Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Tuesday 14 Jul London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
22
Extreme Fear
Global Voltage
$2.2T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDC
-448.6M
DAI
+11.5M
USDT
+89.9M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Ethereum
-731.2M
Solana
-403.9M
Tron
+127.7M
BSC
-54.4M
Base
-18.1M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $62,648 -0.16% -2.2%
ETH $1,785 +0.41% -0.8%
SOL $75.24 -1.42% -8.2%
BNB $569.61 +0.31% -2.8%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $4.3B +13.4%
BSC $3.8B +10.1%
Ethereum $3.7B +11.6%
Arbitrum $3.6B +11.7%
Monad $3.4B +9.1%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
PEPE 21:00 Late +0.35% 40%
PEPE 6:00 Asia -0.226% 20%
AVAX 7:00 Asia +0.201% 52%
PEPE 22:00 Late -0.199% 40%
AVAX 20:00 NY +0.198% 50%
LINK 15:00 NY +0.198% 63%
SUI 3:00 Asia +0.198% 67%
AVAX 15:00 NY +0.192% 70%
Day-of-Week: Today is Tuesday
BTC -0.46% win 25%
ETH +0.11% win 50%
SOL +0.44% win 75%
BNB -0.76% win 25%
XRP +0.13% win 25%
DOGE -2% win 0%
AVAX -0.39% win 50%
LINK -0.87% win 25%
SUI -1.01% win 25%
PEPE -0.69% win 25%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-06-18 75% match 24h: -2.91% 48h: -1.33%
BTC 2026-06-26 75% match 24h: +0.03% 48h: -0.52%
BTC 2026-06-25 75% match 24h: -2.23% 48h: -2.2%
XRP 2026-06-30 100% match 24h: -0.32% 48h: +1.08%
XRP 2026-06-25 100% match 24h: -3.41% 48h: -2.47%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$-424.7M
7d: $-5.5M
ETH ETF Flow
$-15.4M
7d: $98.1M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $432.2K 100% longs CASCADE
ETH $65.5K 100% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
BTC 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
ETH 1.0000% CROWDED LONG 1095% APR
BNB 0.6850% CROWDED LONG 750% APR
SOL 0.4254% CROWDED LONG 466% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.55
Max Pain$65,000 (+3.38%)
IV Skew 25d17.59
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.55
Max Pain$1,850 (+3.38%)
IV Skew 25d62.46
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 114 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🔵 Accumulation
CONFIDENCE
42%
Accumulation phases are characterized by low volatility and quiet institutional buying. Historically, they precede significant upward moves.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 22 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
BTC Funding extreme — Bearish Signal
💡 LOW
ACTION Short BTC
ENTRY $62,648
TARGET $60,142 (-4.0%)
STOP $64,214 (+2.5%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded long 1.0000%). Liquidation cascade (100% longs wiped). ETF outflow $425M.
