Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Friday 17 Apr London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
21
Extreme Fear
Global Voltage
$2.6T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDT
+325.8M
USDC
+132.7M
DAI
+7.4M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Ethereum
+417.8M
Tron
+241M
Solana
+85.4M
Base
-16.9M
BSC
+7.8M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $74,758 -0.34% 4.1%
ETH $2,324 -1.40% 6.1%
SOL $87.63 +2.59% 5.2%
BNB $628.14 +0.41% 4.2%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $3.5B +6.5%
Ethereum $2.8B +6.6%
Arbitrum $2.8B +6.8%
BSC $2.8B +15.2%
Solana $2.5B +24.5%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
PEPE 19:00 NY +0.396% 50%
PEPE 10:00 London -0.312% 20%
LINK 10:00 London -0.299% 17%
ETH 10:00 London -0.271% 27%
AVAX 19:00 NY +0.253% 60%
PEPE 7:00 Asia -0.25% 21%
ETH 19:00 NY +0.246% 63%
AVAX 10:00 London -0.236% 27%
Day-of-Week: Today is Friday
BTC -0.1% win 75%
ETH -0.76% win 25%
SOL -0.61% win 50%
BNB -0.58% win 0%
XRP -0.48% win 50%
DOGE +0.28% win 50%
AVAX +0.05% win 75%
LINK +0.4% win 75%
SUI +0.72% win 75%
PEPE +0.75% win 50%
Historical Setup Matches
ETH 2026-04-10 71% match 24h: +2.45% 48h: +1.78%
ETH 2026-04-04 71% match 24h: -0.8% 48h: +3.95%
ETH 2026-04-05 71% match 24h: +4.79% 48h: +3.28%
SOL 2026-04-10 82% match 24h: +1.6% 48h: -0.82%
SOL 2026-04-14 82% match 24h: -3.45% 48h: -0.78%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$26.1M
7d: $806.5M
ETH ETF Flow
$18M
7d: $279.8M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $242.5K 83% longs CASCADE
ETH $38.7K 94% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
ETH -0.7777% CROWDED SHORT 852% APR
BTC 0.2273% CROWDED LONG 249% APR
SOL -0.1430% CROWDED SHORT 157% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.72
Max Pain$72,000 (-3.93%)
IV Skew 25d63.89
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.5
Max Pain$2,200 (-5.42%)
IV Skew 25d29.6
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD (30 day)
Overall Accuracy
50.4%
71/141 signals correct
Best Performing
Intraday Pattern
90% accuracy
Worst Performing
Whale Flow
28.6% accuracy
Streak
0 correct
in a row
Signal Type Total Correct Accuracy
Intraday Pattern 10 9 90%
Etf Flow 34 16 57.1%
Funding Extreme 56 24 51.1%
Historical Match 21 9 50%
Options Signal 36 11 35.5%
Whale Flow 8 2 28.6%
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 123 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
35%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 21 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
🧘
No clear confluence detected — all signal scores below threshold after regime adjustment. Standing aside is the edge today.
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.01 bps $8.7M $9.3M 0.93 ✅ balanced
ETH 0.04 bps $15.5M $21.7M 0.71 🔴 sell-heavy
SOL 1.14 bps $43.9M $46.7M 0.94 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.16 bps $6.4M $4.7M 1.38 🟢 buy-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 8.71 @ $74,662 ($650.2K) Ask: 7.78 @ $74,750 ($581.8K)
ETH Bid: 331 @ $2,320 ($767.3K) Ask: 1567 @ $2,325 ($3.6M)
SOL Bid: 44206 @ $87.55 ($3.9M) Ask: 22758 @ $88 ($2M)
BNB Bid: 641 @ $623.45 ($399.9K) Ask: 290 @ $630.4 ($183.1K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: BNB — ratio 1.38 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $74,758
Balanced
OI: $7.3B │ 43% Long / 57% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$74,085
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.263% of OI ($311.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$75,430
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.737% of OI ($419.4M)
ETH $2,324
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $4.9B │ 61% Long / 39% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$2,303
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.063% of OI ($295.9M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$2,345
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.9370000000000003% of OI ($192.2M)
SOL $87.63
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $922.9M │ 61% Long / 39% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$86.84
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.109000000000001% of OI ($56.4M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$88.42
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.891% of OI ($35.9M)
BNB $628.14
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $348M │ 66% Long / 34% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$622.49
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.608000000000001% of OI ($23M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$633.79
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.392% of OI ($11.8M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $74,757.62 $74,723.7 -0.0454% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $2,323.7 $2,323.26 -0.0189% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $87.63 $87.6 -0.0342% ➡️ Neutral
