Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Wednesday 17 Jun London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
22
Extreme Fear
Global Voltage
$2.3T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
DAI
-11.5M
USDT
+93.4M
USDC
+19.4M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Solana
-105.6M
Ethereum
+23.5M
BSC
+15.1M
Tron
-10.1M
Base
-954K
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $65,862 -0.49% 6.7%
ETH $1,796 +1.68% 9.5%
SOL $73.76 -0.15% 13.5%
BNB $607.68 -1.08% 2.4%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $3B -19.8%
Ethereum $2.4B -21.6%
BSC $2.3B -19.8%
Arbitrum $2.3B -21.8%
Solana $2.2B -2.6%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
SUI 12:00 London +0.453% 77%
PEPE 18:00 NY -0.339% 33%
SUI 18:00 NY -0.33% 43%
PEPE 23:00 Late +0.281% 53%
LINK 18:00 NY -0.273% 33%
DOGE 18:00 NY -0.264% 40%
SOL 18:00 NY -0.263% 40%
SUI 20:00 NY +0.258% 57%
Day-of-Week: Today is Wednesday
BTC -1.86% win 25%
ETH -2.17% win 0%
SOL -2.53% win 0%
BNB -2.29% win 0%
XRP -2.19% win 0%
DOGE -2.03% win 25%
AVAX -2.22% win 0%
LINK -2% win 0%
SUI -2.05% win 0%
PEPE -1.61% win 0%
Historical Setup Matches
XRP 2026-06-13 100% match 24h: +0.42% 48h: +3.5%
XRP 2026-06-14 100% match 24h: +3.07% 48h: +7.76%
XRP 2026-05-30 100% match 24h: -0.54% 48h: -2.92%
DOGE 2026-06-14 100% match 24h: +1.54% 48h: +0.76%
DOGE 2026-06-13 100% match 24h: +0.14% 48h: +1.68%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$10.1M
7d: $-369.9M
ETH ETF Flow
$9.6M
7d: $17.2M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $94.4K 20% longs CASCADE
ETH $98.2K 70% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BNB 3.2732% CROWDED LONG 3584% APR
ETH 0.8592% CROWDED LONG 941% APR
BTC 0.8582% CROWDED LONG 940% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.64
Max Pain$70,000 (+3.22%)
IV Skew 25d13.51
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.54
Max Pain$2,000 (+11.35%)
IV Skew 25d9.75
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 139 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
50%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol ↓ Vol Down F&G: 22 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
🧘
No clear confluence detected — all signal scores below threshold. Standing aside is the edge today.
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $11.8M $12M 0.99 ✅ balanced
ETH 0.06 bps $25.7M $29.7M 0.86 ✅ balanced
SOL 1.36 bps $37.3M $37.8M 0.99 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.16 bps $6.6M $5.7M 1.15 ✅ balanced
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 10.00 @ $65,792 ($657.9K) Ask: 5.16 @ $65,872 ($339.8K)
ETH Bid: 538 @ $1,790 ($963.2K) Ask: 609 @ $1,800 ($1.1M)
SOL Bid: 15967 @ $73 ($1.2M) Ask: 15156 @ $74.23 ($1.1M)
BNB Bid: 515 @ $604.91 ($311.6K) Ask: 534 @ $610 ($325.9K)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $65,862
Balanced
OI: $6.8B │ 59% Long / 41% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$65,269
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.938000000000001% of OI ($402.5M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$66,455
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.062% of OI ($275.3M)
ETH $1,796
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $4B │ 64% Long / 36% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,779
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.404999999999999% of OI ($259.1M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,812
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.595% of OI ($145.4M)
SOL $73.76
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $766.6M │ 73% Long / 27% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$73.1
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.274000000000001% of OI ($55.8M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$74.42
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.7260000000000004% of OI ($20.9M)
BNB $607.68
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $339M │ 72% Long / 28% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$602.21
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.198% of OI ($24.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$613.15
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.8020000000000005% of OI ($9.5M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $65,862 $65,813.4 -0.0738% 📉 Backwardation
ETH $1,795.52 $1,794.8 -0.0401% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $73.76 $73.72 -0.0542% 📉 Backwardation
BNB $607.68 $608 +0.0527% 📈 Contango
Overall: Shorts dominant — bearish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Markets | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/markets • Latest Crypto Video News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/videos • Live bitcoin updates: What's next for bitcoin as it faces headwinds from SpaceX, Fed rates, and Mythos — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/10/live-updates-what-next-for-bitcoin-as-it-faces-headwinds-from-fed-rates-to-claude-s-mythos • Forbes 2026 Midas List: Top Venture Capital Investors Ranked — https://www.forbes.com/lists/midas/
Smart Money Flows
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
$
Markets | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/markets
$
Latest Crypto Video News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/videos
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): SPCX-USDC on orca-dex: 417.2% APY ($2M TVL) JTO-JITOSOL on kamino-liquidity: 376.0% APY ($1M TVL) JTO-JITOSOL on orca-dex: 192.9% APY ($1M TVL) CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 145.9% APY ($4M TVL) XAG-USDC on gmtrade: 128.4% APY ($3M TVL)
Stable Farms
SPCX-USDCorca-dex 417.2% APY
JTO-JITOSOLkamino-liquidity 376.0% APY
JTO-JITOSOLorca-dex 192.9% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 107 articles from 8 sources
🚀 Protocol 2 sources 15h ago
The asset manager joins BlackRock, Franklin Templeton and others competing to manage reserves backing the growing stablecoin market.
