Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Friday 28 Aug London 07:15
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
73
Greed
Global Voltage
$2.7T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
DAI
+34.2M
USDC
-28M
USDT
-11.4M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Solana
+132.2M
Ethereum
-128.6M
Tron
+127.9M
Base
+45.2M
BSC
-8.6M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $79,903 +1.56% 9.4%
ETH $2,504 +0.61% 7.6%
SOL $107.5 +6.00% 22.6%
BNB $714.02 +1.42% 9.0%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $5.1B +22.8%
Solana $4.6B +30.8%
BSC $4.6B +23.1%
Ethereum $4.5B +25.1%
Arbitrum $4.3B +24.8%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
SUI 8:00 London +0.342% 57%
PEPE 9:00 London -0.304% 23%
AVAX 1:00 Asia +0.286% 63%
DOGE 16:00 NY +0.281% 63%
XRP 8:00 London +0.275% 47%
DOGE 21:00 Late +0.272% 63%
XRP 18:00 NY -0.271% 33%
PEPE 18:00 NY -0.254% 30%
Day-of-Week: Today is Friday
BTC +1.74% win 25%
ETH +0.78% win 25%
SOL +0.72% win 50%
BNB +1.54% win 50%
XRP +3.9% win 50%
DOGE +2.3% win 50%
AVAX +1.02% win 50%
LINK +2.42% win 75%
SUI +1.99% win 50%
PEPE +3.13% win 25%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-08-08 75% match 24h: -0.21% 48h: +0.37%
BTC 2026-08-06 75% match 24h: -0.76% 48h: +0.23%
BTC 2026-08-09 75% match 24h: +0.58% 48h: -1.17%
ETH 2026-08-08 80% match 24h: +0.2% 48h: +0.53%
ETH 2026-08-18 80% match 24h: +0.9% 48h: +18.59%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$242.2M
7d: $2.6B
ETH ETF Flow
$234.5M
7d: $1.3B
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $339.6K 42% longs
ETH $387.8K 97% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
SOL -0.9389% CROWDED SHORT 1028% APR
ETH -0.6499% CROWDED SHORT 712% APR
BTC -0.4609% CROWDED SHORT 505% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.61
Max Pain$70,000 (-12.39%)
IV Skew 25d3.39
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.6
Max Pain$2,200 (-12.11%)
IV Skew 25d85.09
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 134 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🟢 Markup
CONFIDENCE
53%
Markup phase — trending market with increasing participation. Typically follows accumulation and continues until distribution signals appear.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 73 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
BTC Funding extreme — Bullish Signal
⚡ MEDIUM
ACTION Long BTC
ENTRY $79,903
TARGET $82,300 (+3.0%)
STOP $77,506 (-3.0%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded short -0.4609%). ETF inflow $242M. Options P/C ratio 0.61 (bullish).
█████░░░░░ 54/100
Funding extremeETF inflow $242MOptions P/C ratio 0.61
ETH Funding extreme — Bullish Signal
⚡ MEDIUM
ACTION Long ETH
ENTRY $2,504
TARGET $2,579 (+3.0%)
STOP $2,428 (-3.0%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded short -0.6499%). ETF inflow $235M. Options P/C ratio 0.60 (bullish).
█████░░░░░ 48/100
Funding extremeETF inflow $235MOptions P/C ratio 0.60
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.01 bps $11.2M $14.1M 0.79 🔴 sell-heavy
ETH 0.04 bps $20.4M $22.7M 0.90 ✅ balanced
SOL 0.93 bps $33.9M $37.9M 0.90 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.14 bps $5M $10.1M 0.50 🔴 sell-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 9.67 @ $79,823 ($772K) Ask: 26.67 @ $79,931 ($2.1M)
ETH Bid: 426 @ $2,499 ($1.1M) Ask: 542 @ $2,507 ($1.4M)
SOL Bid: 10940 @ $106.3 ($1.2M) Ask: 19980 @ $108 ($2.2M)
BNB Bid: 266 @ $709.33 ($188.6K) Ask: 641 @ $716 ($458.7K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BNB — ratio 0.50 (sell-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $79,903
Balanced
OI: $8.8B │ 48% Long / 52% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$79,184
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.845% of OI ($425.8M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$80,622
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.155% of OI ($453M)
ETH $2,504
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $6.1B │ 70% Long / 30% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$2,481
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.037% of OI ($426.2M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$2,526
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.9630000000000005% of OI ($179.5M)
SOL $107.5
Balanced
OI: $986.2M │ 59% Long / 41% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$106.53
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.943000000000001% of OI ($58.6M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$108.47
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.057% of OI ($40M)
BNB $714.02
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $449.1M │ 71% Long / 30% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$707.59
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.049999999999999% of OI ($31.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$720.45
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.9499999999999997% of OI ($13.2M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $79,903.26 $79,870.992 -0.0404% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $2,503.57 $2,502.15 -0.0567% 📉 Backwardation
SOL $107.5 $107.383 -0.1086% 📉 Backwardation
BNB $714.02 $714.491 +0.0659% 📈 Contango
Overall: Shorts dominant — bearish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • Fasset lands $1 billion valuation as SBI backs its stablecoin banking push — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/22/stablecoin-neobank-fasset-lands-usd1-billion-valuation-as-sbi-backs-its-payments-push • Crypto’s next billion users might be AI agents, and they’re paying with stablecoins — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/23/crypto-s-next-billion-users-might-be-ai-agents-and-they-re-paying-with-stablecoins • Financial repression: The new buzzword driving the bitcoin (BTC) price higher: Crypto Daily — https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/08/24/financial-repression-the-new-buzzword-for-bitcoin-bulls • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business
Smart Money Flows
$
Fasset lands $1 billion valuation as SBI backs its stablecoin banking push — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/22/stablecoin-neobank-fasset-lands-usd1-billion-valuation-as-sbi-backs-its-payments-push
$
Crypto’s next billion users might be AI agents, and they’re paying with stablecoins — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/23/crypto-s-next-billion-users-might-be-ai-agents-and-they-re-paying-with-stablecoins
$
Financial repression: The new buzzword driving the bitcoin (BTC) price higher: Crypto Daily — https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/08/24/financial-repression-the-new-buzzword-for-bitcoin-bulls
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): WSOL-PUMP on raydium-amm: 318.9% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-PUMP on orca-dex: 315.5% APY ($2M TVL) SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 297.1% APY ($2M TVL) XAU-USDC on gmtrade: 292.5% APY ($2M TVL) BTC-USDC on gmtrade: 232.0% APY ($1M TVL)
Stable Farms
WSOL-PUMPraydium-amm 318.9% APY
SOL-PUMPorca-dex 315.5% APY
SOL-USDCgmtrade 297.1% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 201 articles from 8 sources
🔐 Security 3 sources 7h ago
The transaction used Bitcoin’s existing rules to protect funds from a future quantum attack without requiring a network upgrade.
DecryptAmbCryptoBitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 10h ago
While investors in World Liberty Financial‘s USD1 stablecoin “haven’t suffered major losses,” many lost billions of dollars in other Trump ventures, according to Public Citizen.
CoinTelegraphBitcoinWorld
🚀 Protocol 2 sources 10h ago
The post SOL Jumps 13% Amid Charles Schwab Trading Plans and Solana Deflationary Vote appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Solana (SOL) is the top gainer among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap today, surging 13.4% on the back of Charles Schwabs plans to launch SOL trading and the succes
AmbCryptoCoinpedia
📊 Market 2 sources 14h ago
The financial services giant plans to expand Schwab Crypto beyond Bitcoin and Ether just months after rolling out direct crypto trading to retail clients.
CoinTelegraphBitcoinWorld
🌐 Macro 2 sources 16h ago
One analyst expects Warsh to take a tough line on inflation, but still sees the Fed holding off on rate hikes until at least after the November mid-term elections.
CoinDeskBitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source just now
Net taker volume dropped amidst the return of the whales.
AmbCrypto
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
🔐 Security 1 source just now
Eligible holders on Base and BNB Chain will receive Ethereum-based SAND from the project’s treasury, with claims expected to open within two weeks.
CoinTelegraph
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
The post XRP Price Today Slips to $1.42 as $20 Million in Long Positions Get Wiped Out appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News XRP is trading near $1.43 after a sharp derivatives-driven pullback erased much of its recent rally, even as spot ETF demand for the token continues to strengthen. ETF Infl
Coinpedia
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
The post Solana’s $100 Breakout Is Here — But the Bigger Story Is Just Starting appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Solana price has decisively broken above the $100 mark, extending its strongest monthly advance in years as institutional access, ETF activity and changing tokenomics converge aro
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
The indictor has flipped positive for the first time since May as BTC looks to establish a foothold above $80,000.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
Every major but HYPE gained over 24 hours, capping a week that added 9% to bitcoin and 20% to solana.
CoinDesk
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 46,514 | Graduated: 1,494 (3.21%)
├ Volume: $881.7M | Traders: 666.4K
└ Market Share: 14.0%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 260.5K created → 8.7K graduated (3.36%)
└ 30d: 993.5K created → 32.3K graduated (3.25%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 49,144 | Graduated: 3,611
├ Total Volume: $6.3B | Traders: ~824.1K
├ Active Launchpads: 64
└ Overall Grad Rate: 7.35%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $5.4B (85.8%) — 2.2K mints
2. pump.fun — $881.7M (14.0%) — 46.5K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $4.2M (0.1%) — 235 mints
4. metadao — $1.7M (0.0%) — 0 mints
5. bags.fun — $561.9K (0.0%) — 21 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
World Oil Fund Institution Themes 🔥 $318K (6 tokens)
Top: WOFI $718.9K · WOFI $31.7K · WOFI $-739.9K
Federal Trust Fund System Themes 🔥 $303.3K (6 tokens)
Top: FTFS $24.5K · FTFS $29.2 · FTFS $-292K
Cyberleek Meme Image Goes Viral Culture 🔥 $281.7K (6 tokens)
Top: CYBERLEEK $66.6K · CYBERLEEK $112.7 · CYBERLEEK $-361.5
Alleged Cyberleek Meme Coin Culture 🔥 $280.2K (6 tokens)
Top: CYBERLEEK $66.6K · CYBERLEEK $59.2 · CYBERLEEK $112.7
JNC Shares GTA6 Game Screenshot Culture 🔥 $255.4K (6 tokens)
Top: 🤙 $-511.1 · GTA6 $-966.6 · GTA6 $713.3
Kiro Proposes GTA 6 Meme Run Culture 🔥 $254.1K (6 tokens)
Top: BeforeGTA6 $-1.3K · GTA6 $21.5 · 10M $-862.3
UOTF Themes 🔥 $232.7K (6 tokens)
Top: UOTF $80.5K · UOTF $139.1K · UOTF $223.5K
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 HYPE ⚪ Unknown
#3 ANSEM ⚪ Unknown
#4 SPCX ⚪ Unknown
#5 BSOL ⚪ Unknown
#6 CORE ⚪ Unknown
#7 FONE ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $5.1B +22.8%
Solana $4.6B +30.8%
BSC $4.6B +23.1%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 28% NO 72%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 76% NO 24%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 1% NO 99%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 89% NO 11%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (1 bullish / 4 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-08-28 06:15:59 UTC · Errors: 1