Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Thursday 20 Aug London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
62
Greed
Global Voltage
$2.4T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDC
+575.3M
DAI
+3.2M
USDT
+12.2M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Solana
+399.3M
Ethereum
+177.3M
Tron
+25.2M
BSC
+24.9M
Base
+12.7M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $69,369 +8.09% 9.3%
ETH $2,243 +17.63% 19.3%
SOL $84.81 +10.63% 12.1%
BNB $625.42 +4.00% 2.4%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $6.1B +120.3%
BSC $5.4B +119.2%
Ethereum $5.2B +134.8%
Arbitrum $4.9B +147.7%
Robinhood Chain $4.8B +131.3%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
AVAX 15:00 NY +0.273% 67%
AVAX 1:00 Asia +0.269% 60%
PEPE 7:00 Asia -0.267% 10%
PEPE 22:00 Late -0.264% 27%
XRP 22:00 Late -0.247% 37%
ETH 15:00 NY +0.244% 53%
XRP 15:00 NY +0.239% 70%
PEPE 14:00 NY -0.236% 27%
Day-of-Week: Today is Thursday
BTC -0.1% win 50%
ETH +0.28% win 75%
SOL -0.25% win 50%
BNB +0.05% win 75%
XRP -0.85% win 25%
DOGE -0.83% win 0%
AVAX +1.36% win 75%
LINK -0.56% win 50%
SUI +0.15% win 25%
PEPE -1.59% win 0%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-08-08 93% match 24h: -0.21% 48h: +0.37%
BTC 2026-08-06 93% match 24h: -0.76% 48h: +0.23%
BTC 2026-08-04 93% match 24h: +0.75% 48h: +1.76%
ETH 2026-07-27 98% match 24h: -4.1% 48h: -2.02%
ETH 2026-08-08 97% match 24h: +0.2% 48h: +0.53%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$517.2M
7d: $759M
ETH ETF Flow
$189.2M
7d: $303.8M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $5.3M 0% longs CASCADE
ETH $1.4M 0% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
ETH 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
SOL 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
BTC 0.6817% CROWDED LONG 746% APR
BNB 0.6746% CROWDED LONG 739% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.57
Max Pain$66,000 (-6.32%)
IV Skew 25d18.39
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.54
Max Pain$2,000 (-10.91%)
IV Skew 25d81.1
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 109 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🟢 Markup
CONFIDENCE
53%
Markup phase — trending market with increasing participation. Typically follows accumulation and continues until distribution signals appear.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 62 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
ETH Liquidation cascade — Bullish Signal
⚡ MEDIUM
ACTION Long ETH
ENTRY $2,243
TARGET $2,311 (+3.0%)
STOP $2,176 (-3.0%)
TF 4-12h
Liquidation cascade (100% shorts wiped). ETF inflow $189M. Options P/C ratio 0.54 (bullish).
█████░░░░░ 48/100
Liquidation cascadeETF inflow $189MOptions P/C ratio 0.54Thursday pattern
BTC Liquidation cascade — Bullish Signal
⚡ MEDIUM
ACTION Long BTC
ENTRY $69,369
TARGET $71,450 (+3.0%)
STOP $67,288 (-3.0%)
TF 4-12h
Liquidation cascade (100% shorts wiped). ETF inflow $517M. Options P/C ratio 0.57 (bullish).
