Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Thursday 18 Jun London 07:15
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
Global Voltage
$2.3T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
DAI
-17.8M
USDC
-205.1M
USDT
-30.1M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
BSC
+532.3M
Base
-48M
Solana
+29.9M
Ethereum
-21.6M
Tron
+8.5M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $63,957 -2.89% 4.0%
ETH $1,729 -3.72% 6.6%
SOL $71.17 -3.51% 12.7%
BNB $588.8 -3.11% 0.4%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $3.7B +24.0%
Ethereum $3B +25.6%
BSC $3B +29.8%
Arbitrum $2.9B +26.5%
Monad $2.6B +27.0%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
SUI 12:00 London +0.439% 77%
AVAX 19:00 NY -0.357% 40%
PEPE 18:00 NY -0.338% 33%
SUI 18:00 NY -0.331% 43%
SUI 19:00 NY -0.321% 40%
SUI 20:00 NY +0.29% 60%
PEPE 23:00 Late +0.283% 53%
PEPE 19:00 NY -0.282% 33%
Day-of-Week: Today is Thursday
BTC -1.55% win 50%
ETH -2.12% win 50%
SOL -2.15% win 50%
BNB -1.64% win 50%
XRP -2.13% win 25%
DOGE -1.59% win 50%
AVAX -1.61% win 50%
LINK -2.55% win 25%
SUI -2.17% win 25%
PEPE -2.16% win 25%
Historical Setup Matches
XRP 2026-06-14 100% match 24h: +3.07% 48h: +7.76%
XRP 2026-06-13 100% match 24h: +0.42% 48h: +3.5%
XRP 2026-05-30 100% match 24h: -0.54% 48h: -2.92%
DOGE 2026-06-03 100% match 24h: -5.74% 48h: -9.75%
DOGE 2026-06-01 100% match 24h: +0.02% 48h: -5.08%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$-82.2M
7d: $-360.6M
ETH ETF Flow
$-29.4M
7d: $-94.6M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $420.4K 95% longs CASCADE
ETH $168.6K 100% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BNB 2.1029% CROWDED LONG 2303% APR
ETH 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
BTC 0.4883% CROWDED LONG 535% APR
SOL -0.3841% CROWDED SHORT 421% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.65
Max Pain$70,000 (+6.3%)
IV Skew 25d-11.48
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.55
Max Pain$2,000 (+15.64%)
IV Skew 25d10.11
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 146 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
35%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 15 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
🧘
No clear confluence detected — all signal scores below threshold after regime adjustment. Standing aside is the edge today.
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $9.5M $10.7M 0.88 ✅ balanced
ETH 0.06 bps $25.4M $27.7M 0.92 ✅ balanced
SOL 1.41 bps $37.9M $37.3M 1.02 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.17 bps $6.1M $3.9M 1.56 🟢 buy-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 6.05 @ $63,927 ($387K) Ask: 9.54 @ $63,965 ($610.2K)
ETH Bid: 349 @ $1,725 ($602.7K) Ask: 790 @ $1,732 ($1.4M)
SOL Bid: 17789 @ $70.49 ($1.3M) Ask: 17561 @ $71.73 ($1.3M)
BNB Bid: 1318 @ $585 ($770.9K) Ask: 480 @ $594.5 ($285.1K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BNB — ratio 1.56 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $63,957
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $6.4B │ 64% Long / 36% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$63,381
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.420000000000001% of OI ($410.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$64,533
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.58% of OI ($228.9M)
ETH $1,729
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $3.9B │ 69% Long / 31% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,713
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.875000000000001% of OI ($267.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,744
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.125% of OI ($121.6M)
SOL $71.17
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $734.9M │ 75% Long / 25% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$70.53
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.476000000000001% of OI ($54.9M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$71.81
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.524% of OI ($18.5M)
BNB $588.8
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $325.5M │ 72% Long / 28% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$583.5
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.205% of OI ($23.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$594.1
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.7950000000000004% of OI ($9.1M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $63,957 $63,955 -0.0031% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $1,728.65 $1,728.73 +0.0046% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $71.17 $71.19 +0.0281% ➡️ Neutral
BNB $588.8 $589.328 +0.0896% 📈 Contango
Overall: Longs dominant — bullish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • Canton Network developer Digital Asset raises $355 million to bring capital markets onchain — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/11/canton-network-developer-raises-usd355-million-to-bring-wall-street-onchain • XRP News: Ripple invests in Flutterwave, bringing RLUSD and XRP Ledger to payments in Africa — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/16/ripple-invests-in-flutterwave-pushing-its-stablecoin-and-xrp-ledger-into-payments-across-africa • BlackRock launches bitcoin income fund as investors seek cash flow from crypto — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/16/blackrock-s-new-bitcoin-income-fund-offers-cash-flow-alongside-btc-exposure • Bitcoin miners' AI pivot faces $50 billion reality check, says VanEck — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/16/bitcoin-miners-ai-pivot-faces-usd50-billion-reality-check-says-vaneck • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
Smart Money Flows
$
Canton Network developer Digital Asset raises $355 million to bring capital markets onchain — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/11/canton-network-developer-raises-usd355-million-to-bring-wall-street-onchain
$
XRP News: Ripple invests in Flutterwave, bringing RLUSD and XRP Ledger to payments in Africa — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/16/ripple-invests-in-flutterwave-pushing-its-stablecoin-and-xrp-ledger-into-payments-across-africa
$
BlackRock launches bitcoin income fund as investors seek cash flow from crypto — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/16/blackrock-s-new-bitcoin-income-fund-offers-cash-flow-alongside-btc-exposure
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): SPCX-USDC on raydium-amm: 378.8% APY ($1M TVL) SPCX-USDC on orca-dex: 278.6% APY ($2M TVL) CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 265.8% APY ($4M TVL) ZEC-USDC on orca-dex: 131.5% APY ($2M TVL) XAG-USDC on gmtrade: 119.2% APY ($3M TVL)
Stable Farms
SPCX-USDCraydium-amm 378.8% APY
SPCX-USDCorca-dex 278.6% APY
CARDS-USDCraydium-amm 265.8% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 119 articles from 8 sources
💰 Funding 2 sources 2h ago
Long-time bitcoin bull Matt Hougan told CoinDesk that during this bear market and with ‘doubts swirling’, investors have found ‘it easier to reach for something more tangible:’ stablecoins and tokenization.
