Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Saturday 25 Jul London 07:15
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
27
Fear
Global Voltage
$2.3T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDT
+1.3B
USDC
-413.1M
DAI
-3.3M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Tron
+1.1B
BSC
+549.3M
Ethereum
+218.2M
Base
-58.8M
Solana
+10.1M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $64,055 -2.03% 0.2%
ETH $1,859 -1.19% 1.0%
SOL $74.01 -2.46% -1.4%
BNB $565.05 -0.60% -0.5%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $3.8B +0.5%
BSC $3.4B +0.9%
Ethereum $3.3B -0.2%
Arbitrum $3.2B -0.0%
Polygon $2.7B +0.7%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
PEPE 5:00 Asia -0.377% 23%
AVAX 15:00 NY +0.341% 60%
LINK 15:00 NY +0.314% 57%
PEPE 21:00 Late +0.312% 43%
ETH 15:00 NY +0.288% 53%
BTC 15:00 NY +0.276% 57%
SOL 15:00 NY +0.273% 60%
AVAX 12:00 London -0.264% 33%
Day-of-Week: Today is Saturday
BTC +0.89% win 100%
ETH +1.25% win 100%
SOL +0.85% win 75%
BNB +0.4% win 75%
XRP +1.26% win 100%
DOGE +1.18% win 100%
AVAX +1.45% win 75%
LINK +1.25% win 100%
SUI +1.98% win 100%
PEPE +4.49% win 100%
Historical Setup Matches
XRP 2026-07-20 100% match 24h: +4.22% 48h: +3.73%
XRP 2026-07-17 100% match 24h: +0.48% 48h: +1.08%
XRP 2026-07-22 100% match 24h: +0.26% 48h: -1.5%
DOGE 2026-07-01 100% match 24h: +1.45% 48h: +5.31%
DOGE 2026-07-22 100% match 24h: -0.01% 48h: -3%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$-240.1M
7d: $245.2M
ETH ETF Flow
$-70.6M
7d: $112.6M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $81.5K 99% longs CASCADE
ETH $3.6K 95% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BTC 0.3894% CROWDED LONG 426% APR
ETH 0.1555% CROWDED LONG 170% APR
SOL -0.1482% CROWDED SHORT 162% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.43
Max Pain$66,000 (+3.12%)
IV Skew 25d16.19
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.5
Max Pain$1,900 (+2.26%)
IV Skew 25d-9.39
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 116 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
58%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol → Vol Stable F&G: 27 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
BTC Funding extreme — Bearish Signal
💡 LOW
ACTION Short BTC
ENTRY $64,055
TARGET $61,492 (-4.0%)
STOP $65,656 (+2.5%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded long 0.3894%). Liquidation cascade (99% longs wiped). ETF outflow $240M.
████░░░░░░ 43/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeETF outflow $240MLiquidation risk: long-squeeze dominant
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $17M $14.6M 1.16 🟢 buy-heavy
ETH 0.05 bps $21M $25.4M 0.83 🔴 sell-heavy
SOL 1.35 bps $44.4M $35M 1.27 🟢 buy-heavy
BNB 0.18 bps $4.7M $5.4M 0.86 ✅ balanced
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 24.69 @ $64,022 ($1.6M) Ask: 11.18 @ $64,051 ($715.9K)
ETH Bid: 450 @ $1,855 ($834.1K) Ask: 612 @ $1,862 ($1.1M)
SOL Bid: 109620 @ $73.22 ($8M) Ask: 11858 @ $74.29 ($880.9K)
BNB Bid: 242 @ $564.14 ($136.5K) Ask: 610 @ $567.65 ($346.3K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: SOL — ratio 1.27 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $64,055
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $6.9B │ 65% Long / 35% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$63,478
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.505% of OI ($451.2M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$64,631
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.495% of OI ($242.4M)
ETH $1,859
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $4.3B │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,843
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.064000000000001% of OI ($304M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,876
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.9360000000000004% of OI ($126.4M)
SOL $74.01
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $669M │ 74% Long / 26% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$73.34
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.385000000000002% of OI ($49.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$74.68
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.615% of OI ($17.5M)
BNB $565.05
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $338M │ 75% Long / 25% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$559.96
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.468000000000001% of OI ($25.2M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$570.14
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.532% of OI ($8.6M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $64,054.63 $64,021.5 -0.0517% 📉 Backwardation
ETH $1,859.49 $1,858.628 -0.0464% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $74.01 $73.97 -0.0540% 📉 Backwardation
BNB $565.05 $565.355 +0.0539% 📈 Contango
Overall: Shorts dominant — bearish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • World Foundation raises $52.5 million in new funding round lead by Pantera Capital — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/24/sam-altman-backed-world-network-secures-fresh-funding-to-fight-online-ai-deepfakes • Stablecoin bank Augustus raises $180 million to build a clearing bank for the AI era — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/21/augustus-raises-usd180-million-to-build-a-clearing-bank-for-the-ai-and-stablecoin-era • Moonshot AI IPO push follows Kimi, Alibaba AI releases that shook bitcoin — https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/07/20/moonshot-ai-ipo-push-follows-kimi-alibaba-ai-releases-that-shook-bitcoin • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business
Smart Money Flows
$
World Foundation raises $52.5 million in new funding round lead by Pantera Capital — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/24/sam-altman-backed-world-network-secures-fresh-funding-to-fight-online-ai-deepfakes
$
Stablecoin bank Augustus raises $180 million to build a clearing bank for the AI era — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/21/augustus-raises-usd180-million-to-build-a-clearing-bank-for-the-ai-and-stablecoin-era
$
Moonshot AI IPO push follows Kimi, Alibaba AI releases that shook bitcoin — https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/07/20/moonshot-ai-ipo-push-follows-kimi-alibaba-ai-releases-that-shook-bitcoin
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): BTC-USDC on gmtrade: 213.9% APY ($2M TVL) ETH-USDC on gmtrade: 209.4% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 188.6% APY ($2M TVL) XAG-USDC on gmtrade: 118.5% APY ($3M TVL) XAU-USDC on gmtrade: 93.3% APY ($3M TVL)
Stable Farms
BTC-USDCgmtrade 213.9% APY
ETH-USDCgmtrade 209.4% APY
SOL-USDCgmtrade 188.6% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 104 articles from 8 sources
🏛️ Regulation 5 sources 21h ago
The signed offers equal 31.8% of wallet IOUs only in gross arithmetic, before estate boundaries, liens and bankruptcy costs. The post Bitcoin mining giant Poolin files for bankruptcy owing 11,700 users $164 million appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CoinTelegraphCoinDeskDecryptCryptoSlateAmbCrypto
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 20h ago
The order targets Bitchat, an offline Bluetooth mesh app built to relay encrypted messages and bitcoin transactions, as 'Cockroach Janta Party' protesters in Delhi use mesh tools to communicate through internet shutdowns.
