Daily Intel // Alpha Protocol

The Crypto
Morning Report

Tuesday 25 Aug London 07:16
⚠️ DATA STATUS — 1 SOURCE UNAVAILABLE
* AC AI Council Error: All council analysts failed
Sections affected by failed sources may show incomplete data or be absent from this report.
⚠️ Dan's View — council analysis failed — no views generated
Market Pulse
Fear & Greed
74
Greed
Global Voltage
$2.7T
Stablecoin Supply (24h Change)
USDC
+196.6M
DAI
+6.3M
USDT
-104.7M
Chain Stablecoin Flows
Ethereum
+583M
BSC
+518.4M
Tron
+127.9M
Solana
-38.8M
Base
-18.7M
Asset Trend 24H 7D
BTC $80,852 +4.47% 25.3%
ETH $2,510 +2.19% 31.2%
SOL $101.7 +7.80% 33.8%
BNB $716.89 +2.39% 18.3%
Chain Volume (24h)
Chain Vol Change
Base $5.2B +15.2%
BSC $4.5B +12.0%
Ethereum $4.4B +15.6%
Solana $4.3B +4.3%
Arbitrum $4.2B +15.2%
🔮 Signal Intelligence
📊 PATTERN DETECTION
Significant Hourly Patterns
Asset Hour (UTC) Session Avg Return Win Rate
DOGE 16:00 NY +0.327% 70%
PEPE 9:00 London -0.303% 20%
PEPE 18:00 NY -0.303% 23%
PEPE 4:00 Asia +0.281% 43%
XRP 4:00 Asia +0.274% 50%
XRP 18:00 NY -0.26% 37%
AVAX 2:00 Asia +0.259% 50%
ETH 15:00 NY +0.256% 53%
Day-of-Week: Today is Tuesday
BTC -0.4% win 50%
ETH -1.4% win 25%
SOL -0.95% win 50%
BNB -0.23% win 25%
XRP -1.86% win 25%
DOGE -0.71% win 50%
AVAX +0.4% win 25%
LINK -0.69% win 50%
SUI -2.39% win 25%
PEPE -1.7% win 25%
Historical Setup Matches
BTC 2026-08-21 90% match 24h: +1.28% 48h: -0.4%
BTC 2026-08-22 90% match 24h: -1.66% 48h: +0.02%
BTC 2026-08-10 90% match 24h: -1.74% 48h: -2.09%
ETH 2026-08-21 88% match 24h: +2.6% 48h: +0.73%
ETH 2026-08-09 88% match 24h: +0.33% 48h: -2.14%
💰 FLOW ANALYSIS
BTC ETF Flow
$337.6M
7d: $2.2B
ETH ETF Flow
$115.6M
7d: $812.7M
💥 LIQUIDATION INTELLIGENCE
BTC $2.3M 2% longs CASCADE
ETH $29K 30% longs CASCADE
Funding Extremes
SOL 0.9634% CROWDED LONG 1055% APR
ETH 0.3466% CROWDED LONG 380% APR
BTC -0.1677% CROWDED SHORT 184% APR
⚡ ARBITRAGE SCANNER
Options Signals
BTC BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.6
Max Pain$70,000 (-16.6%)
IV Skew 25d52.45
ETH BULLISH
P/C Ratio0.55
Max Pain$2,100 (-16.35%)
IV Skew 25d52.72
📊 SIGNAL SCORECARD
Signal tracking started — scorecard builds over time.
⚡ THE EDGE
CONFLUENCE-SCORED ACTIONABLE EDGES · 141 SIGNALS EVALUATED
MARKET REGIME
🟢 Markup
CONFIDENCE
53%
Markup phase — trending market with increasing participation. Typically follows accumulation and continues until distribution signals appear.
📉 Low Vol ↑ Vol Up F&G: 74 Funding: neutral Stablecoin: neutral
BTC Funding extreme — Bullish Signal
🎯 HIGH
ACTION Long BTC
ENTRY $80,852
TARGET $84,086 (+4.0%)
STOP $78,831 (-2.5%)
TF 4-12h
Funding extreme (crowded short -0.1677%). Liquidation cascade (98% shorts wiped). ETF inflow $338M.
