Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Friday 10 Jul London 07:15
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
Global Voltage
$2.3T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDC
+144.8M
DAI
+6.9M
USDT
+12.2M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Tron
+1B
Ethereum
-718.8M
BSC
+110M
Base
-10.3M
Solana
+8.3M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $64,033 +2.41% 4.0%
ETH $1,778 +1.73% 4.6%
SOL $79.13 +1.20% -2.0%
BNB $577.05 +0.68% 3.2%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $3.4B -7.5%
BSC $2.9B -4.5%
Ethereum $2.8B -4.1%
Arbitrum $2.7B -4.8%
Monad $2.5B -1.9%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
PEPE 21:00 Late +0.337% 40%
PEPE 18:00 NY -0.292% 33%
SUI 3:00 Asia +0.233% 60%
AVAX 7:00 Asia +0.225% 52%
AVAX 15:00 NY +0.211% 73%
PEPE 17:00 NY +0.211% 37%
PEPE 16:00 NY -0.209% 37%
SUI 19:00 NY -0.196% 43%
Day-of-Week: Today is Friday
BTC -0.47% win 50%
ETH -0.23% win 50%
SOL +0.82% win 75%
BNB -0.04% win 50%
XRP -0.53% win 50%
DOGE -0.22% win 50%
AVAX -2.86% win 25%
LINK -0.08% win 50%
SUI -0.96% win 50%
PEPE -1.48% win 50%
Historical Setup Matches
XRP 2026-06-12 100% match 24h: +0.7% 48h: +1.12%
XRP 2026-06-20 100% match 24h: +0.01% 48h: -0.86%
XRP 2026-06-13 100% match 24h: +0.42% 48h: +3.5%
DOGE 2026-07-03 100% match 24h: +2.16% 48h: +1.17%
DOGE 2026-07-04 100% match 24h: -0.97% 48h: 0%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$-95.3M
7d: $-188.6M
ETH ETF Flow
$-52.1M
7d: $82.4M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $1.4M 5% longs CASCADE
ETH $1K 19% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BTC 0.3638% CROWDED LONG 398% APR
SOL 0.1674% CROWDED LONG 183% APR
ETH -0.0985% CROWDED SHORT 108% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.56
Max Pain$64,000 (+0.01%)
IV Skew 25d52.3
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.58
Max Pain$1,800 (-0.78%)
IV Skew 25d29.68
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 125 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
45%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol → Vol Stable F&G: 23 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
ETH Funding extreme — Bullish Signal
⚡ MEDIUM
ACTION Long ETH
ENTRY $1,778
TARGET $1,831 (+3.0%)
STOP $1,725 (-3.0%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded short -0.0985%). Liquidation cascade (81% shorts wiped). Options P/C ratio 0.58 (bullish).
█████░░░░░ 52/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeOptions P/C ratio 0.58
BTC Liquidation cascade — Bullish Signal
💡 LOW
ACTION Long BTC
ENTRY $64,033
TARGET $65,954 (+3.0%)
STOP $62,112 (-3.0%)
TF 4-12h
Liquidation cascade (95% shorts wiped). Options P/C ratio 0.56 (bullish). Order book buy-heavy (ratio 1.72).
