Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Wednesday 24 Jun London 07:15
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
Global Voltage
$2.2T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDC
-341.5M
DAI
-12.1M
USDT
+1.1M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Ethereum
-83.2M
Base
+30M
Solana
+16.8M
Tron
+7.9M
BSC
+2.6M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $62,838 -0.58% -4.3%
ETH $1,674 -1.98% -6.7%
SOL $69.93 -1.22% -4.9%
BNB $579.93 -0.54% -4.1%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $3B +1.2%
BSC $2.4B -2.9%
Solana $2.3B +13.8%
Ethereum $2.2B -2.6%
Arbitrum $2.2B -1.5%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
AVAX 7:00 Asia +0.325% 55%
SUI 12:00 London +0.325% 70%
SUI 18:00 NY -0.32% 43%
AVAX 19:00 NY -0.312% 40%
SUI 4:00 Asia -0.277% 40%
SUI 15:00 NY -0.27% 43%
PEPE 19:00 NY -0.264% 27%
PEPE 18:00 NY -0.263% 37%
Day-of-Week: Today is Wednesday
BTC -2.19% win 0%
ETH -1.89% win 25%
SOL -2.72% win 0%
BNB -2.56% win 0%
XRP -2.34% win 0%
DOGE -1.93% win 25%
AVAX -2.11% win 0%
LINK -1.41% win 25%
SUI -1.01% win 25%
PEPE -1.41% win 0%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-05-30 71% match 24h: +0.44% 48h: -0.99%
BTC 2026-05-29 71% match 24h: +0.03% 48h: +0.47%
BTC 2026-05-27 71% match 24h: -3.26% 48h: -3.22%
XRP 2026-06-08 100% match 24h: +2.05% 48h: -2.73%
XRP 2026-06-10 100% match 24h: -0.13% 48h: +1.52%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$-68.2M
7d: $-228.2M
ETH ETF Flow
$-66M
7d: $-96.9M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $94.9K 96% longs CASCADE
ETH $138.1K 94% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BTC 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
SOL -0.6359% CROWDED SHORT 696% APR
ETH 0.3901% CROWDED LONG 427% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.62
Max Pain$70,000 (+11.33%)
IV Skew 25d17.7
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.54
Max Pain$2,000 (+19.66%)
IV Skew 25d-35.16
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 142 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔴 Markdown
CONFIDENCE
46%
Markdown phase — declining prices with fear. Historically ends with capitulation events that mark the start of new accumulation.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 17 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
BTC Funding extreme — Bearish Signal
⚡ MEDIUM
ACTION Short BTC
ENTRY $62,838
TARGET $60,953 (-3.0%)
STOP $64,723 (+3.0%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded long 1.0000%). Liquidation cascade (96% longs wiped). Liquidation risk: long-squeeze dominant.
█████░░░░░ 49/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeLiquidation risk: long-squeeze dominant
ETH Funding extreme — Bearish Signal
⚡ MEDIUM
ACTION Short ETH
ENTRY $1,674
TARGET $1,623 (-3.0%)
STOP $1,724 (+3.0%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded long 0.3901%). Liquidation cascade (94% longs wiped). Liquidation risk: long-squeeze dominant.
█████░░░░░ 49/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeLiquidation risk: long-squeeze dominant
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $9.8M $12.1M 0.81 🔴 sell-heavy
ETH 0.06 bps $27.5M $28M 0.98 ✅ balanced
SOL 1.43 bps $39.3M $35.9M 1.09 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.17 bps $5.2M $5.6M 0.94 ✅ balanced
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 10.01 @ $62,767 ($628.3K) Ask: 11.72 @ $62,812 ($736.3K)
ETH Bid: 819 @ $1,668 ($1.4M) Ask: 762 @ $1,678 ($1.3M)
SOL Bid: 18531 @ $69.35 ($1.3M) Ask: 15502 @ $70.87 ($1.1M)
BNB Bid: 703 @ $576.21 ($405.2K) Ask: 683 @ $583.74 ($399K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BTC — ratio 0.81 (sell-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $62,838
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $6.1B 67% Long / 33% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$62,272
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.668% of OI ($409.5M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$63,404
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.3320000000000003% of OI ($204.6M)
ETH $1,674
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $3.8B 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,659
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.0889999999999995% of OI ($270.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,689
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.9110000000000005% of OI ($111.2M)
SOL $69.93
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $744.5M 75% Long / 25% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$69.3
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.527% of OI ($56M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$70.56
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.4730000000000003% of OI ($18.4M)
BNB $579.93
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $326.1M 75% Long / 25% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$574.71
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.5249999999999995% of OI ($24.5M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$585.15
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.475% of OI ($8.1M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $62,838 $62,822.1 -0.0253% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $1,673.68 $1,672.99 -0.0412% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $69.93 $69.89 -0.0572% 📉 Backwardation
BNB $579.93 $579.979 +0.0084% ➡️ Neutral
Overall: Shorts dominant — bearish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Crypto critic Nouriel Roubini embraces tokenization with ETF-backed 'Technodollar' — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/23/crypto-critic-roubini-joins-tokenization-boom-with-onchain-technodollar • Bitcoin ETF outflow pain eases just as another headwind strengthens: Crypto Daily — https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/06/22/bitcoin-etf-outflow-pain-eases-just-as-another-headwind-strengthens • Ethereum (ETH) news: talent exodus sparks fresh debate over foundation leadership — https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/06/22/ethereum-foundation-talent-exodus-sparks-fresh-debate-over-leadership • Latest Crypto News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/latest-crypto-news
Smart Money Flows
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
$
Crypto critic Nouriel Roubini embraces tokenization with ETF-backed 'Technodollar' — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/23/crypto-critic-roubini-joins-tokenization-boom-with-onchain-technodollar
$
Bitcoin ETF outflow pain eases just as another headwind strengthens: Crypto Daily — https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/06/22/bitcoin-etf-outflow-pain-eases-just-as-another-headwind-strengthens
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 326.2% APY ($4M TVL) SOL-HYPE on orca-dex: 167.7% APY ($1M TVL) ZEC-USDC on orca-dex: 153.9% APY ($3M TVL) SPCX-USDC on orca-dex: 142.2% APY ($2M TVL) SPYX-USDC on raydium-amm: 103.9% APY ($1M TVL)
Stable Farms
CARDS-USDCraydium-amm 326.2% APY
SOL-HYPEorca-dex 167.7% APY
ZEC-USDCorca-dex 153.9% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 117 articles from 8 sources
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 9h ago
“Regulatory certainty should not come at the expense of accountability, transparency, victim protection, or public safety,” the law enforcement associations said.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
🚀 Protocol 2 sources 10h ago
The Meta CEO reportedly plans for the company to launch a prediction market independent of its other apps, allowing users to place wagers using a points system rather than money.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 19h ago
A bipartisan housing bill the Senate passed 85-5 Monday would block a Fed digital dollar through 2030, and now heads to the House.