███████░░░ 69/100
Funding extremeLiquidation cascadeETF inflow $338MOptions P/C ratio 0.60
📊 Order Book Depth
BINANCE FUTURES — TOP 5 ASSETS
Asset Spread Bid Depth Ask Depth Ratio Imbalance
BTC 0.01 bps $10.6M $10.5M 1.01 ✅ balanced
ETH 0.04 bps $27.5M $17.7M 1.55 🟢 buy-heavy
SOL 0.98 bps $28.9M $28.5M 1.01 ✅ balanced
BNB 0.14 bps $4.4M $6.6M 0.66 🔴 sell-heavy
Notable Walls (±2% of mid)
BTC Bid: 7.42 @ $80,766 ($599.7K) Ask: 11.08 @ $80,810 ($895.1K)
ETH Bid: 5001 @ $2,506 ($12.5M) Ask: 687 @ $2,511 ($1.7M)
SOL Bid: 14836 @ $100 ($1.5M) Ask: 9654 @ $103.5 ($999.2K)
BNB Bid: 1016 @ $713 ($724.7K) Ask: 1914 @ $721.75 ($1.4M)
⚠️ Biggest imbalance: ETH — ratio 1.55 (buy-heavy)
⚡ Estimated Liquidation Levels
ESTIMATED — WEIGHTED BY BINANCE LONG/SHORT RATIOS
Leverage tiers: 5x–100x. OI split by live long/short account ratio.
BTC $80,852
Balanced
OI: $8.7B │ 47% Long / 53% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$80,125
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~4.686000000000001% of OI ($409.2M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$81,580
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~5.314% of OI ($464M)
ETH $2,510
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $6B │ 71% Long / 29% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$2,488
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.079000000000001% of OI ($427.1M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$2,533
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.9210000000000003% of OI ($176.2M)
SOL $101.7
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $845.2M │ 66% Long / 34% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$100.78
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~6.595% of OI ($55.7M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$102.62
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~3.4050000000000002% of OI ($28.8M)
BNB $716.89
⚠️ Long Squeeze Risk
OI: $455.1M │ 70% Long / 30% Short
NEAREST LONG LIQ
$710.44
-0.9% from spot · 100x · ~7.032000000000001% of OI ($32M)
NEAREST SHORT LIQ
$723.34
+0.9% from spot · 100x · ~2.968% of OI ($13.5M)
📊 Perpetual Basis (Spot vs Futures)
Contango (+) = futures premium = longs aggressive · Backwardation (−) = futures discount = shorts aggressive
Asset Spot Futures Basis Signal
BTC $80,852.19 $80,831.295 -0.0258% ➡️ Neutral
ETH $2,510.12 $2,509.463 -0.0262% ➡️ Neutral
SOL $101.7 $101.72 +0.0201% ➡️ Neutral
BNB $716.89 $717.27 +0.0530% 📈 Contango
Overall: Longs dominant — bullish pressure
The Move
VC & News: • Fasset lands $1 billion valuation as SBI backs its stablecoin banking push — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/22/stablecoin-neobank-fasset-lands-usd1-billion-valuation-as-sbi-backs-its-payments-push • Financial repression: The new buzzword driving the bitcoin (BTC) price higher: Crypto Daily — https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/08/24/financial-repression-the-new-buzzword-for-bitcoin-bulls • Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business • Live updates: Bitcoin moves closer to $80,000, but rally could bring profit taking — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/24/live-updates-bitcoin-holds-usd77-000-as-xrp-zcash-pull-back-after-a-big-weekly-rally • CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Crypto News and Price Data — https://www.coindesk.com/
Smart Money Flows
$
Fasset lands $1 billion valuation as SBI backs its stablecoin banking push — https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/22/stablecoin-neobank-fasset-lands-usd1-billion-valuation-as-sbi-backs-its-payments-push
$
Financial repression: The new buzzword driving the bitcoin (BTC) price higher: Crypto Daily — https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/08/24/financial-repression-the-new-buzzword-for-bitcoin-bulls
$
Finance | CoinDesk — https://www.coindesk.com/business
Generational Wealth
No arb opportunities above threshold Top yields (Solana): WSOL-CYBERLEEK on raydium-amm: 903.3% APY ($2M TVL) WSOL-PUMP on raydium-amm: 390.1% APY ($1M TVL) BTC-USDC on gmtrade: 293.3% APY ($1M TVL) XAU-USDC on gmtrade: 283.2% APY ($2M TVL) SOL-USDC on gmtrade: 279.0% APY ($2M TVL)
Stable Farms
WSOL-CYBERLEEKraydium-amm 903.3% APY
WSOL-PUMPraydium-amm 390.1% APY
BTC-USDCgmtrade 293.3% APY
📡 THE WIRE
Top crypto news · 195 articles from 8 sources
🌐 Macro 2 sources 11h ago
Coinbase’s B20 equities bring stocks including Apple and Nvidia onchain, allowing eligible non-US users to trade them 24/7 and use them across DeFi.
