Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Monday 13 Jul London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
28
Fear
Global Voltage
$2.2T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDC
+96.1M
DAI
+698.6K
USDT
-9M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
BSC
+463.2M
Tron
+127.8M
Solana
+107.6M
Ethereum
+5.7M
Base
+1.3M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $62,746 -1.58% -1.4%
ETH $1,778 -0.86% -0.4%
SOL $76.32 +0.38% -6.5%
BNB $567.83 -0.59% -3.7%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $3.8B +27.1%
BSC $3.4B +27.5%
Ethereum $3.3B +28.3%
Arbitrum $3.3B +29.9%
Monad $3.1B +31.4%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
PEPE 21:00 Late +0.422% 43%
AVAX 15:00 NY +0.271% 73%
PEPE 22:00 Late -0.247% 37%
PEPE 6:00 Asia -0.238% 20%
AVAX 21:00 Late +0.228% 57%
LINK 15:00 NY +0.218% 67%
AVAX 20:00 NY +0.214% 53%
SUI 3:00 Asia +0.195% 63%
Day-of-Week: Today is Monday
BTC +0.44% win 75%
ETH +0.91% win 100%
SOL +2.03% win 100%
BNB +0.5% win 75%
XRP +0.63% win 50%
DOGE +0.29% win 75%
AVAX +1.61% win 75%
LINK +1.08% win 100%
SUI +1.4% win 50%
PEPE +0.77% win 75%
Historical Setup Matches
XRP 2026-06-23 100% match 24h: -1.28% 48h: -2.33%
XRP 2026-06-24 100% match 24h: -1.06% 48h: -4.44%
XRP 2026-06-29 100% match 24h: -0.18% 48h: -0.5%
DOGE 2026-06-21 100% match 24h: +0.01% 48h: -4.18%
DOGE 2026-06-30 100% match 24h: -1.24% 48h: +0.19%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$90.4M
7d: $124.5M
ETH ETF Flow
$18.4M
7d: $128.4M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $1.7M 100% longs CASCADE
ETH $301.6K 28% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
SOL 0.3024% CROWDED LONG 331% APR
ETH -0.0523% CROWDED SHORT 57% APR
BTC 0.0429% CROWDED LONG 47% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.55
Max Pain$65,000 (+3.21%)
IV Skew 25d18.07
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.55
Max Pain$1,850 (+3.77%)
IV Skew 25d47.04
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 120 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
55%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 28 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
ETH Funding extreme — Bullish Signal
⚡ MEDIUM
ACTION Long ETH
ENTRY $1,778
TARGET $1,849 (+4.0%)
STOP $1,733 (-2.5%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded short -0.0523%). Liquidation cascade (72% shorts wiped). Options P/C ratio 0.55 (bullish).
██████░░░░ 56/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeOptions P/C ratio 0.55Monday pattern
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $9.9M $10.8M 0.92 ✅ balanced
ETH 0.06 bps $19.6M $15.4M 1.27 🟢 buy-heavy
SOL 1.31 bps $37.7M $29.3M 1.29 🟢 buy-heavy
BNB 0.18 bps $6.1M $4.7M 1.30 🟢 buy-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 17.16 @ $62,714 ($1.1M) Ask: 30.61 @ $62,764 ($1.9M)
ETH Bid: 852 @ $1,775 ($1.5M) Ask: 400 @ $1,777 ($710.9K)
SOL Bid: 24507 @ $75 ($1.8M) Ask: 12832 @ $77.05 ($988.7K)
BNB Bid: 812 @ $565 ($458.6K) Ask: 410 @ $572.66 ($234.6K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BNB — ratio 1.30 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $62,746
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $6.3B │ 61% Long / 39% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$62,182
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.1160000000000005% of OI ($383.9M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$63,311
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.884000000000001% of OI ($243.8M)
ETH $1,778
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $4B │ 66% Long / 34% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,762
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.578% of OI ($265M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,794
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.422% of OI ($137.9M)
SOL $76.32
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $678.3M │ 70% Long / 30% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$75.63
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.0440000000000005% of OI ($47.8M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$77.01
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.956% of OI ($20.1M)
BNB $567.83
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $322.9M │ 75% Long / 25% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$562.72
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.514% of OI ($24.3M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$572.94
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.486% of OI ($8M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $62,746.27 $62,719 -0.0435% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $1,777.79 $1,777.036 -0.0424% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $76.32 $76.28 -0.0524% 📉 Backwardation
BNB $567.83 $568.16 +0.0581% 📈 Contango
Overall: Mixed signals
The Move
VC & News: • EDX Markets raises $76 million in Series C funding round led by SBI Holdings — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/07/edx-markets-raises-usd76-million-in-funding-round-led-by-sbi-holdings • U.S. SEC to propose crypto rule as soon as this month to ease startups, fundraising — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/07/07/u-s-sec-to-propose-crypto-rule-as-soon-as-this-month-to-ease-startups-fundraising • Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business • Crypto VC Paradigm launches $1.2 billion AI fund as it broadens beyond digital assets — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/07/08/crypto-vc-paradigm-launches-usd1-2-billion-ai-fund-as-it-broadens-beyond-digital-assets-bbg • Live updates: Bitcoin price (BTC) falls back to $62,000 as Iran ceasefire collapses — https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/07/08/live-markets-japan-s-collapsing-yen-is-pushing-companies-into-bitcoin-and-xrp
Smart Money Flows
$
EDX Markets raises $76 million in Series C funding round led by SBI Holdings — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/07/edx-markets-raises-usd76-million-in-funding-round-led-by-sbi-holdings
