Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Sunday 12 Jul London 07:15
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
26
Fear
Global Voltage
$2.3T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
DAI
-11.8M
USDC
+84.6M
USDT
-0.2
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Tron
+127.8M
Solana
+71.3M
Ethereum
-46M
Base
+11.8M
BSC
+2.7M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $63,752 -0.66% 1.0%
ETH $1,793 -0.27% 0.7%
SOL $76.03 -2.31% -7.1%
BNB $571.18 -0.72% -0.7%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $3B -8.3%
BSC $2.7B -5.1%
Ethereum $2.6B -5.8%
Arbitrum $2.5B -4.5%
Polygon $2.4B -0.4%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
PEPE 21:00 Late +0.434% 43%
PEPE 22:00 Late -0.247% 37%
PEPE 18:00 NY -0.245% 37%
AVAX 21:00 Late +0.238% 57%
AVAX 15:00 NY +0.224% 73%
AVAX 20:00 NY +0.215% 53%
SUI 3:00 Asia +0.203% 63%
PEPE 6:00 Asia -0.202% 23%
Day-of-Week: Today is Sunday
BTC +0.48% win 75%
ETH +0.1% win 50%
SOL -0.15% win 50%
BNB +0.29% win 75%
XRP -0.09% win 75%
DOGE -1.06% win 25%
AVAX -0.49% win 25%
LINK -0.49% win 25%
SUI -1.65% win 0%
PEPE -1.15% win 0%
Historical Setup Matches
XRP 2026-06-23 100% match 24h: -1.28% 48h: -2.33%
XRP 2026-06-24 100% match 24h: -1.06% 48h: -4.44%
XRP 2026-06-29 100% match 24h: -0.18% 48h: -0.5%
DOGE 2026-06-19 100% match 24h: +2.11% 48h: +1.38%
DOGE 2026-06-26 100% match 24h: +0.96% 48h: -1.74%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$90.4M
7d: $124.5M
ETH ETF Flow
$18.4M
7d: $128.4M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $39.2K 71% longs CASCADE
ETH $255.1K 13% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
SOL 0.5826% CROWDED LONG 638% APR
BTC 0.2515% CROWDED LONG 275% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.55
Max Pain$65,000 (+1.61%)
IV Skew 25d9.54
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.54
Max Pain$1,850 (+2.88%)
IV Skew 25d37.04
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 118 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
68%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol ↓ Vol Down F&G: 26 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
ETH Liquidation cascade — Bullish Signal
💡 LOW
ACTION Long ETH
ENTRY $1,793
TARGET $1,847 (+3.0%)
STOP $1,740 (-3.0%)
TF 24-48h
Liquidation cascade (87% shorts wiped). Options P/C ratio 0.54 (bullish). Order book buy-heavy (ratio 1.36).
████░░░░░░ 44/100
Liquidation cascadeOptions P/C ratio 0.54Order book buy-heavy
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $18.9M $11.8M 1.59 🟢 buy-heavy
ETH 0.06 bps $24.1M $17.7M 1.36 🟢 buy-heavy
SOL 1.32 bps $39.5M $28.1M 1.40 🟢 buy-heavy
BNB 0.18 bps $6.4M $5.2M 1.25 🟢 buy-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 72.44 @ $63,700 ($4.6M) Ask: 17.37 @ $63,720 ($1.1M)
ETH Bid: 616 @ $1,788 ($1.1M) Ask: 397 @ $1,794 ($712.4K)
SOL Bid: 21959 @ $75 ($1.6M) Ask: 10120 @ $77.05 ($779.7K)
BNB Bid: 542 @ $568 ($307.7K) Ask: 408 @ $576.29 ($235.3K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BTC — ratio 1.59 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $63,752
Balanced
OI: $6.5B │ 56% Long / 44% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$63,178
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.633000000000001% of OI ($364M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$64,326
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.367% of OI ($282.2M)
ETH $1,793
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $4.1B │ 62% Long / 38% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,777
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.239% of OI ($256.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,809
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.7610000000000006% of OI ($154.6M)
SOL $76.03
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $668M │ 69% Long / 31% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$75.35
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.931000000000001% of OI ($46.3M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$76.71
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.0690000000000004% of OI ($20.5M)
BNB $571.18
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $326.1M │ 75% Long / 25% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$566.04
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.5390000000000015% of OI ($24.6M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$576.32
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.4610000000000003% of OI ($8M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $63,752 $63,715.144 -0.0578% 📉 Backwardation
ETH $1,793.31 $1,792.7 -0.0340% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $76.03 $75.99 -0.0523% 📉 Backwardation
BNB $571.18 $571.407 +0.0398% ➡️ Neutral
Overall: Shorts dominant — bearish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • EDX Markets raises $76 million in Series C funding round led by SBI Holdings — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/07/edx-markets-raises-usd76-million-in-funding-round-led-by-sbi-holdings • Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • U.S. SEC to propose crypto rule as soon as this month to ease startups, fundraising — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/07/07/u-s-sec-to-propose-crypto-rule-as-soon-as-this-month-to-ease-startups-fundraising • Bitcoin's U.S. reserve still a work-in-progress as federal agencies hash it out — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/07/06/bitcoin-s-u-s-reserve-still-a-work-in-progress-as-federal-agencies-hash-it-out
Smart Money Flows
$
EDX Markets raises $76 million in Series C funding round led by SBI Holdings — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/07/edx-markets-raises-usd76-million-in-funding-round-led-by-sbi-holdings
$
Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 116.8% APY ($2M TVL) XAG-USDC on gmtrade: 108.9% APY ($3M TVL) XAU-USDC on gmtrade: 107.5% APY ($4M TVL) ETH-USDC on gmtrade: 106.1% APY ($2M TVL) BTC-USDC on gmtrade: 104.1% APY ($2M TVL)
Stable Farms
SOL-USDCgmtrade 116.8% APY
XAG-USDCgmtrade 108.9% APY
XAU-USDCgmtrade 107.5% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 59 articles from 7 sources
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 18h ago
Bonzo Lend lost approximately $9.05 million after an attacker exploited a verification flaw in a third-party Supra oracle contract on the Hedera network.
CoinTelegraphCoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Ripple's Brad Garlinghouse says he and co-founder Chris Larsen considered winding the company down and handing its XRP to shareholders before deciding to fight the 2020 lawsuit.
CoinDesk
💰 Funding 1 source just now
Swing traders and investors can wait for an ENA bounce toward $0.105-$0.125 before acting with conviction.
AmbCrypto
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
The post XRP News: Garlinghouse Breaks Silence on Ripples Near Shutdown During SEC War appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Ripple almost closed its doors after the SEC sued the company in 2020. CEO Brad Garlinghouse said the government has infinite power and resources, and that fact alone made
Coinpedia
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
The BIP 110 proposal would cap arbitrary data on Bitcoin for a year, but Saylor, Adam Back and others say turning a spam dispute into a consensus fight could create a bigger risk than the spam itself.
CoinDesk
🌐 Macro 1 source 1h ago
Retail sentiment could dictate where ETH heads next.
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld DEXE Token Surges 4.84% in Five Minutes, Reaches $39.93 The decentralized finance token DEXE experienced a sharp price increase of 4.84% within a five-minute window on the Bitcoin World market, reaching a current trading price of $39.93. The sudden movement has drawn attention from tra
BitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
The ongoing debate comes despite a broad downturn in Ordinals transaction activity over the last two years.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source 2h ago
VIRTUAL surged as Chainlink CCIP migration and Robinhood integration boosted confidence and market participation.
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source 3h ago
Demand and bullish momentum for Lighter continued to hold sway despite a bearish momentum divergence signal.
AmbCrypto
🌐 Macro 1 source 4h ago
Will sellers control bulls, or will Bitcoin see a recovery jump to $77K?
AmbCrypto
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 19,233 | Graduated: 412 (2.14%)
├ Volume: $218.3M | Traders: 317.5K
└ Market Share: 10.2%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 160.6K created → 3.6K graduated (2.27%)
└ 30d: 765.3K created → 10.5K graduated (1.37%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 24,425 | Graduated: 5,446
├ Total Volume: $2.1B | Traders: ~490.4K
├ Active Launchpads: 50
└ Overall Grad Rate: 22.3%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $1.9B (89.6%) — 5.1K mints
2. pump.fun — $218.3M (10.2%) — 19.2K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $1.5M (0.1%) — 29 mints
4. moonshot — $1.4M (0.1%) — 7 mints
5. bags.fun — $639.7K (0.0%) — 25 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
baby toly wif hat Culture 🔥 $103.8K (6 tokens)
Top: tolywifhat $102.9K · tolywifhat $74.4 · tolywifhat $151.7
EVERMEADOW Culture 🔥 $66K (6 tokens)
Top: EVERMEADOW $62.4K · EVERMEADOW $121.1 · EVERMEADOW $108.5
DaisyWifHat Themes 🔥 $63.2K (6 tokens)
Top: DAISY $167.5 · DAISY $182.7 · DAISY $14.3K
NIGGABULL Themes 🔥 $52.8K (4 tokens)
Top: NIGGABULL $52.8K · NIGGABULL $11.8 · NIGGABULL $12.8
The African Bull Themes 🔥 $49.8K (3 tokens)
Top: SUNUSI $49.4K · SUNUSI $44.4 · SUNUSI $297.1
Alleged Launch of CURB Token Culture 🔥 $48.4K (6 tokens)
Top: CURB $31K · CURB $99.9 · CURB $-2.8K
Robinhood Original Name Culture 🔥 $46.6K (6 tokens)
Top: CASHCAT $33.9K · CASHCAT $2.3K · CASHCAT $2.1K
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 TAO ⚪ Unknown
#3 TROLL ⚪ Unknown
#4 ANSEM ⚪ Unknown
#5 W ⚪ Unknown
#6 RETIRE ⚪ Unknown
#7 MANIFEST ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $3B -8.3%
BSC $2.7B -5.1%
Ethereum $2.6B -5.8%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 54% NO 46%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
YES 4% NO 96%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YES 1% NO 99%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 0% NO 100%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 split) · Macro: Bearish (0 bullish / 2 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-07-12 06:16:00 UTC · Errors: 1