Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Wednesday 26 Aug London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
65
Greed
Global Voltage
$2.7T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDC
-61.7M
DAI
-3.7M
USDT
+58M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
BSC
+497.5M
Ethereum
+492.2M
Tron
+127.9M
Solana
-78.3M
Base
-28M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $79,008 -2.28% 22.1%
ETH $2,462 -1.93% 28.4%
SOL $97.03 -4.58% 25.9%
BNB $696.08 -2.90% 15.2%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $4.7B -9.6%
BSC $4.2B -7.1%
Ethereum $4.1B -7.7%
Solana $3.9B -9.4%
Arbitrum $3.8B -8.4%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
DOGE 16:00 NY +0.32% 67%
PEPE 9:00 London -0.3% 20%
AVAX 2:00 Asia +0.287% 53%
SUI 8:00 London +0.274% 57%
PEPE 18:00 NY -0.272% 27%
XRP 4:00 Asia +0.267% 50%
XRP 18:00 NY -0.263% 33%
ETH 15:00 NY +0.236% 53%
Day-of-Week: Today is Wednesday
BTC +0.55% win 75%
ETH +1.06% win 100%
SOL +0.9% win 100%
BNB +1.01% win 75%
XRP +1.11% win 75%
DOGE +0.74% win 75%
AVAX -1.43% win 25%
LINK +1.92% win 100%
SUI +0.74% win 75%
PEPE -0.93% win 25%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-08-23 77% match 24h: +1.71% 48h: +4.87%
BTC 2026-08-22 76% match 24h: -1.66% 48h: +0.02%
BTC 2026-08-10 76% match 24h: -1.74% 48h: -2.09%
ETH 2026-08-23 74% match 24h: +2.75% 48h: +3.76%
ETH 2026-08-21 73% match 24h: +2.6% 48h: +0.73%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$314.4M
7d: $2.6B
ETH ETF Flow
$179.8M
7d: $992.6M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $360.2K 97% longs CASCADE
ETH $564.7K 97% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BTC 0.8490% CROWDED LONG 930% APR
ETH -0.1945% CROWDED SHORT 213% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.59
Max Pain$70,000 (-11.49%)
IV Skew 25d96.61
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.56
Max Pain$2,100 (-14.95%)
IV Skew 25d-3.39
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 139 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
37%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol ↓ Vol Down F&G: 65 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
ETH Funding extreme — Bullish Signal
⚡ MEDIUM
ACTION Long ETH
ENTRY $2,462
TARGET $2,536 (+3.0%)
STOP $2,388 (-3.0%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded short -0.1945%). ETF inflow $180M. Options P/C ratio 0.56 (bullish).
█████░░░░░ 52/100
Funding extremeETF inflow $180MOptions P/C ratio 0.56Wednesday pattern
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.01 bps $7.7M $10.4M 0.73 🔴 sell-heavy
ETH 0.04 bps $19.2M $17.2M 1.12 ✅ balanced
SOL 1.03 bps $35.2M $29.2M 1.21 🟢 buy-heavy
BNB 0.14 bps $3.3M $4.1M 0.80 🔴 sell-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 10.00 @ $78,913 ($789.3K) Ask: 12.04 @ $78,964 ($951K)
ETH Bid: 1007 @ $2,458 ($2.5M) Ask: 1150 @ $2,461 ($2.8M)
SOL Bid: 16492 @ $96 ($1.6M) Ask: 11653 @ $97.36 ($1.1M)
BNB Bid: 215 @ $694.01 ($149.3K) Ask: 339 @ $701.2 ($237.4K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BTC — ratio 0.73 (sell-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $79,008
Balanced
OI: $8.4B │ 50% Long / 50% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$78,297
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.0280000000000005% of OI ($421.1M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$79,719
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.972% of OI ($416.4M)
ETH $2,462
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $5.9B │ 70% Long / 30% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$2,440
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.027% of OI ($416.3M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$2,484
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.9730000000000003% of OI ($176.1M)
SOL $97.03
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $799.9M │ 67% Long / 33% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$96.16
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.726999999999999% of OI ($53.8M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$97.9
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.273% of OI ($26.2M)
BNB $696.08
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $435.4M │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$689.82
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.13% of OI ($31M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$702.34
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.87% of OI ($12.5M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $79,008 $78,972.9 -0.0444% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $2,461.8 $2,460.64 -0.0471% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $97.03 $96.98 -0.0515% 📉 Backwardation
BNB $696.08 $696.34 +0.0374% ➡️ Neutral
Overall: Shorts dominant — bearish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Fasset lands $1 billion valuation as SBI backs its stablecoin banking push — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/22/stablecoin-neobank-fasset-lands-usd1-billion-valuation-as-sbi-backs-its-payments-push • Financial repression: The new buzzword driving the bitcoin (BTC) price higher: Crypto Daily — https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/08/24/financial-repression-the-new-buzzword-for-bitcoin-bulls • Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business • HashKey to list Franklin Templeton’s $15 billion real-world asset fund — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/25/franklin-templeton-and-hashkey-roll-out-u-s-tokenized-money-fund-in-asia
Smart Money Flows
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
$
Fasset lands $1 billion valuation as SBI backs its stablecoin banking push — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/22/stablecoin-neobank-fasset-lands-usd1-billion-valuation-as-sbi-backs-its-payments-push
$
Financial repression: The new buzzword driving the bitcoin (BTC) price higher: Crypto Daily — https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/08/24/financial-repression-the-new-buzzword-for-bitcoin-bulls
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): WSOL-CYBERLEEK on raydium-amm: 604.3% APY ($2M TVL) WSOL-PUMP on raydium-amm: 398.4% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 331.5% APY ($2M TVL) XAU-USDC on gmtrade: 322.9% APY ($2M TVL) BTC-USDC on gmtrade: 319.9% APY ($1M TVL)
Stable Farms
WSOL-CYBERLEEKraydium-amm 604.3% APY
WSOL-PUMPraydium-amm 398.4% APY
SOL-USDCgmtrade 331.5% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 204 articles from 8 sources
🏛️ Regulation 3 sources 8h ago
The "BankChain Alliance" is aiming for a 2027 launch, and would foster stablecoins, payments and tokenized deposits inside the banking system's regulatory sphere.