BNB $628.14 $628.34 +0.0318% ➡️ Neutral
Overall: Mixed signals
The Move
VC & News: • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/ • Latest Crypto News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/latest-crypto-news • Bitcoin (BTC) News Today | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/tag/bitcoin • U.S. lawmakers take another swing at crypto tax policy with revised bill — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/04/13/u-s-lawmakers-take-another-swing-at-crypto-tax-policy-with-revised-bill • The crypto honeymoon is over for now as analysts warn of a major first-quarter profit squeeze — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/11/the-crypto-honeymoon-is-over-for-now-as-analysts-warn-of-a-major-first-quarter-profit-squeeze
Smart Money Flows
$
CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
$
Latest Crypto News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/latest-crypto-news
$
Bitcoin (BTC) News Today | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/tag/bitcoin
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): WSOL-PIPPIN on raydium-amm: 322.5% APY ($5M TVL) SOL-FARTCOIN on orca-dex: 277.8% APY ($2M TVL) WSOL-PNUT on raydium-amm: 254.3% APY ($4M TVL) CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 183.0% APY ($1M TVL) WSOL-ZEREBRO on raydium-amm: 179.5% APY ($2M TVL)
Stable Farms
WSOL-PIPPINraydium-amm 322.5% APY
SOL-FARTCOINorca-dex 277.8% APY
WSOL-PNUTraydium-amm 254.3% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 122 articles from 8 sources
📊 Market 2 sources 12h ago
Charles Schwab President and CEO Rick Wurster indicated that America’s largest discount brokerage will likely support prediction markets.
DecryptCoinpedia
📊 Market 2 sources 15h ago
Schwab will introduce direct trading in the two biggest cryptos through a dedicated account, its first move into spot trading as it expands its digital asset offerings.
CoinTelegraphBitcoin Magazine
📊 Market 1 source just now
Whale-sized on-chain flows are rising too.
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld NZD/USD Forecast: Critical Analysis as Bulls Hesitate Below 0.5900 Amid Cautious Market Mood The NZD/USD currency pair continues to face significant headwinds in the global forex market, with its price action firmly entrenched below the critical 0.5900 psychological level as of late Oc
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post Crypto News: Grok AI Bitcoin Price Prediction Targets $250,000 While Pepeto Could Be the Smarter Move appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News The bitcoin price prediction from Grok AI calls for a peak near $250,000 in 2026 per Cryptonews, and Goldman Sachs just filed for a Bitcoin Premium
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld India Gold Price Today: Remarkable Stability as Bitcoin World Data Reveals Market Equilibrium Gold prices in India demonstrated remarkable stability today, according to the latest market data from Bitcoin World, as the precious metal maintained its position despite global economic fluc
BitcoinWorld
💰 Funding 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Bitcoin Perpetual Futures Funding Rate Plunges to Multi-Year Low: A Critical Market Signal Global cryptocurrency markets observed a significant shift in derivatives sentiment this week as the Bitcoin perpetual futures funding rate plummeted to its lowest level since 2023, according to
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Mint Blockchain Shutdown: Critical Withdrawal Window Opens as NFT Layer 2 Service Ends The NFT Layer 2 landscape faces a significant shift as Mint Blockchain, a dedicated scaling startup, officially terminates its service operations. This pivotal development, announced via social media
BitcoinWorld
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
The post Ethereum Price Prediction: BlackRocks Staked ETF Hits $435M as Pepeto Whales Keep Loading appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News The Ethereum price prediction tops every crypto search this week after ETH jumped from $1,800 to $2,324 while BlackRocks staked ETF hit $435 million in assets w
Coinpedia
🔐 Security 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld DeFi Protocols Attacked: Critical Security Crisis Unfolds After Drift Hack GLOBAL – A relentless wave of cyberattacks has targeted the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector throughout April 2025, exposing critical vulnerabilities. Security analysts confirm at least 12 DeFi protocols and
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Upbit SOON Listing: Strategic Expansion for KRW Trading Pairs Unveiled SEOUL, South Korea – In a significant move for the regional digital asset market, leading South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Upbit has announced the addition of SOON for trading against the Korean Won. Consequentl
BitcoinWorld
📊 Market 1 source just now
JST defies market expectations despite $20M burn as price drops 25%.
