Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Sunday 23 Aug London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
66
Greed
Global Voltage
$2.6T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
DAI
+7.9M
USDC
-45.5M
USDT
+52M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Tron
+127.9M
Solana
-77.8M
Ethereum
+72.1M
Base
-8.1M
BSC
-4.5M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $76,078 -1.43% 20.6%
ETH $2,379 -2.01% 26.3%
SOL $92.31 -1.35% 22.5%
BNB $682.93 -1.67% 12.3%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $5.3B -27.5%
Solana $5B -2.1%
BSC $4.6B -29.7%
Ethereum $4.2B -33.1%
Arbitrum $4B -34.1%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
PEPE 9:00 London -0.352% 17%
PEPE 18:00 NY -0.351% 20%
DOGE 16:00 NY +0.345% 70%
ETH 15:00 NY +0.291% 53%
AVAX 1:00 Asia +0.285% 63%
PEPE 15:00 NY +0.27% 50%
XRP 18:00 NY -0.266% 33%
PEPE 16:00 NY +0.266% 37%
Day-of-Week: Today is Sunday
BTC +0.27% win 50%
ETH +0.49% win 100%
SOL +1.12% win 100%
BNB +0.22% win 50%
XRP +0.81% win 75%
DOGE +1.5% win 50%
AVAX +1.85% win 50%
LINK +1.47% win 100%
SUI +0.98% win 75%
PEPE +4.22% win 75%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-08-10 72% match 24h: -1.74% 48h: -2.09%
BTC 2026-08-09 71% match 24h: +0.58% 48h: -1.17%
BTC 2026-08-08 71% match 24h: -0.21% 48h: +0.37%
ETH 2026-08-09 80% match 24h: +0.33% 48h: -2.14%
ETH 2026-08-10 80% match 24h: -2.46% 48h: -1.74%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$307.5M
7d: $1.7B
ETH ETF Flow
$184.9M
7d: $703.9M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $63.2K 76% longs CASCADE
ETH $18.2K 75% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BTC 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
ETH 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
SOL 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.59
Max Pain$69,000 (-12.71%)
IV Skew 25d15.58
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.56
Max Pain$2,100 (-12.02%)
IV Skew 25d2.79
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 128 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
37%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol ↓ Vol Down F&G: 66 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
🧘
No clear confluence detected — all signal scores below threshold after regime adjustment. Standing aside is the edge today.
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.01 bps $9.8M $8.1M 1.21 🟢 buy-heavy
ETH 0.04 bps $12.2M $13M 0.94 ✅ balanced
SOL 1.08 bps $25.1M $21.3M 1.18 🟢 buy-heavy
BNB 0.15 bps $4.5M $3.8M 1.18 🟢 buy-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 11.86 @ $76,091 ($902.1K) Ask: 6.26 @ $76,138 ($476.7K)
ETH Bid: 918 @ $2,378 ($2.2M) Ask: 429 @ $2,380 ($1M)
SOL Bid: 30399 @ $90.62 ($2.8M) Ask: 13175 @ $93.98 ($1.2M)
BNB Bid: 1039 @ $681 ($707.3K) Ask: 228 @ $686.25 ($156.4K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BTC — ratio 1.21 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $76,078
Balanced
OI: $8.1B │ 49% Long / 51% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$75,393
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.9110000000000005% of OI ($399.8M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$76,763
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.089% of OI ($414.3M)
ETH $2,379
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $5.7B │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$2,358
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.123% of OI ($404.8M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$2,401
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.8770000000000002% of OI ($163.5M)
SOL $92.31
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $731.6M │ 69% Long / 31% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$91.48
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.876% of OI ($50.3M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$93.14
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.1240000000000006% of OI ($22.9M)
BNB $682.93
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $431.6M │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$676.78
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.079000000000001% of OI ($30.6M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$689.08
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.9210000000000003% of OI ($12.6M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $76,078.02 $76,086.651 +0.0113% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $2,379.33 $2,378.981 -0.0147% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $92.31 $92.349 +0.0425% ➡️ Neutral
BNB $682.93 $683.374 +0.0651% 📈 Contango
Overall: Longs dominant — bullish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business • Ethereum (ETH) News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/tag/ethereum • Latest Crypto Video News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/videos • Pass the Clarity Act — https://www.coindesk.com/opinion/2026/08/21/pass-the-clarity-act
Smart Money Flows
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
$
Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business
$
Ethereum (ETH) News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/tag/ethereum
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): WSOL-CYBERLEEK on raydium-amm: 1265.5% APY ($1M TVL) WSOL-PUMP on raydium-amm: 1034.4% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-PUMP on orca-dex: 850.7% APY ($2M TVL) SOL-FARTCOIN on orca-dex: 641.1% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-HYPE on orca-dex: 367.0% APY ($2M TVL)
Stable Farms
WSOL-CYBERLEEKraydium-amm 1265.5% APY
WSOL-PUMPraydium-amm 1034.4% APY
SOL-PUMPorca-dex 850.7% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 145 articles from 7 sources
🌐 Macro 2 sources 16h ago
Fairmint CEO Joris Delanoue warns tokenized stocks risk recreating Wall Street’s 1960s paper crisis through fragmented systems and standards.