████░░░░░░ 42/100
Liquidation cascadeOptions P/C ratio 0.56Order book buy-heavy
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $18.5M $10.8M 1.72 🟢 buy-heavy
ETH 0.06 bps $21.9M $22.7M 0.97 ✅ balanced
SOL 1.26 bps $39.2M $38.5M 1.02 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.17 bps $5M $5.4M 0.93 ✅ balanced
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 60.39 @ $64,000 ($3.9M) Ask: 15.87 @ $64,006 ($1M)
ETH Bid: 439 @ $1,775 ($778.5K) Ask: 802 @ $1,780 ($1.4M)
SOL Bid: 19137 @ $78 ($1.5M) Ask: 16569 @ $80.19 ($1.3M)
BNB Bid: 425 @ $573.3 ($243.4K) Ask: 380 @ $580 ($220.2K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BTC — ratio 1.72 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $64,033
Balanced
OI: $6.5B │ 57% Long / 43% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$63,457
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.698% of OI ($370.5M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$64,610
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.3020000000000005% of OI ($279.7M)
ETH $1,778
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $4B │ 65% Long / 35% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,762
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.539000000000001% of OI ($263.3M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,794
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.4610000000000003% of OI ($139.4M)
SOL $79.13
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $728.3M │ 68% Long / 32% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$78.42
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.787999999999999% of OI ($49.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$79.84
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.212% of OI ($23.4M)
BNB $577.05
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $328.3M │ 75% Long / 25% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$571.86
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.460999999999999% of OI ($24.5M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$582.24
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.539% of OI ($8.3M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $64,033.28 $64,005.2 -0.0439% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $1,777.95 $1,777.041 -0.0511% 📉 Backwardation
SOL $79.13 $79.075 -0.0696% 📉 Backwardation
BNB $577.05 $577.485 +0.0754% 📈 Contango
Overall: Shorts dominant — bearish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • Bitcoin's U.S. reserve still a work-in-progress as federal agencies hash it out — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/07/06/bitcoin-s-u-s-reserve-still-a-work-in-progress-as-federal-agencies-hash-it-out • EDX Markets raises $76 million in Series C funding round led by SBI Holdings — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/07/edx-markets-raises-usd76-million-in-funding-round-led-by-sbi-holdings • Bitcoin whales bought $16.7 billion of BTC in two weeks even as ETFs bled a record $4 billion — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/07/03/bitcoin-whales-bought-270-000-btc-in-two-weeks-even-as-etfs-bled-a-record-usd4-billion • Crypto VC Paradigm launches $1.2 billion AI fund as it broadens beyond digital assets — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/07/08/crypto-vc-paradigm-launches-usd1-2-billion-ai-fund-as-it-broadens-beyond-digital-assets-bbg • Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business
Smart Money Flows
$
Bitcoin's U.S. reserve still a work-in-progress as federal agencies hash it out — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/07/06/bitcoin-s-u-s-reserve-still-a-work-in-progress-as-federal-agencies-hash-it-out
$
EDX Markets raises $76 million in Series C funding round led by SBI Holdings — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/07/edx-markets-raises-usd76-million-in-funding-round-led-by-sbi-holdings
$
Bitcoin whales bought $16.7 billion of BTC in two weeks even as ETFs bled a record $4 billion — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/07/03/bitcoin-whales-bought-270-000-btc-in-two-weeks-even-as-etfs-bled-a-record-usd4-billion
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): WSOL-VINE on raydium-amm: 124.9% APY ($1M TVL) CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 120.5% APY ($3M TVL) ZEC-USDC on orca-dex: 118.3% APY ($3M TVL) SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 118.2% APY ($2M TVL) XAG-USDC on gmtrade: 109.9% APY ($3M TVL)
Stable Farms
WSOL-VINEraydium-amm 124.9% APY
CARDS-USDCraydium-amm 120.5% APY
ZEC-USDCorca-dex 118.3% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 116 articles from 8 sources
🌐 Macro 2 sources 14h ago
The July 8 council hearing will show whether BTC collateral can move from credit design into a government approval process. The post New Hampshire rejects $100M Bitcoin-backed bond after public finance hearing appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CryptoSlateBitcoin Magazine
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 21h ago
Alfa-Bank is testing cryptocurrency trading for qualified investors as Russia moves toward regulating digital assets and banks prepare new crypto services.
CoinTelegraphBitcoin Magazine
📊 Market 1 source just now
EU lawmakers have again allowed tech firms to scan chats for abuse material, but exempted end-to-end encrypted messages.
CoinTelegraph
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Will the crypto market structure bill be postponed to the 2030s?
