'Bot' Meme Trend Culture 🔥 $169.9K (6 tokens)
Top: BOT $54.5 · BOT $16.1 · Bot $-759.8
Alleged Grok Bot Meme Culture 🔥 $169.2K (6 tokens)
Top: BOT $3.7K · BOT $80.3 · BOT $597
Transnational Oil Supply Themes 🔥 $159.9K (6 tokens)
Top: TNOS $91.7K · TNOS $8.7K · TNOS $191.7K
Alleged GTA Coin Launch Culture 🔥 $132K (6 tokens)
Top: GTA $7.7K · GTA $13K · GTA $114.4K
United States Oil Protocol Themes 🔥 $93.4K (5 tokens)
Top: USOP $13.6K · USOP $4.2K · USOP $9K
United States Oil Holdings Themes 🔥 $86.6K (3 tokens)
Top: USOH $72.4K · USOH $14.2K · USOH $0
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 ONE ⚪ Unknown
#3 ORANGE ⚪ Unknown
#4 BONK ⚪ Unknown
#5 HYPE ⚪ Unknown
#6 POPCAT ⚪ Unknown
#7 VIRTUAL ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $3B +7.3%
BSC $2.7B +5.8%
Ethereum $2.4B +3.5%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 67% NO 33%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 31% NO 69%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 1% NO 99%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 86% NO 14%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (1 bullish / 4 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-08-13 06:15:58 UTC · Errors: 1