Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Friday 26 Jun London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
Global Voltage
$2.1T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
DAI
-22.7M
USDT
-497M
USDC
-78M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Ethereum
-487.4M
Solana
+74.3M
Base
+41.2M
BSC
+4.7M
Tron
+1.8M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $59,719 -3.23% -5.1%
ETH $1,546 -6.14% -9.6%
SOL $68.11 -1.57% -2.3%
BNB $559.07 -2.18% -3.3%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $4.4B +19.9%
BSC $3.6B +29.4%
Ethereum $3.6B +25.8%
Arbitrum $3.5B +26.9%
Polygon $3B +35.1%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
AVAX 13:00 London -0.464% 33%
DOGE 13:00 London -0.444% 40%
ETH 13:00 London -0.431% 30%
LINK 13:00 London -0.406% 40%
XRP 13:00 London -0.399% 37%
BTC 13:00 London -0.389% 27%
SUI 13:00 London -0.38% 40%
PEPE 13:00 London -0.361% 30%
Day-of-Week: Today is Friday
BTC -0.76% win 50%
ETH -1.89% win 50%
SOL -1.46% win 50%
BNB -0.76% win 50%
XRP -0.93% win 50%
DOGE -1.28% win 50%
AVAX -4.08% win 25%
LINK -1.53% win 50%
SUI -3.69% win 25%
PEPE -2.37% win 50%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-05-30 85% match 24h: +0.44% 48h: -0.99%
BTC 2026-06-19 85% match 24h: +1.64% 48h: +2.49%
BTC 2026-06-22 85% match 24h: -2.06% 48h: -2.42%
ETH 2026-06-23 80% match 24h: -0.59% 48h: -1.53%
ETH 2026-06-01 80% match 24h: +0.28% 48h: -4.96%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$-696.3M
7d: $-1.5B
ETH ETF Flow
$-81.9M
7d: $-293M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $3.7M 96% longs CASCADE
ETH $438.6K 95% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BNB 1.5112% CROWDED LONG 1655% APR
SOL 0.7059% CROWDED LONG 773% APR
ETH -0.6704% CROWDED SHORT 734% APR
BTC 0.6095% CROWDED LONG 667% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.58
Max Pain$67,000 (+11.94%)
IV Skew 25d-2.6
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.53
Max Pain$1,950 (+23.54%)
IV Skew 25d-95.16
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 162 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔴 Markdown
CONFIDENCE
52%
Markdown phase — declining prices with fear. Historically ends with capitulation events that mark the start of new accumulation.
📉 Low Vol → Vol Stable F&G: 13 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
BTC Funding extreme — Bearish Signal
🎯 HIGH
ACTION Short BTC
ENTRY $59,719
TARGET $57,330 (-4.0%)
STOP $61,212 (+2.5%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded long 0.6095%). Liquidation cascade (96% longs wiped). ETF outflow $696M.
██████░░░░ 60/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeETF outflow $696MLiquidation risk: long-squeeze dominant
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $9.8M $10.6M 0.93 ✅ balanced
ETH 0.06 bps $23.8M $33.4M 0.71 🔴 sell-heavy
SOL 1.47 bps $33.4M $36.2M 0.92 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.18 bps $6M $5.1M 1.19 🟢 buy-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 6.59 @ $59,636 ($392.8K) Ask: 16.81 @ $59,737 ($1M)
ETH Bid: 833 @ $1,542 ($1.3M) Ask: 5044 @ $1,547 ($7.8M)
SOL Bid: 20567 @ $67.39 ($1.4M) Ask: 25289 @ $69 ($1.7M)
BNB Bid: 748 @ $555.78 ($415.7K) Ask: 711 @ $564.44 ($401.3K)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: ETH — ratio 0.71 (sell-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $59,719
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $6.3B │ 68% Long / 32% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$59,182
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.763000000000001% of OI ($427.5M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$60,257
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.237% of OI ($204.6M)
ETH $1,546
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $3.6B │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,532
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.0760000000000005% of OI ($251.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,560
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.9240000000000004% of OI ($104M)
SOL $68.11
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $720M │ 74% Long / 26% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$67.5
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.392% of OI ($53.2M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$68.72
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.608% of OI ($18.8M)
BNB $559.07
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $301.3M │ 74% Long / 26% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$554.04
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.391% of OI ($22.3M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$564.1
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.609% of OI ($7.9M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $59,719.27 $59,686.1 -0.0555% 📉 Backwardation
ETH $1,546.25 $1,545.751 -0.0322% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $68.11 $68.12 +0.0147% ➡️ Neutral
BNB $559.07 $559.466 +0.0709% 📈 Contango
Overall: Mixed signals
The Move
VC & News: • Kalshi seeks funding at $40 billion valuation, widening lead over rival Polymarket — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/24/kalshi-targets-a-massive-usd40-billion-valuation-widening-lead-over-rival-polymarket • Live updates: Bitcoin claws back some of the losses after Micron beats earnings — https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/06/24/live-markets-bitcoin-could-drop-to-usd59-000-in-the-short-term-as-liquidaity-dries-up • Latest Crypto News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/latest-crypto-news • XRP (XRP) News Today | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/tag/xrp • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
Smart Money Flows
$
Kalshi seeks funding at $40 billion valuation, widening lead over rival Polymarket — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/24/kalshi-targets-a-massive-usd40-billion-valuation-widening-lead-over-rival-polymarket
$
Live updates: Bitcoin claws back some of the losses after Micron beats earnings — https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/06/24/live-markets-bitcoin-could-drop-to-usd59-000-in-the-short-term-as-liquidaity-dries-up
$
Latest Crypto News | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/latest-crypto-news
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 345.9% APY ($4M TVL) ZEC-USDC on orca-dex: 228.1% APY ($3M TVL) SOL-HYPE on orca-dex: 209.5% APY ($1M TVL) SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 121.4% APY ($2M TVL) SOL-USDC on orca-dex: 120.1% APY ($23M TVL)
Stable Farms
CARDS-USDCraydium-amm 345.9% APY
ZEC-USDCorca-dex 228.1% APY
SOL-HYPEorca-dex 209.5% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 118 articles from 8 sources
🏛️ Regulation 3 sources 17h ago
The Japanese financial conglomerate plans to take full control of Bitbank as it expands an ecosystem spanning crypto trading, stablecoins, tokenization and blockchain infrastructure.