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source just now
Robinhood’s choice to use Ethereum further solidifies its position as the “ultimate settlement layer and liquidity foundation for tokenized assets,” said HashKey Group’s Tim Sun.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post TRON (TRX) Price Prediction 2026, 2027 2030: How High Can TRX Go? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Story Highlights The live price of the Tron coin is Tron’s price 2026 target is $1.20, if breakout structure confirms above $0.50. TRX’s 2030 projection toward $4 is possible, under a
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
A late-session volume surge carried XRP above its recent range, with traders now watching whether $1.10 can hold as support.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
The post Top 10 Crypto Coins To Buy in 2026 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News The crypto market is going through a quiet phase, but many analysts believe this is when long-term opportunities are created. Crypto Coins continue to be an area of interest as institutional adoption is rising, gove
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
Uniswap's latest proposal tests whether stronger infrastructure can offset lower liquidity incentives.
AmbCrypto
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
The post Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal Steps Down After Six Years appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal has announced that he will step down after six years with the company, marking the end of a tenure that helped shape Coinbase’s legal and reg
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source 1h ago
A sharp rise in the yen has left bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies underperforming in yen terms compared with their dollar-based trading pairs.
CoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld Russia advances bill to mandate crypto transaction reporting above $800 threshold Russian authorities are moving to tighten control over the digital asset market through proposed legislation that would require detailed reporting of cryptocurrency transactions exceeding 60,000 rubles (a
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 24,684 | Graduated: 492 (1.99%)
├ Volume: $351.9M | Traders: 483.8K
└ Market Share: 9.7%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 178.4K created → 3.9K graduated (2.18%)
└ 30d: 781.3K created → 10.1K graduated (1.3%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 29,828 | Graduated: 5,233
├ Total Volume: $3.6B | Traders: ~675.5K
├ Active Launchpads: 56
└ Overall Grad Rate: 17.54%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $3.3B (90.1%) — 4.8K mints
2. pump.fun — $351.9M (9.7%) — 24.7K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $2.2M (0.1%) — 161 mints
4. moonshot — $1.9M (0.1%) — 25 mints
5. bags.fun — $1.1M (0.0%) — 74 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
baby toly wif hat Culture 🔥 $118.1K (6 tokens)
Top: tolywifhat $117.2K · tolywifhat $74.4 · tolywifhat $151.7
The Duck Bull Themes 🔥 $103.5K (3 tokens)
Top: DONALT $103.4K · DONALT $66.5 · DONALT $63.8
Alleged Andrew Tate Meme Coin Launch Culture 🔥 $78.1K (6 tokens)
Top: TATE $37.5K · TATE $12.4K · TATE $9.8K
Alleged Andrew Tate Token Issuance Culture 🔥 $73.6K (6 tokens)
Top: TATE $37.5K · TATE $12.4K · TATE $9.8K
Alleged $Daddy Coin Airdrop Culture 🔥 $66.4K (6 tokens)
Top: TATE $37.5K · TATE $12.4K · TATE $44.8
DaisyWifHat Themes 🔥 $63.2K (6 tokens)
Top: DAISY $167.5 · DAISY $182.7 · DAISY $14.3K
Smokez Allegedly Holds 65% of $TATE Culture 🔥 $61.4K (6 tokens)
Top: TATE $37.5K · TATE $12.4K · TATE $-6.6K
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SPCX ⚪ Unknown
#2 ANSEM ⚪ Unknown
#3 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#4 CUPSEY ⚪ Unknown
#5 TROLL ⚪ Unknown
#6 CARDS ⚪ Unknown
#7 MOMO ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $3.4B -7.5%
BSC $2.9B -4.5%
Ethereum $2.8B -4.1%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
YES 4% NO 96%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 55% NO 45%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
YES 85% NO 15%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 0% NO 100%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 4 bearish / 1 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-07-10 06:15:57 UTC · Errors: 1