CoinTelegraphDecrypt
💰 Funding 2 sources 17h ago
The company sold 18.26 million MSTR shares, increased its USD Reserve to $5.1 billion and repurchased another $136.4 million of STRC.
CoinDeskDecrypt
📊 Market 2 sources 19h ago
The proposed deal would make Gemini the exclusive venue for crypto event contracts offered through Apex’s FCM, expanding its prediction-market reach to brokerage clients.
CoinTelegraphCoinDesk
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post Livepeer (LPT) Price Prediction 2026, 2027-2030: Is LPT a 10x Opportunity in Decentralized AI Streaming? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Story Highlights The price of the Livepeer token is . Livepeer (LPT) price could hit $5.597 in 2026 amid AI crypto and Web3 growth. LPT price for
Coinpedia
📊 Market 1 source just now
TRUMP faces persistent selling pressure as buyers defend support and $2.95 liquidity attracts attention.
AmbCrypto
📊 Market 1 source just now
Traders are spending millions to position for further Bitcoin upside after its staggering rally to $80,000, though demand for downside protection remains firm, according to Laevitas.
CoinDesk
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
CoinTelegraph
📊 Market 1 source just now
The post Top 5 Crypto Payment Gateways for Businesses in 2026 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Cryptocurrency is no longer a niche payment method. From e-commerce stores to SaaS platforms and gaming operators, more businesses are looking for a reliable crypto payment gateway that lets them a
Coinpedia
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
The post Top Trending Crypto: Big Bank Says Chainlink Can Hit $200 and Pepeto Could Get There Faster appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News The top trending crypto conversation this week belongs to Chainlink, with LINK at $11.50 after smashing the $11 level analysts targeted days ago, and most of
Coinpedia
🏛️ Regulation 1 source just now
The US Treasury expanded sanctions to Iran’s digital asset sector, alleging a UAE-based broker processed over $100 million in crypto for oil sales.
CoinTelegraph
💰 Funding 1 source just now
BTC is up more than 25% on the week after Treasury’s bond-buyback expansion sparked a rally, while Solana led majors Tuesday as validators vote on proposals to slow new SOL creation and raise daily burns.
CoinDesk
🔐 Security 1 source 1h ago
Version 1.22.2 adds two signing-state safeguards, but public physical validation of the alleged substitution path is limited to Flex. The post Ledger patched an Ethereum app bug that could show one transaction and sign another appeared first on CryptoSlate.
CryptoSlate
The Trench
📊 LAUNCHPAD MARKET
PumpFun (24h)
├ Created: 35,062 | Graduated: 1,111 (3.17%)
├ Volume: $678.4M | Traders: 761.7K
└ Market Share: 13.1%
PumpFun (7d / 30d)
├ 7d: 237.6K created → 7.7K graduated (3.24%)
└ 30d: 943.4K created → 31K graduated (3.28%)
Overall Market (24h)
├ Total Mints: 37,039 | Graduated: 2,527
├ Total Volume: $5.2B | Traders: ~935.3K
├ Active Launchpads: 57
└ Overall Grad Rate: 6.82%
Top 5 by Volume (24h)
1. met-dbc — $4.5B (86.5%) — 1.5K mints
2. pump.fun — $678.4M (13.1%) — 35.1K mints
3. letsbonk.fun — $6.6M (0.1%) — 263 mints
4. metadao — $4.6M (0.1%) — 0 mints
5. easya-kickstart — $2.2M (0.0%) — 8 mints
Source: Jupiter API
Top Narratives/Meta
🔥 Trending Narratives (Binance)
Alleged GTA 6 Leaker Caught Culture 🔥 $493.5K (6 tokens)