CoinTelegraphDecryptBitcoin Magazine
📊 Market 2 sources 11h ago
Coinbase's blockchain Base says a consensus problem knocked its network offline for around two hours on Thursday before it returned online.
CoinTelegraphCoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 12h ago
Senator Cynthia Lummis told Fox Business on June 24 that negotiators expect final Senate compromise language around the July 4 recess and then plan to “move in July,” the most public deadline any sponsor has set for a bill that cleared the Senate Banking Committee in May. The declaration came before
CryptoSlateCoinpedia
🚀 Protocol 2 sources 15h ago
Story Protocol is now the DATA Foundation as it aims to provide licensable data to AI firms that have “run out of internet to scrape.”
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
Ether prices are currently back at crucial long-term support levels last visited in October 2023 and April 2025.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
Despite STABLE's latest uptick, warning signs remain.
AmbCrypto
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
Bitcoin slipped near $58,000 before recovering, and CF Benchmarks says the $50,000 to $60,000 zone is where buyers have always stepped in.
CoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post Ethereum Whales Slip Into Unrealized Losses for First Time Since 2019 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Large Ethereum holders are now sitting on unrealized losses across all major whale categories, marking the first such occurrence since 2019. Wallets holding 1,000–10,000 ETH, 10,00
Coinpedia
🌐 Macro 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Indonesian Rupiah Holds Near Lows as US Dollar Strengthens on Fed Rate Hike Bets The Indonesian Rupiah continued to trade near its weakest levels in recent memory on Tuesday, as the US Dollar found renewed support from growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may deliver additiona
BitcoinWorld
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
Story rebrands as The DATA Foundation, launches DATA Network with flagship Kled AI integration, registering 1.5 billion user-contributed records on the platform. The Foundation also introduces Trace, the first public audit layer for consent, licensing, and data provenance at scale. Today, Story anno
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld AUD/JPY Extends Bearish Run Below 111.50 as Downside Momentum Builds The AUD/JPY currency pair extended its bearish spell on Wednesday, trading firmly below the 111.50 mark as sellers maintained control amid persistent downside pressure. The cross has weakened for a third consecutive s
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 23,692 | Graduated: 230 (0.97%)
├ Volume: $238.3M | Traders: 474.3K
└ Market Share: 10.9%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 170.2K created → 1.5K graduated (0.88%)
└ 30d: 769.4K created → 6.5K graduated (0.84%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 29,159 | Graduated: 5,098
├ Total Volume: $2.2B | Traders: ~679.4K
├ Active Launchpads: 54
└ Overall Grad Rate: 17.48%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $1.9B (88.6%) — 5.1K mints
2. pump.fun — $238.3M (10.9%) — 23.7K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $3.1M (0.1%) — 59 mints
4. orynth — $2.7M (0.1%) — 11 mints
5. easya-kickstart — $2.3M (0.1%) — 142 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
FINN Announces BagsApp Candles Culture 🔥 $42.8K (6 tokens)
Top: GTA $20.7K · WEN $14.7K · GTA $5.3K
Pevolution Themes 🔥 $42.6K (2 tokens)
Top: PEVOLUTION $42.6K · PEVOLUTION $6.1
春 Themes 🔥 $39.9K (1 tokens)
Top: HARU $39.9K
Alleged Lazarus LLM Meme Themes 🔥 $36.4K (6 tokens)
Top: LAZARUS $24.3K · LAZARUS $3.4K · LAZARUS $5.2K
Alleged GTA Meme Coin Launch Culture 🔥 $35.6K (6 tokens)
Top: GTA $20.7K · WEN $14.7K · WEN $18.6
pisscoin Themes 🔥 $32.1K (1 tokens)
Top: piss $32.1K
Alleged CTO Meme Coin Launch Giants 🔥 $30.2K (6 tokens)
Top: Solvengers $8.4K · RTM $8.8K · CTO $5.6K
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 STRC ⚪ Unknown
#2 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#3 TROLL ⚪ Unknown
#4 TRIPLET ⚪ Unknown
#5 BUTTCOIN ⚪ Unknown
#6 TAO ⚪ Unknown
#7 JOTCHUA ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $4.4B +19.9%
BSC $3.6B +29.4%
Ethereum $3.6B +25.8%
Prediction Markets
📈 Stocks/Commodities
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
YES 99% NO 1%
🏛️ Politics
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
YES 6% NO 94%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 80% NO 20%
CROWD VIEW
Stocks: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split) · Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 4 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-06-26 06:16:01 UTC · Errors: 1