Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Thursday 25 Jun London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
Global Voltage
$2.2T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDC
-306.6M
DAI
+1.1M
USDT
+20.9M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Solana
-395.9M
Ethereum
+215M
Base
-34.7M
Tron
+7M
BSC
+3.5M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $61,716 -1.79% -4.3%
ETH $1,647 -1.57% -5.9%
SOL $69.19 -1.07% -4.0%
BNB $571.54 -1.45% -5.0%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $3.6B +21.3%
Solana $3B +29.1%
Ethereum $2.8B +29.0%
Arbitrum $2.8B +30.1%
BSC $2.8B +17.4%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
AVAX 7:00 Asia +0.323% 55%
SUI 20:00 NY +0.322% 63%
AVAX 20:00 NY +0.308% 63%
SUI 15:00 NY -0.305% 43%
SUI 12:00 London +0.293% 67%
AVAX 19:00 NY -0.282% 43%
SUI 4:00 Asia -0.271% 40%
DOGE 15:00 NY -0.266% 47%
Day-of-Week: Today is Thursday
BTC -2.14% win 25%
ETH -2.68% win 25%
SOL -3.2% win 25%
BNB -2.71% win 25%
XRP -2.91% win 0%
DOGE -2.65% win 25%
AVAX -3.14% win 25%
LINK -3.64% win 0%
SUI -5.03% win 0%
PEPE -3.35% win 0%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-06-22 84% match 24h: -2.06% 48h: -2.42%
BTC 2026-05-30 84% match 24h: +0.44% 48h: -0.99%
BTC 2026-05-28 84% match 24h: +0.04% 48h: +0.07%
ETH 2026-06-03 73% match 24h: -5.37% 48h: -10.6%
ETH 2026-06-06 73% match 24h: +2.54% 48h: +6.24%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$-469.1M
7d: $-877.9M
ETH ETF Flow
$-30.2M
7d: $-188.7M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $7.7M 59% longs CASCADE
ETH $256.5K 52% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BTC -0.3276% CROWDED SHORT 359% APR
SOL -0.1640% CROWDED SHORT 180% APR
ETH 0.1603% CROWDED LONG 176% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.61
Max Pain$68,000 (+10.29%)
IV Skew 25d19.24
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.55
Max Pain$2,000 (+21.46%)
IV Skew 25d10.42
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 144 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔴 Markdown
CONFIDENCE
50%
Markdown phase — declining prices with fear. Historically ends with capitulation events that mark the start of new accumulation.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 12 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
BTC Funding extreme — Bullish Signal
💡 LOW
ACTION Long BTC
ENTRY $61,716
TARGET $64,184 (+4.0%)
STOP $60,173 (-2.5%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded short -0.3276%). Options P/C ratio 0.61 (bullish). Order book buy-heavy (ratio 1.46).
████░░░░░░ 36/100
Funding extremeOptions P/C ratio 0.61Order book buy-heavyFear & Greed extreme fear
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $11.4M $7.8M 1.46 🟢 buy-heavy
ETH 0.06 bps $28.6M $22.6M 1.27 🟢 buy-heavy
SOL 1.45 bps $35.6M $32.2M 1.11 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.17 bps $5.3M $5.3M 1.00 ✅ balanced
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 6.31 @ $61,629 ($389.1K) Ask: 10.50 @ $61,681 ($647.7K)
ETH Bid: 542 @ $1,642 ($889.5K) Ask: 709 @ $1,650 ($1.2M)
SOL Bid: 19118 @ $68.64 ($1.3M) Ask: 14965 @ $70.45 ($1.1M)
BNB Bid: 701 @ $567.01 ($397.7K) Ask: 699 @ $576.23 ($402.7K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BTC — ratio 1.46 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $61,716
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $6.2B │ 70% Long / 30% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$61,160
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.976% of OI ($432.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$62,271
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.0240000000000005% of OI ($187.6M)
ETH $1,647
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $3.7B │ 69% Long / 31% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,633
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.947% of OI ($257.6M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,662
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.053% of OI ($113.2M)
SOL $69.19
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $726.2M │ 75% Long / 25% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$68.57
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.5070000000000014% of OI ($54.5M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$69.81
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.493% of OI ($18.1M)
BNB $571.54
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $320.6M │ 75% Long / 25% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$566.4
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.501% of OI ($24M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$576.68
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.499% of OI ($8M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $61,715.82 $61,692.3 -0.0381% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $1,647.39 $1,647.09 -0.0182% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $69.19 $69.17 -0.0289% ➡️ Neutral
BNB $571.54 $571.556 +0.0028% ➡️ Neutral
Overall: Mixed signals
The Move
VC & News: • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Kalshi seeks funding at $40 billion valuation, widening lead over rival Polymarket — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/24/kalshi-targets-a-massive-usd40-billion-valuation-widening-lead-over-rival-polymarket • Live updates: Bitcoin claws back some of the losses after Micron beats earnings — https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/06/24/live-markets-bitcoin-could-drop-to-usd59-000-in-the-short-term-as-liquidaity-dries-up • XRP (XRP) News Today | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/tag/xrp • Ethereum news: Joe Lubin, Sharplink, Tom Lee's Bitmine back new Ethereum research lab — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/22/ether-s-biggest-corporate-holders-back-new-ethereum-research-hub
Smart Money Flows
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
$
Kalshi seeks funding at $40 billion valuation, widening lead over rival Polymarket — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/24/kalshi-targets-a-massive-usd40-billion-valuation-widening-lead-over-rival-polymarket
$
Live updates: Bitcoin claws back some of the losses after Micron beats earnings — https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/06/24/live-markets-bitcoin-could-drop-to-usd59-000-in-the-short-term-as-liquidaity-dries-up
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 336.4% APY ($4M TVL) SPYX-USDC on raydium-amm: 283.5% APY ($1M TVL) ZEC-USDC on orca-dex: 215.3% APY ($3M TVL) SOL-HYPE on orca-dex: 144.9% APY ($1M TVL) SPCX-USDC on orca-dex: 133.6% APY ($1M TVL)
Stable Farms
CARDS-USDCraydium-amm 336.4% APY
SPYX-USDCraydium-amm 283.5% APY
ZEC-USDCorca-dex 215.3% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 122 articles from 8 sources
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 10h ago
The prediction markets company claimed that it would be “irreparably harmed” when an Illinois law signed as part of a budget package goes in effect on July 1.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 14h ago
Binance said it plans to seek authorization in another EU jurisdiction just days ahead of the July 1 MiCA deadline, as unlicensed crypto firms are expected to wind down activities in the bloc.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 14h ago
The 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act included a provision that the US Federal Reserve was barred from issuing or creating a CBDC until 2030, but exempted certain stablecoins.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 17h ago
SecondFi was hit by three separate attacks exploiting a flaw in its wallet generation software. A further 129 million ADA was secured by the team before attackers could reach it.