CoinDeskBitcoinWorld
💰 Funding 1 source just now
Bitcoin Cash follows the broader market trend, but investors still need to remain cautious.
AmbCrypto
🔐 Security 1 source 1h ago
Chainlink has been the biggest winner of LayerZero's woes.
AmbCrypto
🔐 Security 1 source 1h ago
Firmware 5.6.1 and 1.5.1Q harden new wallet creation but cannot repair a seed made on an affected release. The post Coldcard now requires 65 key presses after seed exploit, while exposed funds still must move appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CryptoSlate
📊 Market 1 source 2h ago
BitcoinWorld TabTrader Shutdown: Why the Website and App Are Unreachable, What Happened, and the Full Timeline On August 21, 2026, the popular multi-exchange crypto trading terminal TabTrader permanently ceased operations. Users attempting to access tabtrader.com, the web app (app.tabtrader.com), o
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source 2h ago
Polygon hints at reclaiming $0.18 but bulls face a key test at $0.12.
AmbCrypto
💰 Funding 1 source 3h ago
Why is the Tron founder warning investors about WLF and USD1?
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source 4h ago
Sui offered multiple technical indications of a bullish trend flip and a potential rally to $2.30.
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source 4h ago
BitcoinWorld Upbit to List Interfold (FOLD) on KRW, BTC, and USDT Markets South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Upbit has announced the listing of Interfold (FOLD), a token associated with the FOLD project, for trading against the Korean won (KRW), Bitcoin (BTC), and Tether (USDT). The trading pairs
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source 6h ago
Whale-sized orders cluster near price, turning $9 into a test of their actual direction.
AmbCrypto
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 7h ago
Under a June 30 snapshot, a nonbinding 200,000-ZEC contribution would give DCG International about 34% of the enlarged fund. The post Grayscale’s Zcash ETF filing proposes a 2.5% fee and a potential 34% DCG stake appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CryptoSlate
📊 Market 1 source 8h ago
BitcoinWorld Harvard’s $699 Startup Bootcamp Uses AI Avatars for Personalized Feedback Harvard Business School has introduced AI avatars of its instructors in its $699, eight-week startup bootcamp, using them to provide personalized feedback during practice pitches and board meetings. The avatars,
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 27,983 | Graduated: 1,051 (3.76%)
├ Volume: $629.8M | Traders: 645.9K
└ Market Share: 13.3%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 236.1K created → 7.6K graduated (3.23%)
└ 30d: 928.1K created → 30.9K graduated (3.33%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 29,283 | Graduated: 2,036
├ Total Volume: $4.7B | Traders: ~783K
├ Active Launchpads: 57
└ Overall Grad Rate: 6.95%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $4.1B (86.4%) — 1.1K mints
2. pump.fun — $629.8M (13.3%) — 28K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $7.1M (0.2%) — 72 mints
4. moonshot — $2.5M (0.1%) — 26 mints
5. metadao — $1.2M (0.0%) — 0 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
$UOTF Themes 🔥 $463.4K (6 tokens)
Top: UOTF $-255.6K · UOTF $-266.3K · UOTF $-91.3K
XTAL Themes 🔥 $380.6K (3 tokens)
Top: XTAL $478.2K · XTAL $-97.6K · XTAL $0.1
RST Themes 🔥 $373.7K (6 tokens)
Top: RST $235.2K · RST $650.2K · RST $-268.6K
National Trump Digital Accounts Themes 🔥 $327.2K (6 tokens)
Top: NTDA $485K · NTDA $373.6K · NTDA $21.3K
AAPL Themes 🔥 $234.4K (6 tokens)
Top: AAPL $1.5K · AAPL $1.4K · AAPL $2K
National Trump Digital Accounts Themes 🔥 $233.5K (6 tokens)
Top: NTDA $473.9K · NTDA $10.2K · NTDA $27.2K
Newbie Themes 🔥 $154.5K (5 tokens)
Top: NEWBIE $8.3K · NEWBIE $56.5K · NEWBIE $111.1K
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 SPCX ⚪ Unknown
#3 TRUMP ⚪ Unknown
#4 CATE ⚪ Unknown
#5 FARTCOIN ⚪ Unknown
#6 BSOL ⚪ Unknown
#7 PUMP ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $5.3B -27.5%
Solana $5B -2.1%
BSC $4.6B -29.7%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 28% NO 72%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 1% NO 99%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 86% NO 14%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 5 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-08-23 06:16:02 UTC · Errors: 1