████░░░░░░ 43/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeETF outflow $425MLiquidation risk: long-squeeze dominant
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.02 bps $18.1M $19.8M 0.91 ✅ balanced
ETH 0.06 bps $21M $18.8M 1.12 ✅ balanced
SOL 1.33 bps $34.3M $32.2M 1.06 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.18 bps $5.3M $5.7M 0.93 ✅ balanced
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 76.03 @ $62,628 ($4.8M) Ask: 71.63 @ $62,672 ($4.5M)
ETH Bid: 358 @ $1,782 ($637.3K) Ask: 431 @ $1,786 ($769.2K)
SOL Bid: 12735 @ $74 ($942.4K) Ask: 9456 @ $75.7 ($715.8K)
BNB Bid: 361 @ $565 ($204.1K) Ask: 448 @ $575 ($257.5K)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $62,648
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $6.7B │ 64% Long / 36% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$62,084
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.351% of OI ($423M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$63,212
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.649% of OI ($243M)
ETH $1,785
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $4B │ 65% Long / 35% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$1,769
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.518% of OI ($261.2M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$1,801
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.482% of OI ($139.5M)
SOL $75.24
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $682.2M │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$74.56
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.134% of OI ($48.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$75.92
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.8660000000000005% of OI ($19.6M)
BNB $569.61
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $323.4M │ 75% Long / 25% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$564.48
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.504% of OI ($24.3M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$574.74
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.496% of OI ($8.1M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $62,647.99 $62,648.2 +0.0003% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $1,785.15 $1,784.54 -0.0342% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $75.24 $75.23 -0.0133% ➡️ Neutral
BNB $569.61 $569.882 +0.0477% ➡️ Neutral
Overall: Mixed signals
The Move
VC & News: • EDX Markets raises $76 million in Series C funding round led by SBI Holdings — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/07/edx-markets-raises-usd76-million-in-funding-round-led-by-sbi-holdings • Crypto VC Paradigm launches $1.2 billion AI fund as it broadens beyond digital assets — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/07/08/crypto-vc-paradigm-launches-usd1-2-billion-ai-fund-as-it-broadens-beyond-digital-assets-bbg • Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business • U.S. SEC to propose crypto rule as soon as this month to ease startups, fundraising — https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/07/07/u-s-sec-to-propose-crypto-rule-as-soon-as-this-month-to-ease-startups-fundraising • Live updates: Bitcoin price (BTC) falls back to $62,000 as Iran ceasefire collapses — https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/07/08/live-markets-japan-s-collapsing-yen-is-pushing-companies-into-bitcoin-and-xrp
Smart Money Flows
$
EDX Markets raises $76 million in Series C funding round led by SBI Holdings — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/07/07/edx-markets-raises-usd76-million-in-funding-round-led-by-sbi-holdings
$
Crypto VC Paradigm launches $1.2 billion AI fund as it broadens beyond digital assets — https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/07/08/crypto-vc-paradigm-launches-usd1-2-billion-ai-fund-as-it-broadens-beyond-digital-assets-bbg
$
Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): CARDS-USDC on raydium-amm: 177.3% APY ($3M TVL) XAG-USDC on gmtrade: 113.7% APY ($3M TVL) CRCLX-USDC on raydium-amm: 110.3% APY ($2M TVL) XAU-USDC on gmtrade: 106.3% APY ($4M TVL) ETH-USDC on gmtrade: 104.8% APY ($1M TVL)
Stable Farms
CARDS-USDCraydium-amm 177.3% APY
XAG-USDCgmtrade 113.7% APY
CRCLX-USDCraydium-amm 110.3% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 105 articles from 8 sources
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 4h ago
The Federal Law Enforcement Officers Association expressed support for the CLARITY Act but urged changes to the legislation’s language.
CoinTelegraphBitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 2 sources 15h ago
Crypto usage has spiked in the country, with transaction volumes hitting $430 million in the year after the central bank removed restrictions in mid-2024.
CoinDeskDecrypt
📊 Market 2 sources 18h ago
A dormant whale transferred BTC worth $188 million after seven years of holding, adding to the growing ratio of whale transfers to cryptocurrency exchanges.
CoinTelegraphAmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source just now
It's been a good 48 hours for KITE, but might that change soon?
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post Pi Network Hits New All-Time Low After 97% Crash  appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Pi Network has continued to see the bloodbath as the PI token dropped another 16% today, hitting a new all-time low of around $0.0814. The token has now lost nearly 97.3% from its all-time high of $2.