CoinTelegraphCoinDesk
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
The SpaceX-linked perp put crypto's 24/7 leverage cycle around equity exposure still searching for a stable public-market anchor. The post SpaceX tokenized stock bets top $50M in liquidations as crypto leverage reaches Wall Street appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CryptoSlate
📊 Market 1 source just now
A liquidation flush took bitcoin to its lowest since early June before Micron's blowout earnings and SK Hynix's U.S. listing plans steadied the AI trade that crypto had been sliding alongside.
CoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
House Democrats have questioned the SEC over trading platforms offering AI agent advisers making “consequential investment decisions on behalf of retail investors.”
CoinTelegraph
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Asian Currencies Rally as Dollar Retreats; Aussie Holds Ground After Jobs Data Asian currencies staged a broad recovery on Thursday as the US dollar eased from its recent multi-month highs, providing relief to emerging market assets. The Australian dollar held steady after the release
BitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
The post Coinbase Secures Luxembourg MiCA License, Gains Access to All 27 EU Countries appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Coinbase, the largest U.S. crypto exchange, has secured a MiCA license from Luxembourgs financial regulator, giving it the green light to offer regulated crypto services ac
Coinpedia
🔐 Security 1 source just now
The token fell from nearly $3 to about $0.50 in hours, wiping out close to $3 billion in market value, with no exploit or announcement to explain it. Onchain investigator ZachXBT warned in April that M's price had been propped up by insiders.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source just now
TVL has fallen consistently over the past year.
AmbCrypto
💰 Funding 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Animoca Brands Invests in AllScale to Advance Stablecoin and AI Agent Payments Animoca Brands, a prominent Web3 investment and gaming firm, has announced a strategic investment in AllScale, a company specializing in stablecoin payment infrastructure. The move, shared via the companys o
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 23,033 | Graduated: 256 (1.11%)
├ Volume: $234.3M | Traders: 423.7K
└ Market Share: 9.0%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 172.7K created → 1.5K graduated (0.86%)
└ 30d: 769.8K created → 6.5K graduated (0.84%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 27,193 | Graduated: 3,948
├ Total Volume: $2.6B | Traders: ~607.1K
├ Active Launchpads: 50
└ Overall Grad Rate: 14.52%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $2.4B (90.6%) — 3.8K mints
2. pump.fun — $234.3M (9.0%) — 23K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $3.2M (0.1%) — 46 mints
4. jup-studio — $2M (0.1%) — 17 mints
5. easya-kickstart — $2M (0.1%) — 117 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
Catwifhat Launches $CATWIF Themes 🔥 $50.7K (6 tokens)
Top: CATWIF $50.1K · CATWIF $10.9 · CATWIF $273.1
FINN Announces BagsApp Candles Culture 🔥 $47.2K (6 tokens)
Top: GTA $26.4K · WEN $18.7K · WEN $25.7
Alleged GTA Meme Coin Launch Culture 🔥 $45.9K (6 tokens)
Top: GTA $26.4K · WEN $19.3K · WEN $18.6
Pevolution Themes 🔥 $42.7K (2 tokens)
Top: PEVOLUTION $42.7K · PEVOLUTION $6.1
春 Themes 🔥 $40.5K (1 tokens)
Top: HARU $40.5K
Daily Noud on GTA 6 Release Themes 🔥 $34.2K (6 tokens)
Top: GTA $26.4K · GTA $3.1K · GTA $137.8
OBI Themes 🔥 $34K (6 tokens)
Top: OBI $34.2K · OBI $13.8 · OBI $0.6
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 WEN ⚪ Unknown
#3 CARDS ⚪ Unknown
#4 STRC ⚪ Unknown
#5 PUMP ⚪ Unknown
#6 TAO ⚪ Unknown
#7 JUP ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $3.6B +21.3%
Solana $3B +29.1%
Ethereum $2.8B +29.0%
Prediction Markets
📈 Stocks/Commodities
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
YES 88% NO 12%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
YES 99% NO 1%
🏛️ Politics
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 60% NO 40%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 0% NO 100%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YES 23% NO 77%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 0% NO 100%
CROWD VIEW
Stocks: Bullish (2 bullish / 0 bearish / 0 split) · Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 4 bearish / 1 split) · Macro: Bearish (0 bullish / 2 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-06-25 06:16:00 UTC · Errors: 1