DecryptBitcoin Magazine
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
The House passed a housing bill with a central bank digital currency ban until 2030, meaning it now just needs US President Donald Trump’s sign-off.
CoinTelegraph
💰 Funding 1 source just now
ARB's support buckled as fundamentals and on-chain capital lost their momentum.
AmbCrypto
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
Swell warned users to bridge out by June 23, turning a planned L2 shutdown into a test of user exit procedures. The post Latest bear market victim shows how quickly DeFi users are left behind when crypto projects move on appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CryptoSlate
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Wintermute Warns Bitcoin at Risk of Range Breakdown Below $59K on Macro Headwinds and Liquidity Crunch Crypto market maker Wintermute has issued a cautionary analysis suggesting Bitcoin could break below the lower end of its current trading range, driven by a combination of macroeconom
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld British Pound Slides Below 1.3200 as UK Political Uncertainty Rattles Markets The British Pound extended its decline against the US Dollar on Tuesday, slipping below the key psychological support level of 1.3200 for the first time in several weeks. The move lower comes as renewed conce
BitcoinWorld
🌐 Macro 1 source 1h ago
Trading firm Wintermute's options desk puts bitcoin in a $61,242 to $63,563 range for Tuesday, with correlation rising across tokens and no fresh ETF bid in sight.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Symmetrical Triangle Nears Breakdown Point at 183.50 The EUR/JPY currency pair is approaching a critical juncture as it tests the lower boundary of a symmetrical triangle pattern near the 183.50 support level. This technical formation, which has been developing
BitcoinWorld
💰 Funding 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld Bitcoin Approaches $60K Support as Institutional ETF Inflows Stall: Analysis Bitcoin is testing a critical psychological and technical support level near $60,000, as a persistent lack of institutional fund inflows limits the cryptocurrencys ability to stage a meaningful rebound. Accord
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 25,285 | Graduated: 232 (0.92%)
├ Volume: $249.3M | Traders: 424.4K
└ Market Share: 9.5%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 175.3K created → 1.5K graduated (0.83%)
└ 30d: 771.1K created → 6.4K graduated (0.83%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 29,102 | Graduated: 3,428
├ Total Volume: $2.6B | Traders: ~600.7K
├ Active Launchpads: 49
└ Overall Grad Rate: 11.78%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $2.4B (90.0%) — 3.4K mints
2. pump.fun — $249.3M (9.5%) — 25.3K mints
3. jup-studio — $5.2M (0.2%) — 15 mints
4. easya-kickstart — $2M (0.1%) — 128 mints
5. letsbonk.fun — $1.6M (0.1%) — 48 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
Catwifhat Launches $CATWIF Themes 🔥 $61.5K (6 tokens)
Top: CATWIF $61.1K · CWIF $14.3 · CATWIF $10.9
Groyper Themes 🔥 $53K (1 tokens)
Top: Groyper $53K
Pevolution Themes 🔥 $42.7K (2 tokens)
Top: PEVOLUTION $42.7K · PEVOLUTION $0.7
Mr. BlankFace Discusses Chicken Shrimp Meme Culture 🔥 $41.8K (6 tokens)
Top: CS $41.4K · CS $124.7 · CHRIMP $162.3
Alleged $1B Speed Run on Bags Themes 🔥 $39.9K (6 tokens)
Top: 1B $28.9K · 1B $10.7K · 1B $67.2
OBI Themes 🔥 $35.5K (6 tokens)
Top: OBI $35.8K · OBI $13.8 · OBI $0.6
Morph Shares Viral Japanese Cat Meme Culture 🔥 $34.9K (6 tokens)
Top: 滑る猫 $33.4K · 落ちる猫 $1.4K · 落ちる猫 $0.1
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SPCX Unknown
#2 SOL Unknown
#3 STRC Unknown
#4 CARDS Unknown
#5 LMT Unknown
#6 PENG Unknown
#7 FLKR Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $3B +1.2%
BSC $2.4B -2.9%
Solana $2.3B +13.8%
Prediction Markets
📈 Stocks/Commodities
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
YES 98% NO 2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
YES 0% NO 100%
🏛️ Politics
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YES 76% NO 24%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 80% NO 20%
CROWD VIEW
Stocks: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split) · Politics: Bearish (1 bullish / 3 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-06-24 06:15:59 UTC · Errors: 1