CoinTelegraphCoinDeskBitcoinWorld
🌐 Macro 2 sources 5h ago
The possible charge excludes statutory interest, while the miner's current cash and protest deadline remain undisclosed. The post Bitcoin miner Sphere 3D faces $2.2M tariff claim equal to 77% of its cash appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CryptoSlateBitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 8h ago
The crypto infrastructure firm failed to get approval when it first sought a U.S. charter, and the company is quickly back with what it said would be a narrower effort.
CoinDeskBitcoinWorld
🌐 Macro 2 sources 9h ago
Bitcoin Magazine Bitcoin Breakout Could Be Around the Corner as Asset Is No Longer Oversold: Fairlead Strategies Katie Stockton Bitcoin is no longer oversold but theres still time to buy, according to Fairlead Strategies Katie Stockton. Speaking on Tuesday to CNBC, the financial research firms mana
Bitcoin MagazineBitcoinWorld
📊 Market 2 sources 19h ago
Crypto-margined Bitcoin futures have collapsed from near-total dominance to about 12%. But leveraged traders are still placing big bets.
CoinDeskDecrypt
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 20h ago
The bank plans tokenized money market fund settlements in the fourth quarter as HKDAP expands its phased rollout into conventional banking.
CoinTelegraphAmbCrypto
💰 Funding 2 sources 22h ago
Tokenized U.S. treasury and money market funds are one of the fastest-growing segments in the digital asset markets, growing fifteenfold in two years.
CoinDeskDecrypt
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
Large XRP withdrawals jumped by 4.3x in two days!
AmbCrypto
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
ETF issuers are lowering the barrier for bitcoin whales to trade self-custody for ETF shares.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source just now
Live data showed 100.43% utilization and negative liquidity while non-liquidated suppliers lacked a clear published recovery path. The post Moonwell has a $1.8M liquidity hole and its latest plan allocates $0 to fix it appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CryptoSlate
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld PBOC Sets USD/CNY Reference Rate at 6.7829, Slightly Weaker Than Previous Fix The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central parity rate at 6.7829 on Thursday, slightly weaker than the previous fix of 6.7852, signaling a marginal adjustment in the yuans reference level amid o
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 39,944 | Graduated: 1,281 (3.21%)
├ Volume: $736M | Traders: 740.5K
└ Market Share: 13.6%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 243.8K created → 7.9K graduated (3.25%)
└ 30d: 963K created → 31.4K graduated (3.27%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 42,179 | Graduated: 3,101
├ Total Volume: $5.4B | Traders: ~896.6K
├ Active Launchpads: 59
└ Overall Grad Rate: 7.35%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $4.7B (86.2%) — 1.9K mints
2. pump.fun — $736M (13.6%) — 39.9K mints
3. metadao — $6M (0.1%) — 0 mints
4. letsbonk.fun — $3.6M (0.1%) — 223 mints
5. Raydium — $1.3M (0.0%) — 52 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
NTDA Themes 🔥 $863.8K (6 tokens)
Top: NTDA $262K · NTDA $464.7K · NTDA $22.3K
RST Themes 🔥 $373.7K (6 tokens)
Top: RST $235.2K · RST $-46.5K · RST $650.2K
Alleged New Meme Coin Launch Culture 🔥 $310K (6 tokens)
Top: RST $276K · RST $19.9K · RST $10K
EasyA Kickstart Takes Off Giants 🔥 $308.1K (6 tokens)
Top: CASHCAT $154.2K · CASHCAT $27.5K · CASHCAT $8.6K
Cyberleek Meme Image Goes Viral Culture 🔥 $281.7K (6 tokens)
Top: CYBERLEEK $66.6K · CYBERLEEK $112.7 · CYBERLEEK $-361.5
Alleged Cyberleek Meme Coin Culture 🔥 $280.2K (6 tokens)
Top: CYBERLEEK $66.6K · CYBERLEEK $59.2 · CYBERLEEK $112.7
Martin Shkreli's Cat Maurice Culture 🔥 $269.8K (6 tokens)
Top: CASHCAT $154.2K · CASHCAT $8.6K · CASHCAT $-12.4K
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 SPCX ⚪ Unknown
#3 PISTACIO ⚪ Unknown
#4 DOG ⚪ Unknown
#5 JIMOTHY ⚪ Unknown
#6 CHIIKAWA ⚪ Unknown
#7 CATE ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $4.7B -9.6%
BSC $4.2B -7.1%
Ethereum $4.1B -7.7%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 1% NO 99%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 1% NO 99%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 0% NO 100%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 5 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Bearish (0 bullish / 2 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-08-26 06:16:01 UTC · Errors: 1