Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Monday 24 Aug London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
73
Greed
Global Voltage
$2.6T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
DAI
+2.8M
USDC
+6.3M
USDT
-10.3
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Tron
+127.9M
Ethereum
+53.3M
Solana
+16.2M
BSC
-5.5M
Base
-905.3K
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $77,396 +1.73% 23.0%
ETH $2,456 +3.24% 30.9%
SOL $94.35 +2.23% 26.4%
BNB $700.15 +2.52% 16.1%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $4.5B -15.4%
Solana $4.1B -18.3%
BSC $4.1B -11.5%
Ethereum $3.8B -9.1%
Arbitrum $3.6B -9.2%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
DOGE 16:00 NY +0.38% 73%
PEPE 9:00 London -0.328% 17%
PEPE 18:00 NY -0.327% 23%
ETH 15:00 NY +0.292% 53%
PEPE 16:00 NY +0.291% 37%
PEPE 15:00 NY +0.286% 53%
XRP 4:00 Asia +0.274% 50%
SUI 8:00 London +0.269% 57%
Day-of-Week: Today is Monday
BTC +0.31% win 75%
ETH +1.01% win 75%
SOL +0.52% win 75%
BNB +0.08% win 50%
XRP -0.13% win 75%
DOGE -0.43% win 25%
AVAX -0.85% win 50%
LINK +0.4% win 50%
SUI -0.22% win 50%
PEPE -0.58% win 75%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-08-21 73% match 24h: +1.28% 48h: -0.4%
BTC 2026-08-10 73% match 24h: -1.74% 48h: -2.09%
BTC 2026-08-09 73% match 24h: +0.58% 48h: -1.17%
ETH 2026-08-21 83% match 24h: +2.6% 48h: +0.73%
ETH 2026-08-09 83% match 24h: +0.33% 48h: -2.14%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$307.5M
7d: $1.7B
ETH ETF Flow
$184.9M
7d: $703.9M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $200.2K 20% longs CASCADE
ETH $31.5K 68% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BTC 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
SOL 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
ETH 0.7884% CROWDED LONG 863% APR
BNB 0.7016% CROWDED LONG 768% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.6
Max Pain$70,000 (-12.99%)
IV Skew 25d2.5
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.55
Max Pain$2,100 (-14.59%)
IV Skew 25d-4.88
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 136 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🟢 Markup
CONFIDENCE
35%
Markup phase — trending market with increasing participation. Typically follows accumulation and continues until distribution signals appear.
📉 Low Vol → Vol Stable F&G: 73 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
BTC Liquidation cascade — Bullish Signal
🎯 HIGH
ACTION Long BTC
ENTRY $77,396
TARGET $80,492 (+4.0%)
STOP $75,461 (-2.5%)
TF 4-12h
Liquidation cascade (80% shorts wiped). ETF inflow $307M. Options P/C ratio 0.60 (bullish).
███████░░░ 68/100
Liquidation cascadeETF inflow $307MOptions P/C ratio 0.60Monday patternOrder book buy-heavy
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.01 bps $11M $7.2M 1.52 🟢 buy-heavy
ETH 0.04 bps $10M $13.6M 0.73 🔴 sell-heavy
SOL 1.06 bps $23.7M $24.5M 0.97 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.14 bps $2.8M $3.2M 0.88 ✅ balanced
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 7.46 @ $77,341 ($577K) Ask: 2.56 @ $77,399 ($198.1K)
ETH Bid: 240 @ $2,452 ($587.8K) Ask: 408 @ $2,460 ($1M)
SOL Bid: 12519 @ $92.53 ($1.2M) Ask: 10510 @ $96 ($1M)
BNB Bid: 215 @ $697.37 ($150.2K) Ask: 248 @ $702.34 ($174.3K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BTC — ratio 1.52 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $77,396
Balanced
OI: $8.2B │ 51% Long / 49% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$76,699
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.096% of OI ($419.8M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$78,093
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.904% of OI ($404M)
ETH $2,456
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $5.9B │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$2,434
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.083% of OI ($416.5M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$2,479
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.9170000000000003% of OI ($171.5M)
SOL $94.35
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $738.5M │ 70% Long / 30% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$93.5
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.969% of OI ($51.5M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$95.2
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.031% of OI ($22.4M)
BNB $700.15
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $442.9M │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$693.85
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.1% of OI ($31.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$706.45
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.9% of OI ($12.8M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $77,396.01 $77,417 +0.0271% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $2,456.42 $2,457.134 +0.0291% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $94.35 $94.4 +0.0525% 📈 Contango
BNB $700.15 $700.59 +0.0629% 📈 Contango
Overall: Longs dominant — bullish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • Fasset lands $1 billion valuation as SBI backs its stablecoin banking push — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/22/stablecoin-neobank-fasset-lands-usd1-billion-valuation-as-sbi-backs-its-payments-push • Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Latest Crypto Video News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/videos • Ethereum (ETH) News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/tag/ethereum
Smart Money Flows
$
Fasset lands $1 billion valuation as SBI backs its stablecoin banking push — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/22/stablecoin-neobank-fasset-lands-usd1-billion-valuation-as-sbi-backs-its-payments-push
$
Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): WSOL-CYBERLEEK on raydium-amm: 1627.3% APY ($2M TVL) WSOL-PUMP on raydium-amm: 661.1% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-PUMP on orca-dex: 435.2% APY ($2M TVL) ZEC-USDC on orca-dex: 293.5% APY ($3M TVL) BTC-USDC on gmtrade: 288.8% APY ($1M TVL)
Stable Farms
WSOL-CYBERLEEKraydium-amm 1627.3% APY
WSOL-PUMPraydium-amm 661.1% APY
SOL-PUMPorca-dex 435.2% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 128 articles from 7 sources
🔐 Security 3 sources 17h ago
Term permanently closed its Meta Vaults after an attack reportedly removed nearly all of their Ethereum deposits.
CoinTelegraphCoinpediaBitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Participating banks will test post-quantum wallets and onchain transfers while regulators from Abu Dhabi, Bhutan and Malta initially observe.
CoinTelegraph
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Existing virtual asset providers must apply for an NOC by Sept. 5 or cease operations under Pakistan’s new regulatory framework.
CoinTelegraph
💰 Funding 1 source 1h ago
The Bridgewater founder says recent Treasury-market stress fits his long-running debt-crisis framework, though he still prefers gold as the bigger hedge.
CoinDesk
🌐 Macro 1 source 1h ago
Bessent’s bond-buyback plan fails to curb Treasury yields. Here's what it means for bitcoin and gold
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
ENA’s breakout faces whale-led supply pressure as spot outflows support broader demand conditions.
AmbCrypto
🚀 Protocol 1 source 1h ago
The Aug. 23 blocks used practice pECX while final software, replay rules and exchange handling remain unresolved. The post Bitcoin holders face unresolved fork risks as new eCash test chain launches ahead of October deadline appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CryptoSlate
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
The firm raised $68 million as its revenue has grown six-fold as stablecoin payments and settlement expand, CEO Mohammad Raafi Hossain told CoinDesk.
CoinDesk
🌐 Macro 1 source 1h ago
Bitcoin holds above $77,000 after a 21% week, with XRP up 46% over the same stretch. Asian stocks fell as Samsung and Alibaba slid.
CoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld US Dollar Index Slips Below 99.00 as Fiscal Concerns Weigh on Sentiment The US Dollar Index (DXY) has softened below the 99.00 mark, reflecting growing investor unease over the nations fiscal trajectory and its potential implications for economic stability. As of the latest trading ses
BitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld Indian Rupee Gains Ground on Strong Capital Inflows and RBI Support The Indian Rupee has strengthened against the US dollar, driven by robust capital inflows and supportive actions from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). As of [current date], the currency has appreciated by [X]% over the
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 27,219 | Graduated: 1,026 (3.77%)
├ Volume: $581.2M | Traders: 634.7K
└ Market Share: 12.1%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 234.7K created → 7.7K graduated (3.28%)
└ 30d: 929.3K created → 30.9K graduated (3.32%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 28,619 | Graduated: 2,128
├ Total Volume: $4.8B | Traders: ~794.5K
├ Active Launchpads: 54
└ Overall Grad Rate: 7.44%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $4.2B (87.6%) — 1.2K mints
2. pump.fun — $581.2M (12.1%) — 27.2K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $4.7M (0.1%) — 30 mints
4. jup-studio — $3.6M (0.1%) — 36 mints
5. metadao — $1.6M (0.0%) — 0 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
Alleged GTA VI Meme Image Release Culture 🔥 $396K (6 tokens)
Top: CYBERLEEK $148K · CYBERLEEK $482.9K · GTAVI $1.4K
Alleged CyberLeek Token Arrest Meme Culture 🔥 $386.6K (6 tokens)
Top: CYBERLEEK $148.8K · CYBERLEEK $483.1K · CyberMorty $-6.2K
XTAL Themes 🔥 $380.6K (3 tokens)
Top: XTAL $478.2K · XTAL $-97.6K · XTAL $0.1
National Trump Digital Accounts Themes 🔥 $373.7K (6 tokens)
Top: NTDA $89.4K · NTDA $485K · NTDA $373.6K
RST Themes 🔥 $373.7K (6 tokens)
Top: RST $235.2K · RST $650.2K · RST $-268.6K
AAPL Themes 🔥 $234.4K (6 tokens)
Top: AAPL $1.5K · AAPL $1.4K · AAPL $2K
Alleged NiuLa Meme Image Culture 🔥 $182.1K (6 tokens)
Top: 牛来 $181.6K · 牛来 $45.4 · NiuLai $119.9
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 PUMP ⚪ Unknown
#3 PENG ⚪ Unknown
#4 CATE ⚪ Unknown
#5 TRUMP ⚪ Unknown
#6 ANSEM ⚪ Unknown
#7 OMO ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $4.5B -15.4%
Solana $4.1B -18.3%
BSC $4.1B -11.5%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 71% NO 29%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 27% NO 73%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 68% NO 32%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 0% NO 100%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (1 bullish / 4 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-08-24 06:16:00 UTC · Errors: 1