CoinDeskDecrypt
📊 Market 2 sources 20h ago
Samsung Electronics plans to add stablecoin support to Samsung Wallet, expanding its mobile payments and rewards platform to include digital assets.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
🌐 Macro 2 sources 22h ago
After attracting nearly $1 billion over seven trading sessions, US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their first daily net outflow since July 13.
CoinTelegraphAmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld How Does a Complete Beginner Buy Their First Bitcoin in India? How Does a Complete Beginner Buy Their First Bitcoin in India? Buying your first Bitcoin in India in 2026 takes six clear steps, and none of them require any technical knowledge of how blockchain works. The process starts
BitcoinWorld
💰 Funding 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld Can Someone Start Crypto With Just Rs 100 in India? Can Someone Start Crypto With Just Rs 100 in India? Yes, you can deposit Rs 100 on most Indian crypto exchanges and buy a small fraction of a cryptocurrency. But whether that Rs 100 is a useful investment is a different question entir
BitcoinWorld
💰 Funding 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld What Is the Minimum Amount Needed to Start Investing in Crypto in India? What Is the Minimum Amount Needed to Start Investing in Crypto in India? There is no government-mandated minimum investment amount for crypto in India, but there are very real practical minimums set by exchanges,
BitcoinWorld
🌐 Macro 1 source 2h ago
Understanding why ETFs are important to the crypto market.
AmbCrypto
🌐 Macro 1 source 2h ago
Will BTC reclaim $70K in early August as Japan adoption grows?
AmbCrypto
🔐 Security 1 source 2h ago
The post Bitcoin’s Nine Biggest Institutional Holders Unite to Fund Network Security appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Nine major Bitcoin institutions have now joined forces to protect the infrastructure behind the asset they collectively depend on. Anchorage Digital, ARK Invest, BlackRock, B
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source 3h ago
BEAT can extend the rally into the new week, yet the downside liquidity keeps the risk in play.
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source 4h ago
Corporate holdings rose by 230,000 BTC, but their combined value fell $47 billion.
AmbCrypto
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 25,421 | Graduated: 1,075 (4.23%)
├ Volume: $419.4M | Traders: 499.6K
└ Market Share: 14.5%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 161.4K created → 6.6K graduated (4.06%)
└ 30d: 716.5K created → 17.4K graduated (2.43%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 27,013 | Graduated: 2,444
├ Total Volume: $2.9B | Traders: ~599.8K
├ Active Launchpads: 50
└ Overall Grad Rate: 9.05%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $2.5B (85.2%) — 1.4K mints
2. pump.fun — $419.4M (14.5%) — 25.4K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $2.6M (0.1%) — 111 mints
4. metadao — $2M (0.1%) — 0 mints
5. moonshot — $988.7K (0.0%) — 29 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
Alleged Chonketha Token Culture 🔥 $62.7K (6 tokens)
Top: Chonketha $62.6K · Chonketha $36.6 · Chonketha $45.2
Elon Musk's Robot Fights Giants 🔥 $61.1K (6 tokens)
Top: CAGE $60.5K · CAGE $48.2 · URKL $230.7
ANSEM COIN Launch Themes 🔥 $51.9K (6 tokens)
Top: ANSEMCOIN $48.2K · ANSEMCOIN $1.1K · ANSEMCOIN $-37.6
Jimothy The Robin Themes 🔥 $51K (1 tokens)
Top: Jimhood $51K
Future Colosseum Themes 🔥 $47.3K (1 tokens)
Top: CAGE $47.3K
Eve Themes 🔥 $45.2K (1 tokens)
Top: EVE $45.2K
Alleged Bunkee Token Relaunch Culture 🔥 $43.6K (5 tokens)
Top: BUNKEE $39K · BUNKEE $12.4 · BUNKEE $0.2
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SPCX ⚪ Unknown
#2 ANSEM ⚪ Unknown
#3 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#4 TAO ⚪ Unknown
#5 TROLL ⚪ Unknown
#6 AURA ⚪ Unknown
#7 ALTSZN ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $3.8B +0.5%
BSC $3.4B +0.9%
Ethereum $3.3B -0.2%
Prediction Markets
📈 Stocks/Commodities
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
YES 1% NO 99%
🏛️ Politics
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 56% NO 44%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YES 82% NO 18%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
YES 73% NO 27%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
YES 10% NO 90%
CROWD VIEW
Stocks: Bearish (0 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split) · Politics: Bearish (1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-07-25 06:15:58 UTC · Errors: 1