CoinTelegraphCoinDesk
💰 Funding 1 source just now
“It appears traders are seeing the latest BTC acquisition as an unsustainable path for STRC,” said 10x Research’s Markus Thielen.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP Price Forecast Today appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Bitcoin (BTC) is consolidating near the $66,000 level after a recent recovery attempt. The cryptocurrency remains below major exponential moving averages, indicating that a stronger breakout is needed t
Coinpedia
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
The Trump loyalist drew more crypto dollars than any candidate so far in this year's midterms, and the result marks a big win for the industry's political arm.
CoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld U.S. Congress Reaches Deal to Prohibit Federal Reserve CBDC Issuance Until 2030 U.S. congressional leaders have reached a bipartisan agreement on a sweeping infrastructure and housing bill that includes a notable provision: a prohibition on the Federal Reserve issuing a central bank di
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
The post Altcoins Aren’t Dead, But the Easy Money Era Is Over: CryptoQuant  appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju believes altcoins are not dead, but the market has changed dramatically. In a recent post on X, Ju argued that the days of making money from tokens backed
Coinpedia
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld Israel Resumes Drone Strikes in Southern Lebanon, Iran Warns of Response Israel has resumed drone strikes in southern Lebanon, targeting the village of Ansariyah and the Nabatieh region, according to multiple Middle Eastern media reports. The strikes mark a significant escalation in th
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
Bitcoin's Sharpe ratio hit a level that has marked every cycle low since 2015, but in each case it preceded months of basing rather than an immediate rebound.
CoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
EU's crypto users could face disruption ahead of compliance deadline.
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld Indian Rupee Holds Steady as Risk-On Mood Lifts Asian Currencies The Indian rupee traded in a narrow range on Tuesday, holding steady against the US dollar as a broad improvement in global risk appetite supported emerging market currencies. The currency remained largely unchanged from
BitcoinWorld
🌐 Macro 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld AUD/USD Consolidates Above 0.7050 as 100-Day SMA Holds Key Resistance Ahead of Fed Decision The Australian dollar is trading in a tight range above the 0.7050 level against the US dollar, with traders closely watching the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) as a critical resistance bar
BitcoinWorld
🌐 Macro 1 source 1h ago
“There is effectively no comparable state financial transaction tax on stocks, bonds or derivatives anywhere in the country,” said a16z general counsel Miles Jennings.
CoinTelegraph
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 30,500 | Graduated: 268 (0.88%)
├ Volume: $272.1M | Traders: 411.1K
└ Market Share: 14.8%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 187.1K created → 1.6K graduated (0.88%)
└ 30d: 767.8K created → 6.5K graduated (0.84%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 32,674 | Graduated: 1,836
├ Total Volume: $1.8B | Traders: ~545.6K
├ Active Launchpads: 55
└ Overall Grad Rate: 5.62%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $1.6B (84.6%) — 1.7K mints
2. pump.fun — $272.1M (14.8%) — 30.5K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $5.5M (0.3%) — 121 mints
4. bags.fun — $3.3M (0.2%) — 202 mints
5. orynth — $542.4K (0.0%) — 26 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
SPCX69 Themes 🔥 $82.4K (3 tokens)
Top: SPCX69 $82.4K · SPCX69 $0 · SPCX69 $0
PROVE IT Themes 🔥 $65.5K (6 tokens)
Top: PROVE $65.5K · PROVE $-0.7 · PROVE $-0.1
Alleged SERIOUS Token Relaunch Culture 🔥 $54.3K (6 tokens)
Top: SERIOUS $54.5K · SERIOUS $-0 · SERIOUS $0.6
Alexandra-Mihaela Boboc Shares Liv's Stargrace Link Culture 🔥 $49K (6 tokens)
Top: STARGRACE $16.8K · STARGRACE $19.4K · STARGRACE $1.4K
Ansem Clarifies Pump.fun Wallet Link Culture 🔥 $45.1K (6 tokens)
Top: ANSEM $32.2K · Hobbes $7.6K · WIF $2.7K
Alleged USBC Token Launch Themes 🔥 $40.8K (4 tokens)
Top: USBC $40.8K · USBC $0 · USBC $0.1
Alleged GUARDIAN Token Meme Themes 🔥 $26.9K (6 tokens)
Top: GUARDIAN $26.9K · GUARDIAN $6.4 · GUARDIAN $0
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 HYPE ⚪ Unknown
#2 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#3 SPACEX ⚪ Unknown
#4 CARDS ⚪ Unknown
#5 FRAG ⚪ Unknown
#6 KINS ⚪ Unknown
#7 WOC ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $3B -19.8%
Ethereum $2.4B -21.6%
BSC $2.3B -19.8%
Prediction Markets
📈 Stocks/Commodities
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
YES 100% NO 0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
YES 94% NO 6%
🏛️ Politics
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 5% NO 95%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
YES 6% NO 94%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
YES 100% NO 0%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 2% NO 98%
CROWD VIEW
Stocks: Bullish (2 bullish / 0 bearish / 0 split) · Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 4 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-06-17 06:16:01 UTC · Errors: 1