AmbCrypto
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 26,825 | Graduated: 350 (1.3%)
├ Volume: $419.5M | Traders: 354.4K
└ Market Share: 88.3%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 171.9K created → 2K graduated (1.15%)
└ 30d: 718.7K created → 9.4K graduated (1.31%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 28,927 | Graduated: 1,228
├ Total Volume: $474.9M | Traders: ~425.9K
├ Active Launchpads: 53
└ Overall Grad Rate: 4.25%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. pump.fun — $419.5M (88.3%) — 26.8K mints
2. met-dbc — $26.8M (5.6%) — 1.1K mints
3. printr — $11.9M (2.5%) — 475 mints
4. letsbonk.fun — $8.1M (1.7%) — 135 mints
5. bags.fun — $5.1M (1.1%) — 147 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
AI Integration
Meme coins are leveraging AI themes and utility to attract tech-savvy investors interested in futuristic technology.
Web3 and Decentralized Identity
Tokens are focusing on Web3 adoption narratives, promoting decentralization and user sovereignty in digital identity.
Nostalgia and Pop Culture References
Meme coins use popular nostalgic themes and viral internet culture to create community-driven hype and engagement.
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
yn Launches Token with Airdrop to unc Holders Culture 🔥 $328.9K (5 tokens)
Top: yn $329.5K · yn $-660 · yn $10.6
Mysterious Source of Income Themes 🔥 $85.4K (6 tokens)
Top: income $85.3K · income $-0.2 · income $0
Trump Comments on Iran War Culture 🔥 $77.7K (6 tokens)
Top: PEACE $77.6K · PEACE $0 · PEACE $0.3
Peaceful HODL Meme Image Shared Culture 🔥 $77.6K (6 tokens)
Top: PEACE $77.6K · PEACE $0.2 · PEACE $0
Trump says Iran war 'OVER' Culture 🔥 $77.6K (6 tokens)
Top: PEACE $77.6K · PEACE $-0 · PEACE $0
Peace and Conflict Philosophical Reflection Culture 🔥 $77.6K (6 tokens)
Top: PEACE $77.6K · PEACE $0 · PEACE $-0
Vance's Comments on Iran Culture 🔥 $77.6K (6 tokens)
Top: PEACE $77.6K · PEACE $0 · PEACE $0
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 UNC ⚪ Unknown
#3 BULL ⚪ Unknown
#4 DOG ⚪ Unknown
#5 PENGU ⚪ Unknown
#6 STRC ⚪ Unknown
#7 PIPPIN ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $3.5B +6.5%
Ethereum $2.8B +6.6%
Arbitrum $2.8B +6.8%
Prediction Markets
📈 Stocks/Commodities
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
YES 4% NO 96%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
YES 62% NO 38%
🏛️ Politics
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
YES 19% NO 81%
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
YES 1% NO 99%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
YES 1% NO 99%
CROWD VIEW
Stocks: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split) · Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 5 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Bearish (0 bullish / 3 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📈 Improving
Win Rate
51%
105W / 102L
7D Rate
56%
Avg PnL
+1.4%
Streak
—
Best: 17
14D Rate
54%
Avg Resolution
2.6d
Total Calls
266
59 active
LONG
55%
69W / 57L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
39%
27W / 42L · Avg +0.3%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $18.5K
Total: +85.17%
Win Rate: 67.26%
Max DD: 10.6%
Sharpe-like: 0.26
Trades: 281
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 56 54% +2.3%
BTC 55 55% +1.1%
ETH 53 58% +2.7%
BNB 43 33% -0.8%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
56%
Apr 26
39 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (59)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.45 — ⏳ 2026-04-01
DOGE SHORT $0.129 T: $0.118 — ⏳ 2026-04-01
RECENT CALLS (207 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
SOL SHORT $82.3 $85.65 -4.1% ❌ 2026-04-09
BNB SHORT $601 $613.25 -2.0% ❌ 2026-04-09
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-08
ETH LONG $2,220 $2,361 +6.4% ✅ 2026-04-08
SOL SHORT $84.5 $87.63 -3.7% ❌ 2026-04-08
BTC LONG $66,450 $69,309 +4.3% ✅ 2026-04-05
ETH SHORT $2,035 $2,137 -5.0% ❌ 2026-04-05
SOL SHORT $79.5 $82.03 -3.2% ❌ 2026-04-05
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-04-17 06:16:04 UTC · Errors: 1