$
U.S. SEC to propose crypto rule as soon as this month to ease startups, fundraising — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/07/07/u-s-sec-to-propose-crypto-rule-as-soon-as-this-month-to-ease-startups-fundraising
$
Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 129.7% APY ($2M TVL) ETH-USDC on gmtrade: 110.7% APY ($1M TVL) XAG-USDC on gmtrade: 107.5% APY ($3M TVL) XAU-USDC on gmtrade: 107.0% APY ($4M TVL) SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 104.0% APY ($2M TVL)
Stable Farms
CARDS-USDCraydium-amm 129.7% APY
ETH-USDCgmtrade 110.7% APY
XAG-USDCgmtrade 107.5% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 52 articles from 7 sources
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post BTC USD Falls Below $64,000 as Geopolitical Tensions Trigger Sell-Off appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Bitcoin fell below $64,000 after renewed geopolitical tensions over the weekend weighed on global markets. According to the source, about $14.39 million in Bitcoin long positions w
Coinpedia
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
The post Exclusive: Michaël van de Poppe Reveals His Top Altcoin Picks for This Week appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Van de Poppe is watching ARB, UNI, AAVE, ETHFI, NEAR, ZEC, SOL, and SUI closely, as these altcoins show interesting market movements. He credits the Robinhood Chain launch fo
Coinpedia
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
The post Asian Stock Market Today Fall as South Korea Stocks Leads Sell-Off appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Asian stock markets declined, led by South Korea, where the KOSPI dropped 5.14%. Japans Nikkei 225 fell 1.12% and Chinas Shanghai Composite lost 0.76%, while Hong Kongs Hang Seng gain
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post Verasity Price Prediction 2026, 2027 2030: Will VRA Price Go Up? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Story Highlights The current price of Verasity is . The VRA price could reach a maximum of $0.00003 by the end of 2026. With a potential surge, the price could reach a high of $0.00017
Coinpedia
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
The AI-native cohort of the expanding gig economy could increasingly use stablecoins to avoid slow and expensive traditional payment rails, Australian crypto exchange Swyftx said.
CoinTelegraph
💰 Funding 1 source 1h ago
The stablecoin sector booms as investors look for more reliable blockchain payment methods.
AmbCrypto
🌐 Macro 1 source 1h ago
Gold, oil, stocks and bonds all moved sharply on the fourth round of U.S. strikes on Iran, but bitcoin is little-changed.
CoinDesk
🔐 Security 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld Hacker Uses Stolen Robinhood Founder Wallet to Orchestrate Memecoin Pump-and-Dump A security incident involving a Robinhood founders digital wallet has highlighted the persistent risks of private key exposure in the cryptocurrency space. According to Michael, Chief Business Officer (CB
BitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
Thailand has been plagued by Chinese-affiliated scam centers, with illicit gains flowing through a “gray money” economy.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld Whale Trader Swaps $25M in ETH for BTC in Latest Ratio Strategy Move A prominent cryptocurrency whale executed a significant trade approximately 30 minutes ago, swapping 13,708 Ethereum (ETH) valued at roughly $25 million for 393.4 Bitcoin (BTC). The transaction, tracked and analyzed
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source 2h ago
BitcoinWorld Crypto Futures Liquidations Top $125M in 24 Hours: BTC Longs Hit Hard, ETH Shorts Dominate The crypto derivatives market saw over $125 million in forced position closures across major perpetual futures contracts in the past 24 hours, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the losses and a l
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 17,066 | Graduated: 422 (2.47%)
├ Volume: $218.9M | Traders: 256.4K
└ Market Share: 10.1%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 154.8K created → 3.5K graduated (2.29%)
└ 30d: 754.7K created → 10.7K graduated (1.42%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 22,787 | Graduated: 5,914
├ Total Volume: $2.2B | Traders: ~430.6K
├ Active Launchpads: 51
└ Overall Grad Rate: 25.95%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $1.9B (89.6%) — 5.6K mints
2. pump.fun — $218.9M (10.1%) — 17.1K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $1.8M (0.1%) — 62 mints
4. moonshot — $760.8K (0.0%) — 9 mints
5. bags.fun — $542.4K (0.0%) — 29 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
The African Bull Themes 🔥 $55K (3 tokens)
Top: SUNUSI $54.6K · SUNUSI $96.3 · SUNUSI $297.1
EVERMEADOW Culture 🔥 $53K (6 tokens)
Top: EVERMEADOW $49.5K · EVERMEADOW $121.1 · EVERMEADOW $108.5
Beggy Bull Themes 🔥 $51.2K (6 tokens)
Top: BEGGY $51.2K · BEGGY $7.3 · BEGGY $5.5
Robinhood Original Name Culture 🔥 $50.3K (6 tokens)
Top: CASHCAT $38K · CASHCAT $2.3K · CASHCAT $2K
NIGGABULL Themes 🔥 $47.9K (4 tokens)
Top: NIGGABULL $47.9K · NIGGABULL $11.8 · NIGGABULL $12.8
Sunny Street Themes 🔥 $45.8K (1 tokens)
Top: SUNNYS $45.8K
FINN Replies to Cat Question Culture 🔥 $44.7K (6 tokens)
Top: CASHCAT $38K · CASHCAT $2.3K · CASHCAT $2K
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 ANSEM ⚪ Unknown
#3 CUPSEY ⚪ Unknown
#4 TROLL ⚪ Unknown
#5 BERT ⚪ Unknown
#6 CARDS ⚪ Unknown
#7 TRIPLET ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $3.8B +27.1%
BSC $3.4B +27.5%
Ethereum $3.3B +28.3%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 54% NO 46%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
YES 77% NO 23%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 0% NO 100%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 4 bearish / 1 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-07-13 06:16:01 UTC · Errors: 1