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Canadian Dollar Edges Higher as Rising Oil Prices Boost Commodity-Linked Currency The Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthened against its US counterpart on Monday, finding support from a notable uptick in global crude oil prices. The move comes as traders weigh supply concerns and shifting
BitcoinWorld
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Tom Lee: Robinhoods Layer-2 Chain Is One of Cryptos Biggest Success Stories This Year Tom Lee, chairman of Bitmine (BMNR), has publicly praised the launch of Robinhoods (HOOD) new Arbitrum-based layer-2 blockchain, calling it one of the most significant success stories in the cryptocur
BitcoinWorld
🚀 Protocol 1 source just now
BitcoinWorld Sablier Labs Pauses Active Development, Enters Maintenance Phase Amid Crypto Downturn Sablier Labs, the development company behind the automated token payment protocol Sablier, is halting active product development and transitioning to a maintenance-only phase, co-founder Paul Razvan B
BitcoinWorld
🔐 Security 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld US Central Command Completes Precision Strikes on Iranian Military Targets, 50,000 Troops Deployed The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) announced early Wednesday that it had completed a five-hour precision strike operation against multiple military targets in Iran, escalating a
BitcoinWorld
🏛️ Regulation 1 source 1h ago
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
🚀 Protocol 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld British Pound Holds Firm Above 1.3350 as Markets Brace for US CPI Report The British pound maintained its position above the 1.3350 mark against the US dollar during Wednesdays Asian and early European trading sessions, as currency markets adopted a cautious tone ahead of the release o
BitcoinWorld
💰 Funding 1 source 1h ago
BitcoinWorld AUD/USD Technical Outlook: Testing Nine-Day EMA Resistance Near 0.6950 The Australian dollar is testing a key technical barrier against its US counterpart, with the AUD/USD pair approaching the nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) near the 0.6950 level. This zone has emerged as a
BitcoinWorld
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 20,870 | Graduated: 564 (2.7%)
├ Volume: $253.9M | Traders: 354.6K
└ Market Share: 13.0%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 149.2K created → 3.5K graduated (2.37%)
└ 30d: 751.7K created → 11.1K graduated (1.47%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 26,853 | Graduated: 6,209
├ Total Volume: $2B | Traders: ~521.8K
├ Active Launchpads: 50
└ Overall Grad Rate: 23.12%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $1.7B (86.6%) — 5.7K mints
2. pump.fun — $253.9M (13.0%) — 20.9K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $3M (0.2%) — 114 mints
4. moonshot — $2.6M (0.1%) — 32 mints
5. bags.fun — $671.7K (0.0%) — 33 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
Hyper Bull Themes 🔥 $92.8K (4 tokens)
Top: HBULL $90.6K · HBULL $1.2 · HBULL $2.1
EVERMEADOW Culture 🔥 $53K (6 tokens)
Top: EVERMEADOW $49.4K · EVERMEADOW $121.1 · EVERMEADOW $108.5
The Earn Bull Themes 🔥 $51.8K (1 tokens)
Top: TEB $51.8K
Robinhood Original Name Culture 🔥 $50.2K (6 tokens)
Top: CASHCAT $37.7K · CASHCAT $2.3K · CASHCAT $2.1K
FINN Replies to Cat Question Culture 🔥 $44.5K (6 tokens)
Top: CASHCAT $37.7K · CASHCAT $2.3K · CASHCAT $2.1K
Sunny Street Themes 🔥 $42.9K (1 tokens)
Top: SUNNYS $42.9K
Unipcs Claims Robinhood Paid for Bullish Tweet Culture 🔥 $39.8K (6 tokens)
Top: CASHCAT $37.7K · CASHCAT $442.3 · CASHCAT $546.9
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SPCX ⚪ Unknown
#2 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#3 ANSEM ⚪ Unknown
#4 TROLL ⚪ Unknown
#5 TRIPLET ⚪ Unknown
#6 UFD ⚪ Unknown
#7 TAO ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $4.3B +13.4%
BSC $3.8B +10.1%
Ethereum $3.7B +11.6%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 0% NO 100%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
YES 4% NO 96%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
YES 65% NO 35%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 80% NO 20%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (0 bullish / 5 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Bullish (2 bullish / 0 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-07-14 06:16:24 UTC · Errors: 1