█████░░░░░ 46/100
Liquidation cascadeETF inflow $517MOptions P/C ratio 0.57
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.01 bps $12.8M $15M 0.85 🔴 sell-heavy
ETH 0.04 bps $23.6M $20.2M 1.17 🟢 buy-heavy
SOL 1.18 bps $36.8M $35.8M 1.03 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.16 bps $6.9M $5.3M 1.30 🟢 buy-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 19.13 @ $69,308 ($1.3M) Ask: 37.76 @ $69,361 ($2.6M)
ETH Bid: 364 @ $2,239 ($814K) Ask: 494 @ $2,246 ($1.1M)
SOL Bid: 15903 @ $83.67 ($1.3M) Ask: 12337 @ $85.13 ($1.1M)
BNB Bid: 981 @ $620.88 ($609.4K) Ask: 557 @ $628.96 ($350.2K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BNB — ratio 1.30 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $69,369
Balanced
OI: $7.6B │ 51% Long / 49% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$68,745
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.055% of OI ($383.6M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$69,993
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.945% of OI ($375.3M)
ETH $2,243
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $5.3B │ 69% Long / 31% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$2,223
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.931000000000001% of OI ($365.2M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$2,263
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.0690000000000004% of OI ($161.7M)
SOL $84.81
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $723.5M │ 67% Long / 33% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$84.05
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.6850000000000005% of OI ($48.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$85.57
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.3150000000000004% of OI ($24M)
BNB $625.42
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $382.7M │ 70% Long / 30% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$619.79
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.9510000000000005% of OI ($26.6M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$631.05
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.0490000000000004% of OI ($11.7M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $69,369.08 $69,351.149 -0.0258% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $2,243.3 $2,242.087 -0.0541% 📉 Backwardation
SOL $84.81 $84.771 -0.0455% ➡️ Neutral
BNB $625.42 $625.78 +0.0576% 📈 Contango
Overall: Mixed signals
The Move
VC & News: • Wall Street rewrote crypto's rules with $11.2 billion in checks — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/15/the-usd11-2-billion-in-2026-funding-that-killed-crypto-s-permissionless-era • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Live updates: Bitcoin hits $69,700 as Treasury move pushes yields lower — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/08/19/live-updates-bitcoin-holds-firm-above-usd64-000-as-south-korea-s-kospi-sinks-5-8 • Bitcoin holds above $64,000 as a global bond rout sends yields to multi-decade highs — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/08/19/bitcoin-stuck-in-a-six-week-range-as-global-bond-yields-hit-highest-levels-for-decades • Why the world’s second-largest Bitcoin mining power is shutting down rigs in its capital city — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/08/15/why-the-world-s-second-largest-bitcoin-mining-power-is-shutting-down-rigs-in-its-capital-city
Smart Money Flows
$
Wall Street rewrote crypto's rules with $11.2 billion in checks — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/15/the-usd11-2-billion-in-2026-funding-that-killed-crypto-s-permissionless-era
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
$
Live updates: Bitcoin hits $69,700 as Treasury move pushes yields lower — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/08/19/live-updates-bitcoin-holds-firm-above-usd64-000-as-south-korea-s-kospi-sinks-5-8
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): SOL-HYPE on orca-dex: 497.8% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-PUMP on orca-dex: 344.1% APY ($1M TVL) BTC-USDC on gmtrade: 206.8% APY ($2M TVL) ETH-USDC on gmtrade: 158.2% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 143.5% APY ($2M TVL)
Stable Farms
SOL-HYPEorca-dex 497.8% APY
SOL-PUMPorca-dex 344.1% APY
BTC-USDCgmtrade 206.8% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 202 articles from 8 sources
🏛️ Regulation 4 sources 10h ago
The CEOs from companies across several tech-forward sectors met with the president in advance of this week's first Innovation Advisory Committee at the CFTC.
CoinDeskDecryptBitcoin MagazineBitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 3 sources 10h ago
During a White House meeting Wednesday, President Donald Trump said CFTC Chair Mike Selig is working to bring the perpetual futures platform into the U.S. under federal rules.
CoinTelegraphCoinDeskBitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 15h ago
The cross-border transaction is Swift’s first in a pilot project as it tests settlement in its push to remain relevant as stablecoins and tokenized deposits become widely used worldwide.
CoinTelegraphCoinDesk
🚀 Protocol 2 sources 17h ago
The $1 billion facility will deploy assets backing USDe into overcollateralized institutional loans, expanding Ethena’s sources of returns beyond crypto basis strategies.
CoinTelegraphCoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
The Hyperliquid wallet known as pension-usdt.eth was forced out of a 50,000 ETH short as ether surged, with five liquidation orders helping push the price higher during the unwind.
CoinDesk
🚀 Protocol 1 source 1h ago
The post Ethereum Price Prediction Ignites as Morgan Stanley Quadruples ETH Bet, Pepeto Eyes 100x to 300x appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News The Ethereum price prediction just received a signal that is difficult to overlook. Morgan Stanley grew its BlackRock iShares Ethereum Trust ETF position
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
Traders betting against crypto lost $2.74 billion in a day, more than the short side of the October 2025 crash that remains the biggest liquidation event in the market's history.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
Gallego said the White House has not provided point-by-point feedback on a bipartisan ethics proposal as a September vote approaches.
CoinTelegraph
🌐 Macro 1 source 2h ago
Every major except tron posted double-digit weekly gains, with nearly $1.4 billion of short positions wiped out after the Treasury doubled its bond buybacks.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source 2h ago
PUMP’s whale-led demand and spot outflows strengthen its chances of extending the ongoing recovery.
AmbCrypto
🌐 Macro 1 source 2h ago
BitcoinWorld Bitcoin Eyes $70,000 as US Treasury Buyback Speculation Grows; ETH, HYPE, TRUMP Lead Gains Bitcoin is approaching the $70,000 mark as speculation over US Treasury bond buybacks fuels risk-on sentiment across cryptocurrency markets, with Ethereum (ETH), HYPE, and TRUMP tokens leading th
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 41,275 | Graduated: 1,140 (2.76%)
├ Volume: $576.1M | Traders: 704.7K
└ Market Share: 14.4%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 233.4K created → 7.5K graduated (3.22%)
└ 30d: 900.5K created → 31K graduated (3.45%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 43,763 | Graduated: 3,229
├ Total Volume: $4B | Traders: ~839.6K
├ Active Launchpads: 56
└ Overall Grad Rate: 7.38%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $3.4B (85.5%) — 2.2K mints
2. pump.fun — $576.1M (14.4%) — 41.3K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $3M (0.1%) — 142 mints
4. metadao — $1.8M (0.0%) — 0 mints
5. moonshot — $422.7K (0.0%) — 16 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
UOTF Themes 🔥 $896.6K (6 tokens)
Top: UOTF $464.1K · UOTF $327.3K · UOTF $347.6K
XTAL Themes 🔥 $292.2K (2 tokens)
Top: XTAL $-61.2K · XTAL $353.4K
AAPL Themes 🔥 $266.9K (6 tokens)
Top: AAPL $34.4K · AAPL $1.5K · AAPL $1.4K
US Trust Fund Themes 🔥 $228.1K (6 tokens)
Top: USTF $24.8K · USTF $46.1K · USTF $82.7K
National Trump Digital Accounts Themes 🔥 $219.5K (6 tokens)
Top: NTDA $134K · NTDA $56.4K · NTDA $16K
Musk Syncs to Origin Giants 🔥 $140.8K (6 tokens)
Top: 67coin $4.5K · 67coin $4.4K · 67coin $1.7K
Newbie Themes 🔥 $130.2K (5 tokens)
Top: NEWBIE $18.7K · NEWBIE $21.7K · NEWBIE $111.1K
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 SPCX ⚪ Unknown
#3 Z ⚪ Unknown
#4 ANSEM ⚪ Unknown
#5 HBULL ⚪ Unknown
#6 HONEY ⚪ Unknown
#7 DEALER ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $6.1B +120.3%
BSC $5.4B +119.2%
Ethereum $5.2B +134.8%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 71% NO 29%
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YES 0% NO 100%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 1% NO 99%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 86% NO 14%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (1 bullish / 4 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-08-20 06:16:01 UTC · Errors: 1