CoinDeskBitcoinWorld
📊 Market 2 sources 2h ago
Tether is focusing on stronger user demand, deeper liquidity, and broader long-term market opportunity for its leading products.
CoinTelegraphBitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 14h ago
Rodney “Bitcoin Rodney” Burton faces a maximum sentence of five years in federal prison for conspiracy to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 15h ago
Crypto exchange Bybit has been added to Singapore’s MAS Investor Alert List, which flags entities that may be mistakenly perceived as licensed or regulated.
CoinTelegraphAmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post Algorand Price Up 9% This Week: 3 Bullish Signals Traders Can’t Ignore appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Algorand (ALGO) quietly staged a comeback after gaining nearly 9% this week, as a series of bullish developments began reshaping sentiment around the Layer-1 blockchain. While Alg
Coinpedia
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
Total market value has held flat near $2.26 trillion since Tuesday, with the recovery losing momentum after the Fed killed rate-cut hopes and spot ETFs swung back to outflows.
CoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
In what ways will the crypto market bill close the gaps in sports and casino-style gaming?
AmbCrypto
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
The post Pi Network News Today: CiDi Games Earns Mainnet Verified Badge appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News CiDi Games has reached a major milestone within the Pi Network ecosystem after officially receiving the Mainnet Verified Badge in the Pi Browser. The gaming platform announced that it has
Coinpedia
💰 Funding 1 source just now
The slide has paused the above-par share sales Strategy uses to fund bitcoin purchases, and it is the same stock whose dividends forced the company's first BTC sale this month.
CoinDesk
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
The post Best Crypto Presale: AlphaPepe Azbit Partnership Sends Retail Into Tier-1 CEX Listing Watch appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News The best crypto presale race is heating up while the wider market is still stuck in fear mode. Bitcoin has been volatile around key levels, altcoin liquidity
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source just now
Builderbot is the “missing layer between AI coding tools and how engineering actually works at scale,” said Brad Axen, head of AI capabilities at Block.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
Record perp selling and leverage might make the next move risky.
AmbCrypto
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 25,126 | Graduated: 216 (0.86%)
├ Volume: $240.9M | Traders: 472.4K
└ Market Share: 14.1%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 187.1K created → 1.6K graduated (0.87%)
└ 30d: 767.1K created → 6.4K graduated (0.84%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 28,050 | Graduated: 1,722
├ Total Volume: $1.7B | Traders: ~608.8K
├ Active Launchpads: 55
└ Overall Grad Rate: 6.14%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $1.4B (84.5%) — 1.7K mints
2. pump.fun — $240.9M (14.1%) — 25.1K mints
3. bags.fun — $8.7M (0.5%) — 1K mints
4. metadao — $7M (0.4%) — 0 mints
5. letsbonk.fun — $4.9M (0.3%) — 69 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
SPCX69 Themes 🔥 $100.1K (3 tokens)
Top: SPCX69 $100.1K · SPCX69 $0 · SPCX69 $0
PROVE IT Themes 🔥 $70.9K (6 tokens)
Top: PROVE $71K · PROVE $-0.7 · PROVE $-0.1
Alleged SERIOUS Token Relaunch Culture 🔥 $52.2K (6 tokens)
Top: SERIOUS $52.4K · SERIOUS $-0 · SERIOUS $0.6
AOAS Themes 🔥 $46.7K (6 tokens)
Top: AOAS $25.8K · AOAS $18.1K · AOAS $874.2
King Of Liquidation Themes 🔥 $42.2K (6 tokens)
Top: KOL $52.3K · TUTE $15.8 · TUTE $30.8
Alleged Joby Weeks Support Token Culture 🔥 $42.2K (5 tokens)
Top: Joby $42.1K · Joby $-0.1 · Joby $0
Riviera Themes 🔥 $41.7K (2 tokens)
Top: RIV $41.7K · RIV $5.9
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 HYPE ⚪ Unknown
#2 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#3 CARDS ⚪ Unknown
#4 AMERICA ⚪ Unknown
#5 CLAW ⚪ Unknown
#6 OGDOGE ⚪ Unknown
#7 KINS ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $3.7B +24.0%
Ethereum $3B +25.6%
BSC $3B +29.8%
Prediction Markets
📈 Stocks/Commodities
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
YES 48% NO 52%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
YES 96% NO 4%
🏛️ Politics
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 5% NO 95%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
YES 6% NO 94%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 80% NO 20%
CROWD VIEW
Stocks: Bullish (1 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 split) · Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 4 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Bullish (1 bullish / 0 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-06-18 06:15:59 UTC · Errors: 1