Top: CYBERLEEK $154.3K · CYBERLEEK $173.9K · CYBERLEEK $46.9K
National Trump Digital Accounts Themes 🔥 $417.9K (6 tokens)
Top: NTDA $133.6K · NTDA $485K · NTDA $373.6K
RST Themes 🔥 $373.7K (6 tokens)
Top: RST $235.2K · RST $650.2K · RST $-268.6K
Alleged New Meme Coin Launch Culture 🔥 $349.2K (6 tokens)
Top: RST $341.3K · RST $13K · RST $1.1
CHILLGUY FIRST DEV IN 4 MONTHS? Themes 🔥 $341.3K (6 tokens)
Top: CYBERLEEK $174K · CYBERLEEK $46.9K · CYBERLEEK $53.1K
Alleged Cyberleek Meme Coin Culture 🔥 $253.2K (6 tokens)
Top: CYBERLEEK $142.8K · CYBERLEEK $110K · CYBERLEEK $59.2
AAPL Themes 🔥 $234.4K (6 tokens)
Top: AAPL $1.5K · AAPL $1.4K · AAPL $2K
Source: Binance Web3
📣 Social Hype Leaderboard (Binance)
#1 SOL ⚪ Unknown
#2 PUMP ⚪ Unknown
#3 CATE ⚪ Unknown
#4 BSOL ⚪ Unknown
#5 FARTCOIN ⚪ Unknown
#6 WEN ⚪ Unknown
#7 STRC ⚪ Unknown
Source: Binance Web3 Social Pulse
Momentum Leaders
⚠️ No momentum leaders found
Active Chains
Base $5.2B +15.2%
BSC $4.5B +12.0%
Ethereum $4.4B +15.6%
Prediction Markets
🏛️ Politics
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 72% NO 28%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YES 28% NO 72%
🌐 Macro/Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 1% NO 99%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 87% NO 13%
CROWD VIEW
Politics: Bearish (1 bullish / 4 bearish / 0 split) · Macro: Mixed (1 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 split)
System Health
7D Win Rate
0%
Alerts (24h)
0
📊 Track Record📉 Declining
Win Rate
52%
112W / 103L
7D Rate
0%
Avg PnL
+1.5%
Streak
🔥 4
Best: 17
14D Rate
0%
Avg Resolution
2.7d
Total Calls
276
61 active
LONG
55%
70W / 58L · Avg +2.2%
SHORT
44%
33W / 42L · Avg +0.6%
KELLY PNL SIMULATION
Capital: $19.4K
Total: +94.05%
Win Rate: 67.59%
Max DD: 10.16%
Sharpe-like: 0.27
Trades: 290
PERFORMANCE BY ASSET
SYMBOL CALLS WIN RATE AVG PNL
SOL 58 55% +2.3%
BTC 57 54% +1.2%
ETH 55 60% +2.7%
BNB 45 36% -0.6%
MONTHLY TREND
41%
Feb 26
96 calls
53%
Mar 26
161 calls
61%
Apr 26
46 calls
100%
May 26
1 calls
ACTIVE POSITIONS (61)
SYM DIR ENTRY TARGET P&L STATUS DATE
AVAX SHORT $19.5 T: $18.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-23
PEPE SHORT $7.80e-6 T: $7.10e-6 — ⏳ 2026-04-22
DOGE SHORT $0.104 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
LINK SHORT $9 T: $8.7 — ⏳ 2026-04-09
DOGE SHORT $0.107 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-08
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
LINK LONG $9 T: $9.5 — ⏳ 2026-04-05
DOGE SHORT $0.105 T: $0.098 — ⏳ 2026-04-04
LINK LONG $8.75 T: $9.35 — ⏳ 2026-04-03
RECENT CALLS (215 total)
SYM DIR ENTRY ACTUAL P&L RESULT DATE
BTC LONG $78,000 $75,595 -3.1% ❌ 2026-04-23
ETH SHORT $2,350 $2,244 +4.5% ✅ 2026-04-23
SOL SHORT $86 $82.6 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-23
BNB SHORT $637 $615.58 +3.4% ✅ 2026-04-23
BTC LONG $76,500 $80,959 +5.8% ✅ 2026-04-22
ETH SHORT $2,395 $2,290 +4.4% ✅ 2026-04-22
SOL SHORT $87.8 $82.6 +5.9% ✅ 2026-04-22
BNB SHORT $641 $615.58 +4.0% ✅ 2026-04-22
BTC LONG $70,500 $74,328 +5.4% ✅ 2026-04-09
ETH LONG $2,175 $2,361 +8.6% ✅ 2026-04-09
DATA SOURCES
[OK] Binance | [OK] Binance Charts | [OK] DeFi Llama | [OK] Birdeye Trench | [OK] Fear & Greed | [OK] Polymarket | [OK] Jupiter | [OK] Jupiter Launchpads | [OK] CoinGecko | [OK] AlphaSense | [OK] News Search | [OK] Order Book | [OK] Binance Web3 | [OK] Signal Intel | [OK] Signal Tracking | [OK] The Wire | [OK] Opportunity Research | [FAIL] AI Council | [OK] Moderator
Generated: 2026-08-25 06:16:02 UTC · Errors: 1